Temple Owls vs Tulane Green Wave Picks and Predictions February 11th 2026

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Temple Owls vs Tulane Green Wave Game Preview

Temple heads to New Orleans on Wednesday night for an AAC matchup with Tulane at Devlin Fieldhouse, and the market is pricing this like a true coin-flip. With the spread sitting at a half-point, you are not betting “who is better” as much as you are betting game script, late-game execution, and which team is more likely to generate easy points when halfcourt possessions tighten up. Temple brings the steadier road profile and comes in off a confident win, while Tulane is trying to respond after a loss and lean into its best advantage at home.

This matchup sets up around foul pressure and closing minutes. Both teams can get to the stripe and both can win a one-possession game if they manage the final four minutes cleanly. If either side controls the free-throw math and avoids live-ball mistakes, that team is likely to be holding the edge when the game turns into possession-by-possession basketball late.

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Temple Owls vs Tulane Green Wave Odds

These are the current betting lines, and bettors should keep tracking movement throughout the day on the latest college basketball odds board.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Temple Owls-110+0.5 (-110)O 145.5
Tulane Green Wave-114-0.5 (-115)U 145.5

Temple Owls Betting Form

Temple is 15-8 overall and has been reliable away from home at 6-3, which is the first reason I take their side seriously in a near pick’em. They are not built around one narrow scoring path, and that matters on the road because you rarely get a perfect shooting night in a conference gym. The Owls just beat East Carolina 81-73, with Aiden Tobiason putting up 27 points on efficient shooting and Jordan Mason adding playmaking value with 7 assists. That combination is important in this spot, because the best way to steal a road win in a tight line is to have one scorer who can finish possessions and one guard who can stabilize decision-making.

From a betting perspective, Temple’s late-game profile is helped by free throws. They are at 75.5% at the line, which is the type of edge that shows up when the spread is half a point and the game comes down to fouls in the final minute. Derrian Ford gives them a consistent scoring base at 17.6 points per game, and Temple’s cover path is straightforward. Stay connected defensively, avoid empty trips, and win the last eight minutes at the stripe. Track recent form on the Temple Owls team page, and monitor the Temple injury report before tip.

Tulane Green Wave Betting Form

Tulane is 13-10 overall and 8-7 at home, and the reason they are favored is largely price and environment. This is a short number in their gym, and they have the most stable “easy points” profile in the matchup because of how often they can manufacture trips to the line. Tulane ranks high in free throws made per game at 18.8 and shoots 77.1% from the stripe, which is exactly what you want from a slight favorite in a game expected to be tight late. Even if the offense is uneven early, that free-throw base can keep them from going through extended scoreless stretches.

Rowan Brumbaugh is the headliner at 19.3 points per game, and Tulane’s win path is to keep him in scoring spots while turning the game into a physical halfcourt battle. If Tulane is able to guard without giving up clean catch-and-shoot looks and then punish Temple with free throws at the other end, the half-point spread is priced correctly for a home team that can close. The concern is offensive consistency, especially coming off a 75-61 loss to Wichita State, because in a short spread you cannot afford a four-minute drought that hands the opponent a two-possession cushion. Track form and roster notes on the Tulane Green Wave team page, and check the Tulane injury report before you lock anything in.

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Temple Owls vs Tulane Green Wave Matchup Breakdown

This is a “who gets the cleaner late-game possessions” handicap, and the free-throw math is the deciding lever. Both teams can score enough to reach the mid 70s, but neither team is priced like it will separate, so the margin is likely to come from small edges that compound. If Temple is getting to the line at its usual rate and converting, it can neutralize the home-court piece and force Tulane to win with shot-making. If Tulane is earning more free throws and turning Temple’s drives into fouls on the other end, that’s how the Green Wave win this game without needing to dominate from the field.

The total at 145.5 sits in a reasonable range, but it is sensitive to whistle and pace. Free throws can inflate scoring while also slowing possessions, so the game can feel slower and still land near the number. The under path is Temple and Tulane trading halfcourt possessions with limited transition and a more normal foul rate. The over path is a tight game where both teams are in the bonus early in each half and the final two minutes become a parade to the line. Because of that volatility, I prefer to keep the focus on the side and treat the total as a secondary angle.

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Temple Owls vs Tulane Green Wave Predictions and Best Bets

I lean Temple +0.5. The Owls have the better road profile, they are coming in with momentum, and their free-throw reliability fits this price range where one late empty trip can decide the result. Tulane can absolutely win it at home if Brumbaugh controls the scoring and the Green Wave win the foul battle, but I would rather take the half-point with the team that has been more dependable away from home in close scripts.

On the total, I lean under 145.5 if you expect a more controlled pace, but the late-game foul variable makes it harder to play with confidence. The cleaner angle is taking the point and giving yourself more ways to win in a one-possession finish.

Best Bet: Temple +0.5 (-110).

NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

If you’re betting conference games with short spreads, your edge comes from timing and price discipline more than trying to predict a perfect final score. Start at the NCAAB picks hub to see which sides and totals are drawing real support, then immediately compare the number you can actually bet on the college basketball odds board. If the spread moves from +0.5 to +1.5 or flips to -0.5, that changes how you should approach it because the margin is so thin in this range.

From there, use the NCAAB previews hub to scan the slate and pick your spots. This helps you avoid forcing action on every tight line when some games have clearer matchup edges or more stable totals. Once you’ve narrowed your card, keep the long-term accountability piece front and center by tracking performance on the handicappers leaderboard. If you want to follow consistent profiles rather than chasing one hot week, use the best handicappers page to find proven styles, then scale volume through Buy Picks only after you’ve identified which approaches you actually trust.

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