San Jose State Spartans vs Stanford Cardinal Picks and Predictions December 13th 2025

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San Jose State Spartans (5-5) host the Stanford Cardinal (7-2) on Saturday in a Bay Area clash. Stanford looks to rebound from a heartbreaking loss to UNLV, while San Jose State seeks to continue its home-court momentum.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Stanford Cardinal Spread: -8.5
  • San Jose State Spartans Spread: +8.5
  • Stanford Cardinal MoneyLine: -360
  • San Jose State Spartans MoneyLine: +285
  • Total: 143.5

Stanford opened as a road favorite, reflecting their stronger record and talent advantage. San Jose State’s recent surge at home has kept the line from widening further, with bettors expecting a competitive contest. The total of 143.5 points suggests expectations for a moderately paced game, shaped by Stanford’s efficiency and San Jose State’s offensive spark from Garland. See updated numbers and market shifts on the College Basketball Odds page.

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Matchup Breakdown

Stanford Cardinal Outlook

The Cardinal fell 75-74 to UNLV despite Ebuka Okorie’s 18 points. Stanford led by nine in the first half but struggled against defensive pressure, committing turnovers and taking questionable shots. Coach Kyle Smith emphasized learning from the setback. Stanford averages 77.8 points per game, with Okorie and Andrej Stojakovic providing scoring balance. The Cardinal’s defense and rebounding remain strengths, but ball security will be critical against San Jose State’s aggressive guards.

San Jose State Spartans Outlook

The Spartans defeated Long Beach State 89-83 in overtime, led by Colby Garland’s 27 points. Garland averages 17.5 points per game and has been the catalyst for San Jose State’s recent surge. Sadraque NgaNga and Yaphet Moundi provide secondary scoring, while Jermaine Washington adds playmaking. Coach Tim Miles praised the team’s resilience but noted areas for improvement. San Jose State averages 72.1 points per game and is 4-1 at home, making them a dangerous underdog.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Stanford’s ability to limit turnovers versus Garland’s scoring explosion is the focal battle. The Cardinal must control tempo and defensive rotations, while the Spartans rely on Garland’s shot-making and balanced contributions to stay close.

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Injuries / Availability

Stanford: Full roster available.
San Jose State: Full roster available.

  • Stanford is 7-2 overall, averaging 77.8 points per game.
  • The Cardinal lost 75-74 to UNLV in their last outing.
  • San Jose State is 4-1 at home this season.
  • Garland scored 27 points in the Spartans’ overtime win vs. Long Beach State.
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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Stanford 76, San Jose State 68

  • Pick: Stanford -8.5. The Cardinal’s depth and defensive edge should allow them to cover.
  • Total: Under 143.5. Stanford’s defensive adjustments and San Jose State’s pace point to a slightly lower-scoring outcome.

Expect Stanford to bounce back with a focused performance, while San Jose State’s home-court energy keeps the game competitive before the Cardinal pull away late.

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