Maryland Terrapins vs Michigan Wolverines Picks and Predictions December 13th 2025

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Maryland Terrapins (6-4, 0-1 Big Ten) host the Michigan Wolverines (9-0, 1-0 Big Ten) on Saturday night in College Park. Maryland seeks its first signature win under Buzz Williams, while Michigan looks to extend its dominant unbeaten run.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Michigan Wolverines Spread: -14.5
  • Maryland Terrapins Spread: +14.5
  • Michigan Wolverines MoneyLine: -1200
  • Maryland Terrapins MoneyLine: +725
  • Total: 145.5

Michigan opened as a strong road favorite, reflecting their national ranking and overwhelming statistical profile. Maryland’s home-court advantage and improving health have kept the line from widening further. The total of 145.5 points suggests expectations for a moderately paced contest, with Michigan’s efficiency and depth likely driving scoring. See updated numbers and market shifts on the College Basketball Odds page.

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Matchup Breakdown

Michigan Wolverines Outlook

The Wolverines have won five straight by 28+ points, including blowouts of Auburn and Gonzaga. Elliot Cadeau scored 18 points with four threes in the 89-61 win over Villanova, while Michigan dominated the paint (46-10) and rebounding (53-33). Yaxel Lendeborg leads with 15.0 points per game, Aday Mara adds 8.9 rebounds and 2.8 blocks, and Morez Johnson Jr. contributes 13.4 points. Coach Dusty May rotates nine players, with bench depth fueling decisive runs. Michigan ranks No. 1 in KenPom and NET, leading the nation in field-goal differential (+17.7%).

Maryland Terrapins Outlook

The Terrapins fell 83-64 to Iowa in their Big Ten opener, committing 18 turnovers and shooting just 36.2%. Pharrel Payne posted 17 points and 14 rebounds, while the team continues to adjust after injuries disrupted early rotations. Maryland averages 72.5 points per game but has struggled defensively, allowing opponents to shoot 54% in their last outing. Coach Buzz Williams emphasized growth and discipline, noting the team must limit turnovers and improve perimeter defense to compete with Michigan’s frontcourt power.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Michigan’s dominant frontcourt versus Maryland’s rebounding and turnover issues is the focal battle. The Wolverines must continue to exploit size and depth, while the Terrapins rely on Payne and improved guard play to stay competitive.

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Injuries / Availability

Michigan: Full roster available.
Maryland: Full roster available, rotation stabilizing after injuries.

  • Michigan has won five straight games by 28+ points.
  • The Wolverines are 6-0 against power-conference opponents.
  • Maryland is 5-1 at home this season.
  • The Terrapins committed 18 turnovers in their Big Ten opener.
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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Michigan 84, Maryland 67

  • Pick: Michigan -14.5. The Wolverines’ depth and efficiency should allow them to cover comfortably.
  • Total: Under 145.5. Maryland’s offensive inconsistency points to a slightly lower-scoring outcome.

Expect Michigan to continue its dominant run, with their frontcourt and bench depth overwhelming Maryland despite the Terrapins’ home-court energy.

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