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Sporting KC vs Real Salt Lake Picks and Predictions — September 13, 2025
Playoff hopes hang in the balance Saturday night when Sporting Kansas City visit Real Salt Lake.
Salt Lake (9-14-4, 31 points) trail ninth-place San Jose by four points, while Kansas City (7-16-6, 27 points) need near-perfection in their final five matches to stay alive. Both sides are in must-win territory.
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Sporting KC Can Win If…
- Dejan Joveljic stays hot. He’s scored four straight games and has 17 on the year, just one shy of the second-best single-season total in SKC history.
- They defend with urgency. SKC have allowed 59 goals — worst in MLS. Any improvement here gives them a chance.
- They take advantage of RSL rust. Salt Lake haven’t played since Aug. 23 due to a bye week and the international break.
Defender Khiry Shelton admitted the lapses are killing them:
“A second here, a second there, and then we get scored on.”
Real Salt Lake Can Win If…
- Diego Luna sparks the attack. Back from suspension, the team’s scoring leader returns at a crucial time.
- They build on intensity. Midfielder Johnny Russell said training has been sharp during the layoff — now it must translate to matchday.
- Agada and Gozo provide depth. With both also back from suspensions, RSL suddenly have multiple attacking options.
Russell emphasized the urgency:
“We have to make sure the hard work we’ve put in doesn’t go to waste.”
Key MLS Betting Trends
| Category | Sporting KC | Real Salt Lake |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-16-6 (13th West) | 9-14-4 (11th West) |
| Form (Last 5) | 1-3-1 | 0-3-2 |
| Goals For | 38 | 28 (T-2nd lowest MLS) |
| Last Meeting | 1-1 Draw (June 28, 2025) |
The Leans
Main Pick: Draw (+250)
Projected Score: SKC 1, RSL 1
- Moneyline Angle: With both teams struggling and tied in the first meeting, another draw is realistic.
- Total Goals Angle: Under 2.5 (-115) — RSL’s attack is the second-worst in MLS, while SKC’s offense is overly reliant on Joveljic.
Best Bet Box
Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals (-115)
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Elimination pressure mounts in the West. 👉 See today’s expert MLS picks
