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Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Picks and Predictions — August 30, 2025
Playoff implications loom large Saturday night as Austin FC host the San Jose Earthquakes at Q2 Stadium. Both clubs sit on 35 points in the Western Conference table, with San Jose holding the edge on goal differential. Austin, however, has played two fewer matches — raising the stakes in this head-to-head battle.
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Oddsmakers list Austin as a +120 favorite, San Jose at +220, and the draw at +240.
Want sharp MLS playoff race picks? Get expert insights here →
Austin FC Can Win If…
They start strong and stop conceding early goals. Austin has gone winless in three (0-1-2) and fell behind inside 10 minutes in a 3-2 loss to CF Montreal last weekend. Myrto Uzuni and Owen Wolff each scored in that match, showing the attack is capable.
“We don’t need to get punched in order to respond. We can be the ones that punch the opponent,” coach Nico Estevez said.
If Austin flips the script with early intensity and the Wolff–Uzuni duo continues producing, the hosts can seize a crucial three points.
San Jose Can Win If…
They stay composed late and build on their recent momentum. The Quakes snapped a winless skid with a 2-1 victory over Houston last time out, but late collapses have haunted them all season.
“We really blew a game … we’ve done that on probably a half a dozen occasions this year,” coach Bruce Arena said. “If anything, we learned to win ugly, and that was important.”
Ronaldo Vieira made his debut in midfield against Houston, adding fresh energy. If San Jose avoids defensive lapses and steals a goal through Cristian Espinoza’s service, they could grab points on the road.
Key MLS Betting Trends
| Category | Austin FC | San Jose |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-9-8 (35 pts) | 9-11-8 (35 pts) |
| Last 5 Matches | 1-2-2 | 2-2-1 |
| Goals For | 36 | 40 |
| Goals Against | 42 | 36 |
| Head-to-Head (2025) | 2-2 (USOC QF, Austin won on pens) | 2-2 (Lost on pens) |
The Lean
Pick: Draw (+240)
Projected Final Score: Austin 1, San Jose 1
Both sides are fighting for the playoffs, but neither has been consistent enough to inspire full confidence. Austin’s home edge balances with San Jose’s slightly better form, making a draw the most likely outcome in this evenly matched contest.
Stay tuned to our MLS betting previews hub for more playoff-race analysis and expert picks.
Every point matters in the West playoff chase. Get sharp MLS predictions here →
