Montréal Canadiens vs Philadelphia Flyers Picks and Predictions December 16th 2025

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Match Facts

ItemDetail
MatchupPhiladelphia Flyers at Montreal Canadiens
DateTuesday
VenueBell Centre (Montreal)
Flyers formThree straight extra-time losses (0-0-3)
Canadiens formComing off a 4-1 win vs. Edmonton; 2-2-1 in last five
Montreal splitBetter on the road than at home so far, but trending up after Sunday
Goalie noteProjected starters are Dan Vladar (PHI) and Jakub Dobes (MTL), both unconfirmed

For quick roster context and team pages, use NHL teams.

Line and Odds

  • Moneyline: Montreal is typically priced as the home favorite, but the number can tighten if the market respects Philadelphia’s ability to push games past regulation
  • Puck line: Canadiens -1.5 usually comes with plus money; Flyers +1.5 is often the “keep it tight” alternative
  • Total: commonly sits in the 5.5–6.5 range, with movement tied to confirmed goalies and Montreal’s home scoring consistency

The key here is game state. Philadelphia’s recent results show they can hang around and force overtime even when they aren’t at their best, while Montreal’s latest performance shows what it looks like when their urgency stays high for 60 minutes. If Montreal brings Sunday’s pace again, the price is justified. If the Canadiens drift into the same “up-and-down urgency” pattern their coach called out, this turns into another one-goal game that’s hard to separate.

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Movement Matchup

Montreal’s best hockey comes when they win the first battle in the neutral zone and turn it into quick entries with layered support. Against Edmonton, they built leads by playing fast but not reckless, and by responding immediately after allowing a goal instead of sagging. That “answer-back” element matters a lot against Philadelphia because the Flyers keep coming—down one or two, they’ve still been finding ways to extend games.

For Philadelphia, the adjustment is about starts and details. They’ve been chasing too often early, then spending the rest of the night clawing back. If the Flyers can stay connected through the first 10 minutes and avoid early penalties, their forecheck can create the type of messy, low-slot sequences that travel well. If they fall behind again, the burden shifts to late-game heroics, and that’s a thin way to live every night.

Breakdown Injury Reports

Philadelphia Flyers

PlayerStatusNotes
Rasmus RistolainenOutTriceps (IR)
Tyson FoersterOutUpper-body (IR)
Ryan EllisOutBack (IR, out for season)

Montreal Canadiens

PlayerStatusNotes
Kirby DachOutFoot (IR)
Patrik LaineOutAbdomen (IR)
Alex NewhookOutAnkle (IR)
Kaiden GuhleOutLower body (IR)

These injuries shape the matchup in a practical way. Philadelphia is missing defensive depth on the blue line, while Montreal is down multiple forwards that can change their scoring texture and a defenseman who helps stabilize matchups. The result can be more responsibility for top units on both sides, especially if the game tightens late.

Philadelphia Flyers Recent performance

The Flyers’ three-game skid looks ugly in the standings, but the context matters: they’ve pushed games beyond regulation, which speaks to resilience and their ability to rally. They’ve been fighting back from deficits, finding timely goals late, and giving themselves chances in overtime and shootouts.

Trevor Zegras is the clearest driver right now. He’s producing at the top of the lineup and playing with the confidence you need when your team is living on thin margins. The problem is finishing the job. To turn “we never give up” into two points, Philadelphia needs cleaner third-period execution: fewer neutral-zone turnovers, better puck placement on changes, and a more direct approach when protecting a lead or tied late.

Montreal Canadiens Recent performance

Montreal’s Sunday win over Edmonton is the template: strong structure, consistent urgency, and immediate pushback when the opponent tried to change the game. That’s what their coach has been demanding—less “rolling the dice” and more repeatable habits shift to shift.

The home/road split is still a talking point, but a performance like that can reset a team’s identity quickly. The Canadiens don’t need to be perfect offensively; they need to stay direct and keep their defensive posture intact when they get a lead. If they can bank a solid first period again and avoid the “urgency dip,” they’re in a good spot to string results together.

For division context around Montreal’s push, see Atlantic Division odds and predictions.

Philadelphia’s recent pattern creates value in the right spots, but it also creates traps. They’ve shown they can get to overtime, which is appealing for plus-puck-line players, yet they haven’t been closing. That makes a straight Flyers moneyline a higher-stress bet unless you strongly believe they’re the better team on the night.

Montreal is the opposite profile right now: higher ceiling when their urgency is consistent, but more variance if they start coasting. If the Canadiens play like they did against Edmonton, they can control the game in the middle frames and keep Philadelphia from turning it into a track meet late. If Montreal’s pace drops, the Flyers are comfortable dragging this into a one-goal grind where one bounce decides it.

If you want general guidance on choosing between moneyline, puck line, totals, and derivatives, use the NHL betting guide.

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Best bet and Prediction

Best bet: Canadiens moneyline.

This is the best bet because Montreal’s most recent performance was a clear step up in structure and urgency, and they’re facing a Flyers team that keeps landing in coin-flip endings. If Montreal plays a composed 60 minutes and avoids gifting momentum swings, they’re better positioned to win in regulation rather than relying on overtime variance.

Prediction: Canadiens 3, Flyers 2.

For more matchup angles and market options across the slate, use NHL picks.

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