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Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies September 3rd 2025
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field. The Phillies have an 80-58 record and are first in the NL East. They are coming off a win and have a 6-4 record in their last ten games.
The Brewers hold an 85-54 record, leading the NL Central. They have lost their last two games and are 4-6 in their last ten. The game will feature Aaron Nola for the Phillies and Jose Quintana for the Brewers as the starting pitchers.
Phillies vs Brewers Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Date: Wednesday, September 3, 2025
- Betting Odds: Phillies Moneyline +100, Brewers Moneyline -118
The Phillies Can Win If…
The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a strong 10-8 win against the Milwaukee Brewers. Harrison Bader and Bryce Harper led the charge with key hits. Bader went 3 for 5 with 3 RBIs, while Harper added a home run to the tally.
The Phillies have a solid batting average of .258, ranking third in the league. Their ability to get on base is also notable, with an on-base percentage of .326. Kyle Schwarber’s 49 home runs and Trea Turner’s .301 batting average highlight their offensive strength.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has delivered 74 quality starts, the best in the league. Despite Aaron Nola’s struggles this season, the team has shown they can support him with strong hitting. With a recent offensive surge, the Phillies have the tools to secure another win.
The Brewers Can Win If…
The Milwaukee Brewers are looking to bounce back after a 10-8 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. In that game, the Brewers showed strong hitting with 10 hits and two home runs. Caleb Durbin and Brice Turang each hit a home run, contributing to the team’s offensive efforts.
The Brewers have been impressive at the plate this season, ranking second in batting average at .259. They also rank second in on-base percentage with .331. This consistent hitting performance can be a key factor in their ability to win games.
Starting pitcher Jose Quintana could be a game-changer for the Brewers. With an ERA of 3.69 and a record of 10-5, Quintana has shown he can keep opposing hitters in check. His performance on the mound will be crucial in helping the Brewers secure a win against the Phillies.
The Lean
The Brewers are favored with a moneyline of -118, while the Phillies are at +100. My model projects the Brewers to win with a score of 5-4. The Brewers have a stronger pitching staff, ranking 2nd in ERA at 3.65, which gives them an edge in this game.
The total for the game is set at 9.0, with the over at -101 and the under at -119. My model projects a combined score of 9 runs. Given the strong pitching from both teams, especially the Brewers, the under at 9.0 seems like a safer pick.
Pitching Duel: Nola vs. Quintana
The Philadelphia Phillies look to clinch their three-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers with veteran right-hander Aaron Nola on the mound. Nola (3-7, 6.47 ERA) will face off against left-hander Jose Quintana (10-5, 3.69 ERA). Nola has a career-long success against the Brewers, holding a 7-2 record with a 2.64 ERA in 14 starts since 2016. Despite a recent ankle injury, Nola has a 2-0 record since his return in mid-August, though he has allowed a higher number of earned runs. Quintana, on the other hand, had a strong August but struggled in his last outing. He holds a 1-2 record with a 3.53 ERA in 13 career starts against Philadelphia. For more insights on this matchup and others, check out the latest expert betting guide.
Series Momentum and Team Standings
The Phillies hope to carry momentum from their 10-8 comeback victory in the series opener on Monday. After trailing 5-1, Philadelphia rallied for a huge win, with Brandon Marsh’s go-ahead single in the ninth inning. The win was a significant morale boost, especially after being swept by the Brewers in May. Milwaukee, holding the best record in baseball at 85-54, entered their off day with a 5 1/2-game lead in the NL Central. The Phillies, with the second-best record in the league at 80-58, maintain a six-game lead in the NL East. With both teams digging deep into their bullpens in the opener, Wednesday’s game will be a true test of depth.
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Player Spotlight and Recent Performance
Brandon Marsh has been a key player for the Phillies, hitting .343 over his last 34 games. He continued his strong performance in Monday’s game with four hits and the crucial game-winning RBI. For Milwaukee, closer Abner Uribe’s streak of not allowing an earned run was snapped, which could impact the bullpen strategy moving forward. The game is poised to be an exciting one, with both teams eager to secure a decisive victory.
