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Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders Picks, Predictions, and Odds
Two clubs jockeying for playoff position in the Western Conference square off Sunday when Austin FC host the Seattle Sounders at Q2 Stadium.
The Verde (11-10-8, 41 pts) enter in 7th place, two points above the playoff line, and just four points back of Seattle. The Sounders (12-8-9, 45 pts) sit 5th and are aiming for a top-4 finish to secure a home playoff game.
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Seattle took the first meeting this season with a 2-0 win at home in June, but Austin has been strong at Q2 Stadium, with points in seven of their last nine league matches.
Austin FC Can Win If…
The Verde come off a 2-1 U.S. Open Cup semifinal win at Minnesota United, with CJ Fodrey scoring in extra time. Austin has been resilient in recent weeks, going 4-2-3 since the Seattle loss.
Star attacker Sebastián Driussi remains the key creative force, while Diego Rubio adds finishing depth. At home, Austin averages 1.65 goals per game, a noticeable boost compared to the road.
If they control tempo and convert chances early, Austin has a great opportunity to climb the West table.
Seattle Sounders Can Win If…
Seattle stumbled in a 3-1 road loss at Inter Miami, but they’ve dropped just two of their last 10 MLS matches. Their attack is dangerous with Danny Musovski (14 goals) and Albert Rusnák (10 goals, 8 assists), both rested midweek.
Defensively, the Sounders allow 1.16 goals per game, ranking among the stingiest back lines in MLS. If Musovski and Rusnák click while the defense stays compact, Seattle can secure valuable away points.
Key MLS Betting Trends
| Category | Austin FC | Seattle Sounders |
|---|---|---|
| Last 10 Matches (MLS) | 4-2-4 | 4-2-4 |
| Home Record (2025) | 7-4-3 | 4-6-5 (Away) |
| Goals Scored per Match | 1.42 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded per Match | 1.45 | 1.16 |
The Lean
Model Projection: Austin 1, Seattle 1
Best Bet: Draw (+240)
Total Lean: Under 2.5 (-115)
Both sides are evenly matched and fighting for playoff position. Austin’s home advantage and Seattle’s defensive strength point to a tight battle. A low-scoring draw is the best value on the board.
Explore more MLS previews and picks for upcoming matches.
Best Bet Box
| Best Bet Category | Selection |
|---|---|
| Best Bet | Draw (+240) |
| Confidence Rating | ★★★☆☆ |
| Projected Score | Austin 1, Seattle 1 |
| Total Lean | Under 2.5 |
