Texas A&M Aggies vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Picks and Predictions November 25th 2025

Game Preview: Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils @ Texas A&M Aggies

Texas A&M returns to Reed Arena on Tuesday night riding one of its best offensive performances in program history. The Aggies enter at 4-2 after breaking their school record for made three-pointers in a 109-68 win over Manhattan. The Texas A&M Aggies have won all four of their home games this season and appear to be developing a fast-paced, high-efficiency identity in Year 2 under Bucky McMillan. The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils arrive at 1-6, facing their first power-conference opponent of the season and entering as one of the nation’s lowest-rated teams in both offensive and defensive efficiency.

Oddsmakers list Texas A&M as a massive -41.5 favorite, with the total set at 152.5. The Aggies’ 89 points per game reflect marked improvement from last season, while Mississippi Valley State hopes its pace and free-throw reliability can keep the margin competitive. More Tuesday breakdowns can be found on the NCAAB previews page.

Odds and Key Information

Texas A&M opened as one of the largest favorites on the board this week, and the spread has held steady with early bettors choosing both sides selectively. Mississippi Valley State’s tempo profile creates uncertainty about whether the game becomes high-scoring or controlled. The total sits at 152.5, with limited early movement toward the under due to Mississippi Valley State’s difficulties scoring efficiently.

Texas A&M’s staff highlighted ball movement and perimeter rhythm after producing 20-plus assists and connecting on 18 three-pointers. Mississippi Valley State emphasized maintaining pace and generating free-throw opportunities, where they rank top-40 nationally. Both programs enter without major new injury concerns.

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Outlook

Mississippi Valley State continues to play with aggression despite its early-season record. The Delta Devils’ offense flows through Michael James and Daniel Mayfield, who combine for more than 34 points per game and provide most of the shot creation. James averages 19.3 points and has been nearly automatic from the free-throw line, connecting on 30 of 31 attempts (96.8 percent). His ability to draw contact gives Mississippi Valley State a scoring lifeline during slow stretches.

Mayfield has been the team’s most reliable interior producer. He averages 15.4 points and 7.1 rebounds and has scored 28 and 22 points in his last two games. He earned all-tournament recognition during the Rainbow Classic by contributing 23.5 points and 8.5 rebounds over two competitive games. His versatility challenges smaller lineups, though Texas A&M’s frontcourt size will present tougher matchups.

The Delta Devils average 67.2 possessions per game, ranking inside the top 120 nationally in pace. Their free-throw consistency at 78 percent (34th nationally) helps them string together scoring, though overall offensive efficiency remains last among Division I programs per analytics models.

Defensively, Mississippi Valley State has struggled to slow ball movement and transition attacks, ranking last in defensive efficiency. They allow too many clean perimeter looks, a critical issue against an Aggies team rapidly improving from long range. For the Delta Devils to compete, they must slow early possessions, control the glass, and avoid conceding quick runs.

Texas A&M Aggies Outlook

Texas A&M enters with growing confidence following a record-setting shooting night against Manhattan. Ruben Dominguez delivered one of the best shooting displays in school history, making 10 of 14 threes and finishing with 30 points. His season averages have climbed to 14.8 points and nearly 49 percent from beyond the arc, anchoring an Aggies offense that ranks among the top 60 nationally in scoring.

Dominguez is one of four double-figure scorers, joining Marcus Hill (12.5), Rashaun Agee (11.2), and Rylan Griffen (11.2). The Aggies average 89 points per game, shoot 35.3 percent from deep, and continue to develop efficient spacing in half-court sets. Their 20.8 assists per game place them inside the top 10 nationally, illustrating unselfish play and improved rhythm.

Texas A&M’s defense continues to focus on generating pressure without over-committing. Agee remains a key two-way contributor with 7.8 rebounds per game and versatility guarding screens. The Aggies’ interior size and length create matchup problems for smaller opponents, and their transition structure has improved as conditioning has strengthened.

Home-court performance has been dominant. Texas A&M is 4-0 in Reed Arena this season, building off early momentum and strong crowd energy. Their shooting profile, combined with rebounding margin and efficient scoring at all three levels, makes them one of the more improved early-season teams in the SEC. More program details are available on the NCAAB team directory.

Key Matchup Table

Category	Advantage
Perimeter Shooting	Texas A&M Aggies
Free-Throw Efficiency	Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Interior Depth	Texas A&M Aggies
Pace & Tempo	Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

Betting Trends

Mississippi Valley State has covered the spread in several recent matchups, including a six-point loss to Utah Tech. Their ATS competitiveness often comes from pace variance and offensive reliance on two core scorers. Their totals have leaned under due to inefficiencies in half-court creation. Additional matchup context is available on the NCAAB scores and odds board.

Texas A&M has shown significant improvement in efficiency and has covered multiple recent games as favorites. Their home-floor advantage, combined with emerging perimeter shooters, creates strong early-season betting value. Bettors can reference analytical guidance on the college basketball picks page and broader insights via the college basketball championship odds hub.

Both teams trend differently in pace, creating potential volatility for totals. Shot-selection improvements have shifted Texas A&M’s totals higher, while Mississippi Valley State’s inefficiency on the road usually drags the number downward.

The Lean

Texas A&M’s balanced scoring, sharp perimeter shooting, and improved efficiency give the Aggies overwhelming advantages heading into this matchup. Mississippi Valley State’s best path lies in slowing pace, attacking the rim through James and Mayfield, and forcing Texas A&M into half-court execution. However, the Aggies’ depth and offensive ceiling project too strongly across all phases.

With a spread above 40 points, Mississippi Valley State’s tempo and free-throw reliability offer more cover potential than their ranking suggests. Texas A&M should control the game, but the Delta Devils’ ability to draw fouls and run possessions may keep the margin manageable. More matchup insights are available on the NCAAB previews page.

Projected Final Score: Texas A&M Aggies 95, Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils 60
Best Spread Pick: Mississippi Valley State +41.5
Total Lean: Under 152.5

Why You Need Expert Picks

Large-spread games require careful analysis of tempo, scoring distribution, and opponent efficiency. Expert projections factor consistency, line variance, rotation depth, and shooting regression. The Handicappers Leaderboard on the college basketball picks portal highlights high-performing analysts across early-season slates, while the handicapper reviews hub offers evaluation of expert reliability.

Expert picks help identify sharper edges in games with extreme spreads and uncertain scoring environments, particularly when pace and efficiency differ dramatically as they do in this matchup.