NRG Stadium Houston

Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans Pick & Prediction JAN 9TH 2022

NFL | FOOTBALL
TV: CBS
Logo Tennessee Titans
VS
Logo Houston Texans
0
OPENNER
44.5

-12 +103
CURRENT
44.5o -105

-620
MONEYLINE
+460

28
SCORE
25

It’s an AFC South matchup to close the season, and the Tennessee Titans will face the Houston Texans. The Tennessee Titans have already locked up the No.1 seed in the playoffs and the AFC South. You can expect at least a few starters to be out of this one. Still, the Titans’ backups are pretty great as well, and they’re facing one of the worst teams in the NFL.

The Houston Texans are 4-12 and obviously not a playoff contender. However, ending their season with a win is something they’d like to do. Unfortunately, they’re facing one of the toughest defenses in the NFL and an incredible rushing offense. They’ll need a lot of help to secure a win and increase their record to 5-12. Let’s take a look at the betting lines here.

Titans vs. Texans Betting Lines

TV: CBS

MONEY LINE: Titans (-530) vs. Texans (+425)

SPREAD: Titans -10 (-112) vs. Texans +10 (-108)

GAME TOTAL: Over 42.5 (-115) vs. Under 42.5 (-105)

Titans vs. Texans Preview for NFL Week 18

Although the Titans could be missing a few starters, we can’t forget what they’ve done so far. They’ve managed to win both the AFC South and the No.1 seed by keeping it simple. They’ll likely do the same thing on Sunday with the backups in. As long as they can keep control of the game, they’ll have this one in the bag. The only question is about the ten-point spread.

What we will say is that as the lineups are announced, the line may get smaller. After the announcement, we can’t imagine that the sportsbooks would keep it as Tennessee -10. If they do, then we need to consider the Texans actually being able to cover this spread. Tennessee is 10-6 against the spread, but without the starters, covering ten points will be tough.

The Houston Texans have the 30th-ranked offense in the NFL, averaging 15.9 points per game. With such a lackluster offense, we’re surprised they’ve won four games this season. They had a huge win over the Chargers just a few weeks ago, where they scored 41 points. However, in the following week against the 49ers, they only put seven up on the board.

Taking on the Tennessee defense is going to be a tough task. The Texans rank last in the league in rushing yards per game, just 84.9. Their passing offense is ranked No.30, averaging just 188.5 passing yards per game. Even if the Titans starters are out on defense, the Texans just don’t have enough firepower.

Titans vs. Texans Predictions

Titans 24 - Texans 7

Upon looking deeper into this game, the ten-point spread is large but not insurmountable. The Titans have enough offense to control the pace of the game and capitalize on turnovers. The Texans don’t have much of a defense to stop the Titans either, allowing 26.5 points per game. Not only that, the Texans are 1-6 in their last seven games at home.

With all that taken into consideration, we’ll be taking the Tennessee Titans -10 in this one. It’s definitely a larger spread than we’d like, but the Titans are the better pick. They’ve done well against the spread and have beaten some great teams by more than ten.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Tennessee is 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games.

2. Julio Jones could be back in the lineup for Tennessee on Sunday.

3. The Titans average 142.5 rushing yards per game.

Best Bet: Tennessee Titans -10

PREDICTION
Tennessee Titans
28
16
Houston Texans

Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans Recap JAN 9TH 2022

Ryan Tannehill tossed four touchdown passes and the Tennessee Titans held off the host Houston Texans 28-25 Sunday to lock up the No. 1 playoff seed in the AFC.

The Titans finished the regular season 12-5, tied with the Kansas City Chiefs atop the conference. Tennessee earned the top seed, which means a first-round bye and home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs -- by virtue of a head-to-head win over the Chiefs.

Julio Jones caught his first touchdown pass as a member of the Titans during the fourth quarter, giving them a 10-point lead, enough room to survive Houston's budding comeback. The Titans squandered most of a 21-0 halftime lead.

The Texans fell to 4-13 to wrap up David Culley's first year as head coach despite Davis Mills' 301 passing yards and three touchdowns. Danny Amendola caught two scoring passes in the fourth quarter and finished with 113 yards on seven receptions.

Houston's comeback was made possible by its defense forcing the Titans into three straight three-and-outs to start the second half. But that didn't last forever, as Tannehill led a 75-yard drive ending in Jones' 3-yard touchdown catch that grew their lead to 28-18.

Mills responded by hitting Amendola for a 26-yard touchdown with 4:04 to play. But the Titans managed to run out the clock from there.

Tannehill finished 23-for-32 for 287 yards, and four of his teammates finished with at least 50 yards receiving.

After a first quarter comprised of three punts and a missed Tennessee field goal, the Titans broke through with an 11-play, 94-yard scoring drive in the second. Tannehill hit tight end Anthony Firkser for a 5-yard touchdown on third and goal.

The Titans' next drive covered 85 yards in just 2:46 and culminated in Tannehill's 14-yard touchdown pass to A.J. Brown with 1:34 left in the half. Brown caught three passes for 52 yards on the drive.

Tennessee forced Houston to punt for the fifth straight drive and took one more crack at the end zone. The Texans incurred a 45-yard pass interference penalty to set up the Titans on the 4-yard line, and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine caught a touchdown on the next play for a 21-0 halftime lead.

The Texans gained just 67 yards in the first half, but they returned to the field with their bag of tricks. Mills pulled off a flea-flicker and hit Chris Moore for a 28-yard passing touchdown on their opening drive of the third quarter.

Houston tacked on a 31-yard Ka'imi Fairbairn field goal late in the third.

Mills hit Amendola for a 37-yard catch over the top to get the next drive going, and the rookie again found Amendola wide-open in the back of the end zone for a 7-yard score. Amendola caught a pass for the two-point conversion, as well, bringing it to 21-18 with 11:40 left in the game to set up a nerve-wracking finish.

The Titans exacted revenge for a 22-13 loss to the Texans in Week 11.

--Field Level Media

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