NFL Previews 
MLB Previews 
NBA Previews 
NHL Previews 
Soccer Previews 
Orlando City vs Toronto FC Game Preview
The final day of the MLS regular season carries high stakes for Orlando City, who travel north to face Toronto FC at BMO Field on Saturday, October 18, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET. The Lions are safely in the playoffs but still fighting to avoid the dreaded wild card round, while Toronto looks to close a dismal campaign on a positive note.
Smarter Bets Win More
Make confident wagers with expert breakdowns.
Line Movement and Odds
Orlando opened as firm favorites despite recent away struggles, with betting markets reflecting Toronto’s league-worst form at home.
Moneyline: Orlando City -140 | Toronto FC +310
Draw: +270
Total: Over/Under 2.5 (Over -118 / Under +102)
Bettors have leaned slightly toward the Over, anticipating Orlando’s attack to rebound against a porous Toronto defense that ranks among the worst in MLS.
Game Overview
Orlando City enters Decision Day with playoff security but uncertainty in seeding. Sitting on 53 points, the Lions can lock in a first-round berth — avoiding the single-elimination wild card — with a win or draw. A loss, however, opens the door for Chicago and Columbus to leapfrog them in the standings.
Their recent 2–1 loss to Vancouver exposed a familiar flaw: an inability to sustain leads. After scoring early, Orlando dropped deep, inviting pressure that ultimately cost them points. Defender Dagur Thorhallsson acknowledged the tactical lapse bluntly — “We score and then we just drop down and defend.”
Despite that setback, the Lions remain one of the league’s more complete squads under Oscar Pareja. They’ve conceded just 39 goals, ranking top five in MLS for defensive stability, and their core — Facundo Torres, Duncan McGuire, and Ivan Angulo — continues to drive the attack. Torres, in particular, has been clinical down the stretch, while McGuire’s physicality gives Orlando a valuable outlet on the road.
Their away form, though, remains a concern. Orlando has not won on the road since July 25, posting a 0–3–4 record since then. Pareja’s men will need to rediscover that edge in a fixture that demands focus and composure.
On the other side, Toronto FC (5–14–14, 29 points) limp into their finale as one of MLS’s most disappointing teams. Their 2–0 loss to LAFC last week snapped a record-setting run of eight straight draws, and they’ve now gone 11 consecutive matches without a win. Offensively, they’ve managed just 31 goals, second-worst in the league, with star forward Lorenzo Insigne enduring an injury-riddled season.
Head coach Robin Fraser has been transparent about the club’s rebuilding phase. “We’re still experimenting,” he said post-match. “We’re definitely in the building phase of this project.” That experimentation has come at the expense of cohesion, as Toronto continues to search for a consistent identity.
Home struggles have been just as glaring — the Reds haven’t won at BMO Field since June 28, going 0–6–5 since then. Their defensive structure has improved slightly, but lapses in transition and midfield turnovers remain fatal.
Injury Reports
| Team | Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City | Robin Jansson (D) | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Joran Gerbet (M) | Out | ACL | |
| César Araújo (M) | Questionable | Groin | |
| Marco Pasalic (M) | Available | Returned from International Duty | |
| David Brekalo (D) | Available | Returned from International Duty | |
| Alex Freeman (D) | Available | Returned from International Duty | |
| Toronto FC | Alonso Coello (M) | Suspended | Red Card |
| Richie Laryea (D) | Out | Hamstring | |
| Lorenzo Insigne (F) | Questionable | Calf |
Betting Trends
- Orlando City are unbeaten in their last 4 matches vs Toronto (3W–1D).
- The Lions are winless in their last 7 road matches (0W–3L–4D).
- Toronto FC are 0–6–5 in their last 11 home matches.
- Both teams have hit the Over 2.5 in 4 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings.
- Orlando has scored first in five of its last seven matches, but won only twice in that span.
- Toronto has conceded 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 games.
Stop Guessing, Bet with Confidence
With the best insights
Prediction and Analysis
This matchup comes down to motivation and structure — two areas where Orlando holds the clear edge. The Lions have everything to play for, while Toronto’s only goal is to end the season without another home defeat. Pareja’s side should look to press early, control possession, and avoid the defensive drop-off that’s plagued them recently.
Toronto will likely lean on Federico Bernardeschi and Deandre Kerr for any attacking spark, but without Alonso Coello in midfield and with Insigne’s status uncertain, their creativity will be limited. Expect Orlando’s midfield trio to dominate possession and generate enough chances to secure the result they need.
Projected Score: Orlando City 2, Toronto FC 0
Best Bet: Orlando City Moneyline (-140)
Over/Under Lean: Under 2.5 (+102)
For expert-verified MLS picks, ROI data, and live playoff projections, check the Best Handicappers Leaderboard for the latest betting insights.
