Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Picks and Predictions October 28th 2025

Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Calgary Flames visit the Toronto Maple Leafs on Tuesday, October 28, 2025, at Scotiabank Arena. Both teams snapped losing skids over the weekend and look to build momentum. Calgary ended an eight-game drought with a 5-1 win over the Rangers, while Toronto earned a gritty 4-3 overtime victory against Buffalo.

Line Movement and Odds

Toronto opened as a –197 favorite with the total set at 5.5 goals. The Flames carry a +165 moneyline as road underdogs. Market movement has leaned slightly toward the over after both clubs combined for nine goals in their latest outings.

Monitor live pricing and puck-line shifts on the NHL odds and scores page and check the NHL picks section for daily betting updates.

Calgary Flames Outlook

The Flames finally broke through Sunday, dominating New York 5-1 behind two goals from Blake Coleman and a 30-save effort by rookie goaltender Dustin Wolf. Calgary cleaned up its discipline and special-teams play, showing the defensive structure coach Ryan Huska has preached.

Through ten games, the Flames own a 2-7-1 record but have generated solid pressure, ranking tenth in total shots (278). Their physical edge remains a calling card — fifth-most hits in the league — and Coleman continues to drive play with five goals and twenty-two hits. Captain Mikael Backlund adds five assists as the veteran core tries to spark consistency.

Wolf’s poise in net has given Calgary confidence heading into a four-game road swing. Expect him to start again after his sharp performance against the Rangers.

Calgary Flames Injury Report

• Martin Pospisil – out (undisclosed)
• Matt Coronato – probable (coach’s decision)

Toronto Maple Leafs Outlook

Toronto improved to 4-4-1 with a resilient overtime win against Buffalo. Captain John Tavares buried the winner for his 499th career goal, while coach Craig Berube praised his team’s “gritty” defensive effort. The Maple Leafs have been far stronger at home (4-2-1) than on the road and close out an early season stretch with eight of ten games in Toronto.

Offensively, the Leafs sit seventh in the NHL with 31 goals and rank fifth in assists (56). William Nylander’s status remains uncertain after missing Saturday with a lower-body injury, but Tavares and Auston Matthews continue to anchor the attack. Backup Anthony Stolarz is expected to start in goal after Cayden Primeau’s 23-save outing on Saturday.

Defensively, Toronto is tightening up under Berube’s system, cutting down odd-man rushes and playing more physical hockey through the neutral zone — a point of emphasis after their recent skid.

Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report

• William Nylander – questionable (lower body)
• Calle Jarnkrok – day-to-day (lower body)
• Joseph Woll – out (personal)
• Scott Laughton – out (lower body)
• Christopher Tanev – out (upper body)
• Marshall Rifai – out (wrist)

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Goaltending defines this matchup. Dustin Wolf faces his biggest test yet against Toronto’s top-five offense, while Anthony Stolarz looks to stabilize the crease for the Leafs. If Calgary’s forecheck can disrupt Toronto’s breakouts and force turnovers, the Flames could keep it tight. However, Toronto’s depth and power-play threat around Tavares and Matthews pose constant pressure on a team still searching for confidence on the road.

Best Bets and Prediction

Both clubs enter with momentum after much-needed wins, but Toronto’s balance and home form give them an edge. Expect Calgary to compete early before the Leafs’ offensive weapons take control in the final frame.

Projected Score: Maple Leafs 4, Flames 2
Best Bet: Maple Leafs Moneyline (-197)
Secondary Lean: Over 5.5 (-122)

Find advanced NHL betting trends and market analysis inside the NHL expert betting guide.

Handicappers and Service Plays

Follow verified NHL handicappers for top-rated picks and long-term ROI stats.
Get fresh NHL picks and stay updated with line movements on the NHL odds and scores page.