NFL Previews 
MLB Previews 
NBA Previews 
NHL Previews 
Soccer Previews 
Table of Contents
Match Facts
| Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Matchup | UC Davis Aggies vs Idaho State Bengals |
| Date | Sunday, December 21, 2025 |
| Time | 6:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Reed Gym |
| Location | Pocatello, Idaho |
| Game type | Non-conference (Big West vs Big Sky) |
| Broadcast | ESPN+ |
Gain Full Access to Pro Betting Reports
Stats That Turn Insight Into Profit
For more matchups and angles across the slate, start with the college basketball picks hub and compare prices on the NCAAB odds and lines.
Line and Odds
| Market | UC Davis | Idaho State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-110) | -5.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +200 | -250 |
| Total | 138.5 | 138.5 |
Movement Matchup
Idaho State is being priced as the stronger team largely because this game is in Pocatello, where the Bengals have been clean and consistent. The spread at -5.5 is a “win and cover with a normal home performance” number, not a statement that Idaho State is in a different tier.
The key number is 6. If this moves to -6.5, UC Davis value improves because you’re getting an extra possession margin in a game the model expects to be tight. On the total, 138.5 is modest relative to both teams’ scoring averages, so any move downward increases the appeal of the over.
For general approach on side vs total pricing and key-number discipline, use the betting guide.
Breakdown Injury Reports
UC Davis
| Player | Position | Status | Impact note |
|---|---|---|---|
| None | N/A | No major injuries reported | No expected rotation limitation |
Idaho State
| Player | Position | Status | Impact note |
|---|---|---|---|
| None | N/A | No major injuries reported | No expected rotation limitation |
UC Davis Recent performance
UC Davis is coming off a 79-78 loss to Seattle where the offense largely did its job. Isaiah Chappell was efficient (20 points on 70% shooting) and Brayden Fagbemi added 15 with four assists, which matters because UC Davis needs steady guard play to survive on the road.
The Aggies are scoring 75.6 points per game on 46.2% shooting, and the three-point rate (34.2%) gives them a real way to swing the cover if they get a clean perimeter night. The road record (1-4) is the concern, but they’ve shown they can play tight games into the final possessions, which is exactly what you want with points in hand.
For team context and how UC Davis compares across the slate, the NCAAB teams hub is the quickest reference.
Idaho State Recent performance
Idaho State has been strong at home (4-0) and is coming off an 80-64 win over Montana-Western. Connor Hollenbeck led with 18 points and six boards, with Caleb Van De Griend adding 17 and six. Their home form is the clearest reason they’re laying points here.
Offensively, the Bengals are steady rather than explosive: 75 points per game, 46.4% from the field, and a 53.6% effective field goal rate that points to quality looks and balance. Van De Griend (14.4 points, 6.8 rebounds) and Hollenbeck (13.6 points, 4.6 rebounds) give them consistent scoring without needing one player to go nuclear.
Betting Insights and Trends
Both teams live in a similar scoring band (mid-70s per game), which usually points to competitive spreads when the talent gap isn’t massive. That’s why UC Davis +5.5 is attractive if you believe their offense travels even moderately.
Idaho State’s edge is the venue and stability. If the Bengals avoid empty trips and keep UC Davis off the offensive glass, they can cover with a normal home performance. UC Davis’ path to the cover is shooting and guard creation; if they’re generating clean threes and avoiding live-ball turnovers, the number is very playable.
If you’re tracking the wider futures and market context around the sport, college basketball championship odds can help frame where money is flowing nationally.
Follow Winning Trends Across Every League
The Smartest Way to Bet Daily
Best Bets and Prediction
The model points to a close Idaho State win, which makes the underdog spread the sharper side.
Best bet: UC Davis +5.5 (-110)
Projected score: Idaho State 76, UC Davis 72
The projection (148) clears the number, and both teams’ scoring baselines support it. The over plays best if UC Davis’ efficiency holds and Idaho State continues its clean home offense.
Handicapper section
For more plays, head to college basketball picks and shop the number on the NCAAB odds and lines.
