Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Picks and Predictions May 17th 2025

A Tale of Two Trajectories

As MLS action heats up this weekend, all eyes turn to Mercedes-Benz Stadium, where two teams with contrasting fortunes square off. Atlanta United, languishing near the bottom of the Eastern Conference, hosts a red-hot Philadelphia Union team that’s climbed into a tie for second place. While Philly rides a five-game unbeaten wave, Atlanta is still searching for its first victory since March 29.

Philadelphia Union: Riding Momentum and Resilience

Unbeaten in Five and Counting

Under first-year head coach Bradley Carnell, the Union has been a revelation. With 26 points from 13 matches, they sit just behind FC Cincinnati in the Eastern Conference table. Their recent run includes four wins and a draw, showing consistency on both ends of the pitch.

Offensive Firepower with Baribo Leading the Charge

The Union has scored 26 goals, second only to San Jose in the league. Much of that success stems from the incredible form of Tai Baribo, whose 10 goals lead MLS this season. His latest heroics came in a dramatic 3-2 comeback win against LA Galaxy, where he netted a brace, including the game-winner in stoppage time.

“We were relentless in the second half and that’s what we set out to do,” said Carnell, emphasizing the team’s mental toughness.

Tactical Growth and Team Cohesion

What sets this Union squad apart is their ability to adapt mid-game, something highlighted in their recent victory. From trailing 2-0 to securing three points, the turnaround speaks volumes of their tactical flexibility and locker-room belief. Check our Soccer Picks from Soccer Expert Handicappers

Atlanta United: Searching for Stability and a Spark

Drought Since March

It’s been a frustrating run for Atlanta United. The team hasn’t tasted victory since a 4-3 thriller against NYCFC on March 29, going 0-4-3 since. With just 11 points, they’re struggling to gain traction in a competitive conference.

Signs of Life Against Austin FC

In their latest outing, Atlanta managed a 1-1 draw against Austin FC, thanks to a stoppage-time equalizer from Jamal Thiare, his first goal of the season. The goal was more than a morale boost—it was a sign that Atlanta can still compete under pressure.

“We had a totally different discipline and attitude,” said coach Ronny Deila, optimistic about the team’s incremental progress.

Key Contributors: Latte Lath and Almiron

Emmanuel Latte Lath leads the team with five goals, while Miguel Almiron has chipped in three. Despite their efforts, Atlanta’s attack lacks the sharpness seen in past seasons.

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Matchup Insights: What to Expect on Game Day

For Philadelphia

• High Press and Quick Transitions: Expect the Union to press early and capitalize on any Atlanta defensive lapses.
• Baribo Watch: All eyes will be on MLS’s top scorer to see if he can extend his golden run.

For Atlanta

• Urgency and Unity: With mounting pressure, Atlanta must tighten its defense and create clearer chances in front of goal.
• Fan Factor: A home crowd could provide the emotional push needed to break the winless streak.

Prediction and Outlook

Based on form and firepower, Philadelphia Union enters as clear favorites. However, Atlanta’s desperation could make them dangerous—especially if they start strong and feed off home support.

Prediction: Philadelphia 2 – 1 Atlanta

Conclusion: A Turning Point Awaits

Saturday’s clash could mark a turning point for both teams. For Philadelphia, it’s about maintaining momentum and chasing the top spot. For Atlanta, it’s a chance to reset, rally, and finally reclaim a long-lost winning feeling.