Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions August 13th 2025

Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox August 13th 2025

The Boston Red Sox will play against the Houston Astros at Daikin Park on Wednesday, August 13, 2025. The Red Sox have a record of 66-55 and stand second in the AL East. They are coming off a win and have gone 6-4 in their last ten games.

The Astros, with a record of 67-53, lead the AL West. They are looking to bounce back after a loss and have gone 5-5 in their last ten games. The game will start at 7:10 PM and will be shown on NESN. Walker Buehler will pitch for the Red Sox, while Hunter Brown takes the mound for the Astros.

Red Sox vs Astros Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros
• Venue: Daikin Park in Houston, TX
• Date: Wednesday, August 13, 2025
• Betting Odds: Red Sox Moneyline +142, Astros Moneyline -169

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox are coming off a big win against the Houston Astros, with a score of 14-1. Dustin May pitched six strong innings, allowing no runs and striking out eight. Roman Anthony, Alex Bregman, and Carlos Narváez each hit home runs, contributing to the team’s 13 hits.

The Red Sox have several stats that show why they can win. They rank first in doubles this season with 247, and their batting average is fifth at .253. Their pitching staff is strong in quality starts, ranking second with 54, which helps keep them competitive in games.

Key players like Alex Bregman and Trevor Story are crucial for the Red Sox. Bregman has a batting average of .303, while Story has hit 18 home runs. With these players in the lineup, the Red Sox have a solid chance to perform well in their next game.

The Astros Can Win If…

The Houston Astros are coming off a tough 14-1 loss against the Boston Red Sox. Despite the loss, Jeremy Peña showed strong performance with three hits in five at-bats. Yainer Diaz also contributed with two hits and scored the only run for the Astros.

The Astros have been strong at the plate this season, ranking second in batting average at .259. Their lineup features power hitters like Christian Walker and Yainer Diaz, each with 16 home runs. The team’s ability to hit doubles, with 189 this season, ranks them tenth in the league.

On the mound, Hunter Brown gives the Astros a solid chance to win. He holds a 2.51 ERA and a WHIP of 0.98, showing his ability to limit opponents. With Brown’s strong pitching and the Astros’ batting strength, they have a good opportunity to bounce back.

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox

The Houston Astros will try to bounce back from a lopsided loss and clinch their three-game series against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday. The series is tied at one win apiece, with the Red Sox taking a commanding 14-1 victory in the last game. For the Astros, the game comes as they face a new challenge in their bullpen, with All-Star closer Josh Hader placed on the 15-day injured list due to left shoulder discomfort. Houston manager Joe Espada has indicated he will take a committee approach to the closing role in Hader’s absence. For all the latest stats and standings, you can find them in the MLB scores and odds section.

Pitching Matchup

Wednesday’s rubber match features a duel between two right-handers: Hunter Brown (9−5, 2.51 ERA) for the Houston Astros and Walker Buehler (7−6, 5.40 ERA) for the Boston Red Sox.

Hunter Brown’s stellar season continues, with him ranking among the American League’s elite in several key categories. He is first in hits per nine innings (6.21), second in opponent OPS (.571), and third in both ERA and strikeouts (160). Despite these impressive metrics, he has not recorded a win in his last six starts, posting an 0−2 record with a 4.73 ERA during that time. He previously faced the Red Sox this season, allowing just one run over seven innings in a no-decision on August 1.

Walker Buehler has found his rhythm in recent starts after a difficult beginning to his season. Over his last six starts, he has a 2−0 record with a 3.27 ERA. This comes after a stretch where he went 1−5 with a 9.29 ERA. In his most recent outing, he pitched six shutout innings against the San Diego Padres. He has faced the Astros before in his career, holding a 1−1 record and a 3.72 ERA in four starts.

Team Form and Key Players

The Houston Astros are in a close battle for the AL West lead, currently tied with the Seattle Mariners with a 67−53 record. Their offense has been productive, but they will need to be at their best to support a bullpen that is missing its star closer. Manager Joe Espada noted that the team has “the weapons” to fill the void, likely relying on Bryan Abreu and a mix-and-match approach.

The Boston Red Sox have a 66−55 record and are in second place in the AL East. Manager Alex Cora’s strategy for the series finale involves leveraging his bench, with Romy Gonzalez expected to start at first base to provide balance to the lineup against the right-handed Hunter Brown. This tactical move highlights the Red Sox’s focus on platoon advantages and depth.

Prediction

This series finale presents a fascinating matchup of a pitcher with elite underlying stats but a recent winless streak (Hunter Brown) against a pitcher who has found his form after a rough start (Walker Buehler). While the Astros are dealing with a significant loss in their bullpen with Josh Hader’s injury, Brown’s performance this season suggests he can keep the Red Sox’s offense in check. Buehler’s recent success is notable, but his overall season ERA remains high, indicating a potential for regression. Given Brown’s dominant metrics and the Astros’ position in the standings, they are highly motivated. We anticipate a low-scoring game where Houston’s offense does just enough to support their ace. For more in-depth wagering advice, check out the MLB expert betting guide.

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The Lean

The Houston Astros are favored on the moneyline at -169. They have a strong pitching staff with a 3.71 ERA, ranking 7th. The Red Sox have a slightly higher ERA of 3.76. Given these factors, the Astros are the pick to win. The model projects a score of Astros 5, Red Sox 4.

The total for the game is set at 8.0 runs. Both teams have solid hitting stats, with the Red Sox ranked 5th in batting average and the Astros 2nd. The model projects a combined score of 9 runs. Therefore, taking the over 8.0 at -110 is the recommendation.