Montréal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks and Predictions December 9th 2025

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Montréal Canadiens (11-10-3) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (12-11-2) on Tuesday night at the Bell Centre. The Lightning enter on a four-game losing streak and have been shut out in consecutive games, while the Canadiens look to rebound from a narrow loss to St. Louis.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Montréal Canadiens Spread: -1.5
  • Tampa Bay Lightning Spread: +1.5
  • Total: 6.0

Oddsmakers list Montréal as a slight home favorite, with totals set near 6 goals. Check the latest NHL Odds for updated lines and totals.

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Matchup Breakdown

Montréal Canadiens Outlook

Montreal dropped a 4-3 decision to St. Louis after back-to-back shootout wins. Cole Caufield extended his point streak to 11 games, while Lane Hutson and Noah Dobson added goals. Goalie Sam Montembeault missed the game due to illness, leaving Jakub Dobes to start for the second straight day. Montreal has scored just 10 goals in its last five games, highlighting offensive inconsistency despite Caufield’s hot streak.

Tampa Bay Lightning Outlook

Tampa Bay has been shut out in consecutive games for the first time since 2023, falling 2-0 to Toronto on Monday. Brayden Point returned from injury with four shots, while Nikita Kucherov logged heavy minutes. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy was placed on injured reserve, meaning Brandon Halverson could start. The Lightning have scored only four goals during their four-game skid and must rediscover offensive rhythm.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Montreal’s scoring depth versus Tampa Bay’s goaltending situation is the key storyline. Caufield’s streak and Hutson’s emergence give the Canadiens offensive weapons, while Tampa Bay must avoid penalties and find scoring support for Kucherov and Point. Discipline and special teams will be decisive factors.

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Injuries / Availability

Montréal: Sam Montembeault (illness) day-to-day.
Tampa Bay: Andrei Vasilevskiy (injury reserve), Brandon Halverson expected to start.

  • Montréal is 2-3-0 in its last five games.
  • Tampa Bay has lost four straight and been shut out in consecutive games.
  • Montreal won two of three meetings against Tampa Bay last season.
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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Montréal 4, Tampa Bay 2

  • Pick: Montréal -1.5. The Canadiens’ offensive leaders should capitalize on Tampa Bay’s struggles.
  • Total: Under 6.0. Both teams have struggled to score consistently, pointing to a modest total.

Expect Montreal to lean on Caufield’s streak and home-ice advantage to hand Tampa Bay its fifth straight loss.

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