Houston Texans vs. Miami Dolphins Pick & Prediction NOVEMBER 27th 2022

Stadium: Sun Life Stadium Miami Gardens
Logo Houston Texans
Logo Miami Dolphins

45o -115
-14 -108



This season hasn’t gone the way the Houston Texans likely hoped it would. They have a 1-8-1 record at the moment and things won’t be getting better any time soon. This week, they’ll face the Miami Dolphins, one of the best teams in the AFC. The only good news is that they’re heavy underdogs and could potentially cover the spread.

The Miami Dolphins have a record of 7-3 and are ranked first in the AFC East. To keep this position, however, they’ll need to keep winning. The Buffalo Bills are hot on their trail and one loss could change the standings. With the playoffs quickly approaching, each win and loss matters. What we’re wondering is how they’ll do against a 12.5-point spread.

Texans vs. Dolphins Odds


MONEY LINE: Texans (+490) vs. Dolphins (-670)

SPREAD: Texans -12.5 (-110) vs. Dolphins -12.5 (-110)

GAME TOTAL: Over 47 (-110) vs. Under 47 (-110)

Texans vs. Dolphins Preview, Trends and Stats

The Houston Texans could essentially pull off a huge upset if they beat the Dolphins. The likelihood of that happening, however, is very slim. The redeeming quality on this team is that they have a lot of potential in the future.

One player that sticks out to us the most is Dameon Pierce, who has done really well so far. If the Texans build the offense behind this stellar running back, they’ll have a bright future. Their most recent game, however, was a 23-10 loss to the Washington Commanders.

The Texans offense is one of the worst in the NFL, averaging just 15.9 points per game. Even against poor defenses, the Texans struggle to put up points. The bad news is that they’re facing one of the best offenses in the NFL this weekend.

The Miami Dolphins offense averages 25.2 points per game, ranking sixth in the NFL. This offense, led by Tua Tagovailoa, is one of the most potent in the league. The Texans defense doesn’t pose much of a threat either, so they should be just fine.

The most concerning aspect of this game is the large spread. The Dolphins are coming off a huge game against the Cleveland Browns in which they won 39-17. It’s clear the Dolphins can cover large spreads so we should trust them again here.

Texans vs. Dolphins Picks

Some might want to take the Houston Texans at +12.5, but we’d advise against it. The Texans lost by 13 points to the Washington Commanders, a team much worse than the Dolphins. Due to this, we’d recommend taking the Miami Dolphins, even if the spread is rather large.

The Dolphins are 2-1 against the spread in their last three games against the Houston Texans. Last year, they beat the Texans 17-9; this is before the addition of Tyreek Hill. After a huge win over the Browns, look for the Dolphins to carry the momentum into this game.

Final Score: 24-7 (Dolphins)


1. The total has gone under in four of Houston's last six games.

2. The Houston Texans are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games.

3. The Dolphins have gone 10-1 in their last 11 games at home.

Best Bet: Dolphins -12.5 (-110) and Under 47 (-110)

Houston Texans
Miami Dolphins

Houston Texans vs. Miami Dolphins Recap NOV 27TH 2022

Tua Tagovailoa passed for 299 yards and a score and the Miami Dolphins' defense turned two turnovers into first-half touchdowns in a 30-15 victory over the Houston Texans on Sunday in Miami Gardens, Fla.

The Dolphins (8-3) led 30-0 by halftime -- their largest since building a 41-0 halftime lead against Houston on Oct. 25, 2015 -- and won their fifth consecutive game.

Miami moved back into a first-place tie with the Buffalo Bills in the AFC East. The Dolphins hold the tiebreaker thanks to a win on Sept. 25 against the Bills. The teams will play again in Buffalo in Week 15.

The Texans (1-9-1) entered the game with the NFL's worst record and hoped for a better outcome after switching from second-year starter Davis Mills to Kyle Allen at quarterback.

Allen completed 26 of 39 passes for 215 yards and a touchdown, but threw two interceptions and finished with a 67.8 passer rating in his first start for the Texans. He was sacked five times.

Dolphins linebacker Andrew Van Ginkel intercepted Allen with 12:38 left in the second quarter and returned it to the Texans' 3-yard line. The giveaway set up a touchdown run on the next play by Jeff Wilson.

Two drives later, Dolphins safety Eric Rowe forced a fumble by Texans tight end Jordan Akins, allowing Xavien Howard to recover it and return it 16 yards for a touchdown to give the Dolphins a 27-0 lead with five minutes left in the second quarter.

Miami's offense was effective until left tackle Terron Armstead was forced to leave the game in the second quarter with a pectoral injury. Tagovailoa was sacked four times and was removed after two drives in the second half with Miami ahead 30-6.

Houston's defense, led by Maliek Collins (two sacks), recorded five sacks overall.

Allen connected with Akins on a 25-yard touchdown pass with 12:46 left in the fourth quarter to get within 30-12, but the two-point conversion pass failed.

Ka'imi Fairbairn completed the scoring for Houston with a 28-yard field goal with 9:00 remaining.

--Field Level Media