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Stanton-Less Miami Rely on Suarez to Ignite Against Struggling D.C.
Inter Miami CF (13‑5‑6, 45 pts) head to Audi Field on Saturday — likely without Lionel Messi due to a hamstring setback — to face D.C. United (4‑15‑8, 20 pts). Miami carries momentum into this game after a Leagues Cup quarterfinal victory powered by Luis Suárez, while D.C. look for a first win since the coaching change as they stand bottom of the Eastern Conference.
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Opening Odds
- Moneyline: Inter Miami favored (–225), D.C. United underdog (+250)
- Spread: Miami –1.5 to –2 (handicap option)
- Total Goals: Over lean, expecting some fireworks even without Messi
The Herons (Inter Miami) Can Win If…
- Suárez keeps firing: He scored twice in the win over Tigres and remains a critical thrust for the offense.
- Messi’s absence doesn’t slow them: With 19 goals and 10 assists this season, he’s the league’s top scorer. But Miami’s supporting cast, especially in deep matches, has proven capable
- Safer pace and defensive discipline: Miami’s roster quality still towers over D.C., and a disciplined approach can dominate a bottom-table outfit.
D.C. United Can Win If…
- Benteke sparks the attack: With 8 goals, he remains D.C.’s most consistent threat.
- New coach yields traction: Under René Weiler, D.C. drew 1–1 with Montreal in his debut — a small sign of life.
- Defensive structure improves: D.C. have allowed 52 goals (most in the East) and scored 23 (fewest in MLS). A tighter showing could disrupt Miami.
Key MLS Betting Trends
| Category | Inter Miami CF | D.C. United |
|---|---|---|
| MLS Form (Record, Points) | 13-5-6 (45 pts) | 4-15-8 (20 pts) |
| Messi’s Impact | 19 goals, 10 assists | Not applicable |
| Suárez’s Recent Surge | 2-goal game vs. Tigres | — |
| D.C.’s Defensive Woes | — | 52 goals conceded (most) |
| Goals Scored vs Allowed | High scoring team | At other end of spectrum |
The Lean
Even without Messi, Inter Miami’s depth and form give them a clear edge in this matchup. D.C. has to improve defensively to keep things close. Projection:
- Scoreline: Inter Miami 2, D.C. United 0
- Pick: Inter Miami Moneyline
- Lean: Over total goals
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