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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Evansville Purple Aces Betting Preview
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-3) host the Evansville Purple Aces (4-6) on Saturday afternoon at Purcell Pavilion. Notre Dame looks to remain unbeaten at home despite the loss of star Markus Burton, while Evansville aims to pull off a road upset.
Line Movement and Odds
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread: -16.5 (-112)
- Evansville Purple Aces Spread: +16.5 (-112)
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish MoneyLine: -4000
- Evansville Purple Aces MoneyLine: +1175
- Total: 136.5
Notre Dame opened as a heavy favorite, reflecting their strong home record (7-1) and offensive efficiency. Evansville’s competitive showing against Western Kentucky has kept bettors interested in the underdog, though the spread remains wide. The total of 136.5 points suggests expectations for a moderately paced contest, with Notre Dame’s balanced scoring and Evansville’s slower tempo shaping projections. See updated numbers and market shifts on the College Basketball Odds page.
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Matchup Breakdown
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Outlook
The Irish defeated Idaho 80-65, shooting 52.5% from the field. Carson Towt posted 19 points and 15 rebounds, while freshman Jalen Haralson added 20 points and has shot 60% in December. Notre Dame averages 76.9 points per game and shoots 37.5% from three, ranking among the nation’s most efficient offenses. Coach Micah Shrewsberry emphasized rhythm and collective effort in Burton’s absence, noting the team’s depth and resilience at home.
Evansville Purple Aces Outlook
The Aces fell 80-79 to Western Kentucky but showed offensive promise, hitting 14 threes. Connor Turnbull has averaged 19.3 points and 8.7 rebounds over the last three games, while Leif Moeller adds scoring punch. Evansville averages 70.1 points per game and shoots 54.3% from the field, but their road struggles (1-2 away record) remain a concern. Coach David Ragland emphasized execution and valuing possessions as keys to competing against power-conference opponents.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Notre Dame’s balanced scoring and rebounding versus Evansville’s perimeter shooting is the focal battle. The Irish must continue efficient shooting and rebounding dominance, while the Aces rely on Turnbull and Moeller to generate offense and keep the game close.
Injuries / Availability
Notre Dame: Markus Burton (ankle) out indefinitely.
Evansville: Full roster available.
Betting Trends
- Notre Dame is 7-1 at home this season.
- The Irish are 6-0 straight up as favorites.
- Evansville is 1-2 on the road.
- Connor Turnbull has averaged 19.3 points over his last three games.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Notre Dame 80, Evansville 62
- Pick: Notre Dame -16.5. The Irish’s home-court dominance and offensive efficiency should allow them to cover the spread.
- Total: Under 136.5. Evansville’s slower pace points to a game that falls just below the posted line.
Expect Notre Dame to continue thriving at home, with Towt and Haralson stepping up in Burton’s absence to secure a comfortable win.
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