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Montana State heads to Ogden on Thursday night for a Big Sky matchup with Weber State at the Dee Events Center. The market is pricing this as a near coin-flip with Weber State laying a half point at home, which is usually a sign that both teams have viable paths to control the game. Weber State’s home split is the biggest factor in the line, while Montana State’s recent form and perimeter shooting give it a real chance to win outright if it plays clean offensively. When the number is this tight, the handicap is about shot profile and which team can create the more repeatable looks. Montana State can stretch the floor and score in bunches when the threes

Montana heads to Pocatello on Thursday night for a Big Sky matchup with Idaho State at Reed Gym. The market is treating this like a true toss-up, with Montana a small road favorite and the moneyline priced close to even. That usually means you want to handicap the details, not the records. Montana has the cleaner offensive efficiency profile and more reliable shot-making, while Idaho State’s best argument is home court and the ability to keep the game in a manageable tempo range. From a betting perspective, this is the kind of number where one or two runs decide the ticket. If Montana’s shooting translates and it gets consistent stops without fouling, it can cover -1.5 with a standard road

Idaho heads to Portland on Thursday night for a Big Sky matchup with Portland State at Viking Pavilion. This is a classic conference spot where market respect for the home team meets a road dog that can score in bunches. Portland State has been the steadier team across the full season and has protected its home floor, but Idaho’s profile is built to keep games tight. The Vandals can stretch defenses with volume threes, and when they’re making shots early, they can dictate game state even without owning the paint. From a betting perspective, the spread is telling you this should be a one or two possession game deep into the second half. That means you want to handicap shot

South Dakota heads to Denver on Thursday night for a Summit Conference matchup at Hamilton Gymnasium. Denver is priced as a home favorite, and the number reflects how the Pioneers have played in their own building compared to a South Dakota team that has been uneven on the road. This is also a style game that can turn quickly. Both teams can score, both teams are comfortable playing in the 70s and 80s, and the total is set high because the market is expecting pace and efficient possessions. The betting angle comes down to whether Denver’s shooting carries at home and whether South Dakota can keep this within one or two runs by living at the foul line. South Dakota