Picks and Predictions for the Cougars

If you’d like to get a head start this season, here are some of the picks and predictions the ScoresandStats team has cooked up for the Cougars:

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Houston Cougars History

Established in 1946, the Houston Cougars football program has a storied past marked by significant achievements and notable alumni. Under the leadership of coaches like Bill Yeoman, the Cougars introduced innovative offensive strategies, including the Veer offense, which revolutionized college football in the 1960s and 70s.

The program has produced several NFL stars, such as Andre Ware, the 1989 Heisman Trophy winner, and Case Keenum, who set multiple NCAA passing records. Houston’s commitment to excellence has been evident through its competitive performances in various conferences over the decades.

Transitioning into the Big 12 Conference in recent years, the Cougars have faced new challenges and opportunities, striving to establish themselves as a formidable force in a Power Five conference. The 2025 season is poised to be a pivotal year in this ongoing journey.

Houston Cougars Timeline

• 1946: Houston Cougars football program established.
• 1962: Bill Yeoman appointed head coach, introducing the Veer offense.
• 1976: Joined the Southwest Conference.
• 1979: Achieved a 11-1 record, winning the Cotton Bowl.
• 1989: Andre Ware wins the Heisman Trophy.
• 1996: Transitioned to Conference USA.
• 2006: Won Conference USA Championship under coach Art Briles.
• 2011: Finished 13-1, winning the Conference USA title.
• 2015: Won the American Athletic Conference and the Peach Bowl under coach Tom Herman.
• 2021: Achieved a 12-2 record, winning the Birmingham Bowl.
• 2023: Joined the Big 12 Conference.
• 2025: Under coach Willie Fritz, the team undergoes significant roster changes aiming for a competitive season.
  

Houston Cougars Stats

In the 2024 season, the Cougars faced offensive challenges, averaging 14.0 points per game, ranking them 130th nationally. Their passing game struggled, with an average of 152.7 yards per game, placing them near the bottom in FBS rankings. However, the defense showed resilience, allowing 22.9 points per game, ranking 34th nationally.

The team’s rushing offense was more effective, averaging 134.8 yards per game. Despite the offensive struggles, the Cougars managed to maintain a competitive edge in several games, indicating potential for improvement with the right adjustments.

Houston Cougars Roster for 2025

The 2025 roster sees significant changes, with key additions aimed at revitalizing the team’s performance. Former Texas A&M quarterback Conner Weigman joins the Cougars, bringing experience and leadership to the offense. Weigman, a former five-star recruit, is expected to be the starting quarterback, offering stability to a position that saw inconsistency in the previous season.

The offensive line has been bolstered with transfers like Dalton Merryman (Texas Tech) and Jason Brooks Jr. (Oklahoma State), aiming to provide better protection and run support. Tight end Tanner Koziol, a standout from Ball State, adds a reliable target in the passing game.

Defensively, the team has strengthened its secondary with the addition of Jordan Allen (LSU) and Keionte Scott (Auburn), both bringing SEC experience and depth to the defensive backfield.

Houston Cougars Injury Report

The Cougars have faced several injuries impacting their depth, particularly on defense. Key players like linebacker Brandon Mack and defensive linemen Carlos Allen and Anthony Holmes Jr. have been listed on the injury report, affecting the team’s defensive rotations.

Before you start betting on the Cougars this year, make sure to check out the updated injury report:

Betting Outlook and Trends for the 2025 Season

The 2024 season presented both challenges and opportunities for bettors focusing on the Houston Cougars. With a new coaching staff and significant roster changes, several betting trends emerged that could inform strategies for the 2025 season.

Impact of New Quarterback Play

The addition of Conner Weigman as the starting quarterback is anticipated to revitalize the Cougars’ offense. In 2024, Houston’s offense struggled, averaging only 14.0 points per game, ranking near the bottom nationally. Weigman’s experience and skill set could lead to increased scoring opportunities. 

Bettors should monitor early-season games to assess the offense’s performance, as improvements could shift betting lines and totals. If the offense shows significant progress, betting on the over in total points may become favorable, especially against teams with weaker defenses.

Defensive Strengths

Despite offensive struggles, Houston’s defense demonstrated resilience in 2024, allowing an average of 22.9 points per game, ranking 34th nationally. The defense’s ability to keep games close suggests that betting on the under in total points could be profitable, particularly in matchups against strong defensive teams. 

Additionally, the defense’s performance against the spread (ATS) should be considered, as low-scoring games may lead to closer margins and potential covers. Analyzing defensive matchups and opponent offensive capabilities will be key in identifying value bets.

Performance Against the Spread (ATS)

In the 2024 season, the Cougars had a 5-6-1 record ATS. This indicates inconsistency in covering spreads, often influenced by offensive shortcomings. However, in games where the defense kept scores low, Houston managed to cover, especially as underdogs. 

Bettors should analyze specific matchups, considering factors such as opponent offensive strength and Houston’s defensive capabilities, to identify potential ATS value. Monitoring line movements and public betting trends can also provide insights into favorable betting opportunities.

Betting Trends from Last Season

Our handicappers identified a few trends last season that helped them place winning wagers on the Cougars. Did you notice these trends?

• Under in Total Points: In the 2024 season, the Cougars had a strong trend towards the under, with 9 out of 10 games going under the total points line. This was largely due to offensive struggles and a solid defense keeping scores low.
• Struggles Against Ranked Opponents: The Cougars have had difficulty against ranked teams, with a 12-game losing streak dating back to 2017. This trend suggests caution when betting on Houston in matchups against top-tier opponents.
• Inconsistency in Conference Play: Houston’s performance in the Big 12 has been inconsistent, making it essential to analyze specific matchups and trends before placing bets on conference games.

Key Players for Betting on the Houston Cougars

One of the best ways to find value on college teams is to bet on player props. The Cougars don’t have a wild roster, but there are a few players to watch out for:

Conner Weigman (QB)

Conner Weigman, a former five-star recruit from Texas A&M, brings a wealth of talent and experience to the Cougars’ quarterback position. During his tenure with the Aggies, he amassed 2,694 passing yards and 19 touchdowns over 15 games, showcasing his ability to lead an offense effectively. His dual-threat capability, evidenced by 261 rushing yards and 2 rushing touchdowns, adds another dimension to his game. Bettors should monitor his integration into Houston’s offensive scheme, as his performance could significantly impact passing yardage and touchdown prop bets. Early-season matchups against less formidable defenses may present opportunities to capitalize on favorable prop lines.

Tanner Koziol (TE)

Tight end Tanner Koziol joins the Cougars after a productive stint at Ball State, where he recorded 94 receptions for 839 yards and 8 touchdowns in a single season. His size and reliable hands make him a prime red-zone target, potentially boosting his touchdown reception totals. Koziol’s presence could also open up the field for other receivers, as defenses may need to allocate additional resources to cover him. Bettors should consider his impact on both his own receiving props and the overall offensive output. Monitoring his chemistry with Weigman will be crucial in assessing his value in prop markets.

Jordan Allen (S)

Jordan Allen, a transfer from LSU, adds depth and experience to Houston’s secondary. While his playing time with the Tigers was limited, his background in a competitive SEC environment equips him with valuable skills and knowledge. Allen’s versatility allows him to contribute in various defensive packages, potentially leading to increased opportunities for tackles and interceptions. Bettors focusing on defensive props should watch for his involvement in the Cougars’ game plans, especially in matchups against pass-heavy offenses. His performance could also influence team defensive metrics, affecting bets on total points allowed.

Dalton Merryman (OL)

Offensive lineman Dalton Merryman, standing at 6’9″ and weighing 305 pounds, brings significant size and strength to Houston’s offensive front. His transfer from Texas Tech aims to bolster a line that struggled in pass protection during the previous season. An improved offensive line can lead to better quarterback performance and increased rushing yards, impacting various offensive prop bets. While individual linemen aren’t typically featured in betting markets, Merryman’s influence on the offense’s efficiency should not be overlooked. Bettors should consider the offensive line’s performance when evaluating props related to total offensive yards and scoring.

Keionte Scott (CB)

Cornerback Keionte Scott, transferring from Auburn, brings a wealth of experience to the Cougars’ defense, having played in 33 games with 24 starts for the Tigers. His track record includes 115 tackles and 10 passes defended, highlighting his ability to disrupt opposing passing games. Scott’s presence in the secondary could lead to decreased receiving yards for opposing top receivers, making under bets on those players more appealing. Additionally, his potential for interceptions and pass breakups adds value to defensive prop markets. Bettors should monitor his matchups against key receivers to identify advantageous betting opportunities.

Houston Cougars Summary

The 2025 Houston Cougars are a team in transition, with significant changes aimed at improving upon a challenging 2024 season. For bettors, this presents both opportunities and risks. Monitoring the team’s offensive development, defensive consistency, and individual player performances will be key to making informed betting decisions. Don’t miss our College Football Previews

To enhance your betting strategy, consider leveraging expert insights and picks. Services like ScoresandStats.com offer valuable analysis and handicapping resources to help you navigate the betting landscape effectively.