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RCD Mallorca visit Levante on Sunday, May 17, for a La Liga Matchweek 37 relegation fight at Estadi Ciutat de València. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET, and this one has a very clear table angle. Both clubs are sitting on 39 points near the bottom, with Mallorca 18th and Levante 19th, so a loss here could leave either side in a brutal spot going into the final matchday.
Levante come in with better home momentum, and that matters a lot in a game this tense. They have won four straight at home and just beat Celta Vigo 3-2 away, which gave them a real survival lifeline. Mallorca, meanwhile, lost 3-1 at Getafe last time out and have been poor on the road for most of the season.
This is not a match where I expect either side to play freely for 90 minutes. The pressure is heavy, the relegation math is uncomfortable, and the draw is very live because neither team can afford a reckless game state. Still, Levante’s home form and Mallorca’s injury list push me slightly toward the hosts.
RCD Mallorca vs Levante Odds
These are the current betting lines for RCD Mallorca vs Levante, and bettors should always monitor the latest soccer odds before locking in a number. This is a 3-way moneyline market, with the draw priced around +245.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| RCD Mallorca | +240 | +0.25 (-102) | O 2.5 (-128) |
| Levante | +112 | -0.25 (-122) | U 2.5 (-102) |
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RCD Mallorca Betting Form
Mallorca’s recent form is mixed enough to make them dangerous, but not clean enough to trust on the road. Over their last 10 league matches, they have four wins, three draws and three losses, averaging around 1.5 goals per match. That is respectable, but the away form is the real concern. Mallorca have lost seven of their last 10 away matches, and in a relegation-pressure game, that is hard to ignore.
The bigger issue is availability. Omar Mascarell is suspended, Pablo Maffeo is suspended, Sergi Darder has been dealing with illness, and Vedat Muriqi, Takuma Asano and Martin Valjent are all listed with injury concerns or absences. That takes away a lot of physical presence, defensive structure and attacking reference points. Mallorca can still compete through possession spells and wide movement, but the missing pieces reduce their margin.
From a betting angle, Mallorca are more appealing on the handicap than the 3-way moneyline. The +0.25 protects against a draw, and that matters in a match where both teams may spend long stretches avoiding the one mistake that destroys their season. But asking Mallorca to win outright away from home, with this injury list, feels like a reach.
Levante Betting Form
Levante are not safe, and the table still looks ugly, but their form has improved at the right time. They have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last 10 league matches, averaging 1.6 goals from just over five shots on target per match. That is not dominant, but it is productive enough for a team fighting to survive.
The home form is the main selling point. Four straight home wins changes the tone of this matchup. Levante have looked more confident at Estadi Ciutat de València, and they have been getting contributions from Carlos Espí, Kervin Arriaga, Roger Brugué and Pablo Martínez. Mathew Ryan’s injury is a concern in goal, and Ugo Raghouber is also out, but the overall team rhythm is better than Mallorca’s right now.
The betting case for Levante is simple. They are at home, they are creating more shot volume than earlier in the season, and they face a Mallorca side missing several important players. The concern is price and pressure. Levante are favored, but this is still a relegation match where nerves can flatten the tempo quickly.
RCD Mallorca vs Levante Matchup Breakdown
This game should come down to control versus urgency. Mallorca usually want enough possession to settle into the match, but without Mascarell and possibly Darder, their midfield control is not as reliable. That could let Levante press higher in moments and force Mallorca into rushed build-up decisions.
Levante’s best attacking path is direct pressure through wide areas and second balls. They do not need to dominate possession to create danger. If they can get Carlos Espí touches in the box and pull Mallorca’s back line into repeated defensive actions, the home side should generate the better chances. It might not be pretty, but survival football rarely is.
The first goal is massive. If Levante score first, Mallorca have to open up, and that could expose their away defensive issues. If Mallorca score first, Levante may still have enough home energy to push back, but the match becomes more chaotic. That is where BTTS becomes tempting, even though the relegation pressure could also drag the tempo down.
The market leaning toward Over 2.5 is interesting, but I am not fully convinced. Recent Levante games have had goals, yes, but this specific match has a different feel. Both teams are level on points, both are near the drop, and both know a draw may still be useful depending on other results. Bettors looking at side, handicap and total markets can use a soccer betting strategy guide to think through why pressure games do not always follow recent scoring form.
RCD Mallorca vs Levante Predictions and Best Bets
I lean Levante to win, but I prefer the Asian handicap instead of a straight 3-way moneyline. The home form is strong enough to respect, and Mallorca’s away numbers are rough. Still, this matchup has draw risk written all over it. Levante -0.25 gives you a better structure because a draw only costs half the stake.
The total is tougher. Over 2.5 has market support, and Levante’s recent games have been lively. But Mallorca’s absences in attack and midfield make me less excited about needing three goals. I would lean Under 2.5 if forced, but the price is not as strong as the side angle.
BTTS is also live because both defenses have issues, but again, the pressure makes it awkward. This could be 1-1 for long stretches, or it could turn into a 1-0 survival grind if one side scores early and shuts the match down. That is why I do not want my main bet tied only to goals.
For me, the best value sits with Levante’s home edge without asking them to cover a full goal. The hosts are in better rhythm, they have the stronger home trend, and Mallorca’s injury and suspension list is too long for a road survival match. On a tight card, that is enough.
Best Bet: Levante -0.25 (-122).
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