Saint Mary’s Gaels vs Santa Clara Broncos Picks and Predictions January 17th 2026

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Saint Mary’s Gaels vs Santa Clara Broncos Betting Preview

The Saint Mary’s Gaels look to extend their strong season, while the Santa Clara Broncos aim to protect their home floor in this West Coast Conference clash at the Leavey Center.

Line Movement and Odds

Santa Clara enters as the slight favorite, but Saint Mary’s offensive balance makes this line competitive. Current market:

  • Saint Mary’s Spread: +1.5 (-113)
  • Santa Clara Spread: -1.5 (-108)
  • Saint Mary’s MoneyLine: -111
  • Santa Clara MoneyLine: -113
  • Total: 156.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Saint Mary’s Outlook

The Gaels average 79.9 points per game, with Joshua Dent, Andrew McKeever, and Paulius Murauskas leading the offense. Dent’s 19 points and 7 assists vs San Francisco highlighted his consistency, while McKeever’s 17 rebounds showcased his dominance inside. Saint Mary’s shooting efficiency (47.5% FG, 80th nationally; 38.6% from three, 32nd nationally) and free-throw accuracy (82.0%, 19th nationally) underscore their strengths. Their 17-2 record and 4-1 road mark highlight resilience, making them a dangerous underdog.

Santa Clara Outlook

The Broncos average 83.3 points per game, with Allen Graves, Christian Hammond, and Carlos Marshall Jr. driving production. Graves’ 17 points and 8 rebounds vs Pacific highlighted his consistency, while Hammond’s 18 points on 70% shooting showcased his efficiency. Santa Clara’s shooting efficiency (9.9 threes per game, 78th nationally) and ball movement (17.9 assists per game) underscore their strengths. Their 15-5 record and 12-2 home mark highlight consistency, making them tough at the Leavey Center.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on pace and perimeter defense. Saint Mary’s thrives on efficient shooting and balanced scoring, while Santa Clara must rely on three-point accuracy and home-court energy to tilt the game. Turnovers and rebounding will likely decide the margin.

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Injuries / Availability

Saint Mary’s: No injuries reported.

Santa Clara: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

The Leavey Center has been a reliable venue for Santa Clara, where they’ve gone 12-2 this season. Saint Mary’s enters with confidence from strong offensive performances, making this a clash of home strength vs national contender momentum.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Santa Clara 82, Saint Mary’s 78

  • Santa Clara -1.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive efficiency and home-court advantage suggest they can cover the spread.
  • Under 156.5 → Total play. Both teams’ slower pace points toward a combined score below the line.

Santa Clara’s depth and home-court advantage should carry them to victory, while Saint Mary’s offense keeps the game competitive. Expect a moderately high-scoring contest with totals landing just under the posted number.

Handicappers and Service Plays

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