NFL Previews 
MLB Previews 
NBA Previews 
NHL Previews 
Soccer Previews 
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs Omaha Mavericks Picks and Predictions – Thursday, February 12, 2026
St. Thomas (MN) heads to Baxter Arena on Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET for a Summit League matchup with Omaha that is priced like a tight road-favorite spot. The Tommies are laying points away from home, which tells you the market is buying their consistency and overall profile more than Omaha’s night-to-night volatility.
Power Your Bets with NCAA Basketball Data
Confidence for every bet
This is also the kind of game where bettors should think in terms of game state. If St. Thomas (MN) can get to its preferred tempo and keep Omaha from turning possessions into quick shots, the Tommies have a clean path to covering a modest number. If Omaha can speed the game up, create scramble possessions, and get extra shots through offensive rebounds or forced turnovers, the underdog becomes live and the total can get pressured.
With a mid-150s total and a spread under two possessions, the late-game dynamics matter. Foul management, free-throw reliability, and who can generate a good shot in the final four minutes often decide both the side and the number on the total in this range.
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs Omaha Mavericks Odds
These are the current betting lines for this matchup, and bettors should monitor latest college basketball odds as tipoff approaches in case the number or juice moves.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | -192 | -4.5 (-109) | 154.5 (-118/-113) |
| Omaha Mavericks | +150 | +4.5 (-117) | 154.5 (-118/-113) |
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies Betting Form
St. Thomas (MN) is priced like the side with the higher floor, and that usually comes from two things bettors can bank on more often: stable half-court offense and fewer self-inflicted mistakes. When the Tommies are at their best, they are comfortable playing through structured possessions, getting into their sets, and creating a shot they can live with rather than forcing a quick look just because the clock is moving. That matters in a road game, because the easiest way for a favorite to get uncomfortable is to start trading rushed possessions and letting the home team feed off pace.
From a spread perspective, laying -4.5 is not asking St. Thomas (MN) to dominate for 40 minutes. It is asking them to win the possession battle and avoid the two or three burst runs that flip a game. The Tommies can cover this number if they do three basic things: value the ball, keep Omaha to one shot, and convert enough at the line when the game tightens late. If St. Thomas (MN) stays composed through Omaha’s pressure moments, the math works out in their favor because they are not relying on a single high-variance scoring source to stay in control.
One thing I like about backing a short road favorite is when the team can win even if the three-point shot is only average. St. Thomas (MN) does not need to shoot the lights out to cover if it is generating cleaner twos, getting to the stripe, and avoiding live-ball turnovers. If you want to track how their results have translated into betting outcomes, the St. Thomas (MN) Tommies stats and results page is a good way to review recent scoring patterns and margins.
Availability is always a big piece of the puzzle in college hoops, especially for guard depth and late-game ball handling. Before placing a bet close to tip, it is smart to check the St. Thomas (MN) Tommies injury report to make sure there are no surprises that change the rotation, pace, or defensive matchups.
Omaha Mavericks Betting Form
Omaha at home is usually a different handicap than Omaha on the road, and that is where this +4.5 becomes interesting. The Mavericks’ best path to covering is not complicated, but it does require them to play to their identity: bring energy early, speed up the game in selective spots, and create extra possessions. Underdogs do not need to be perfect offensively if they can win the hustle categories and make the favorite take uncomfortable shots late in the clock.
As a dog catching +4.5, Omaha does not need to “win the game” for your ticket to cash, but it does need to avoid the quiet stretches where the offense turns into one-pass jumpers. When Omaha is covering numbers, it is usually because it is getting downhill touches, drawing contact, and forcing the opponent’s defense to rotate. Those rotations create either free throws or kick-out threes that feel like rhythm shots instead of bailout attempts. If Omaha is settling early, it becomes much harder to stay inside a short number because you are giving the favorite a stable defensive environment.
The other angle for Omaha bettors is late-game pressure. Short spreads often come down to who executes the last two minutes better, and home teams can steal covers with timely stops, offensive rebounds, and a crowd-driven burst. If Omaha can keep the game within one possession entering the final media timeout, it has a real chance to win outright, which also makes the +150 moneyline interesting for bettors who want to chase the higher payout instead of laying juice on the points.
If you want a snapshot of how Omaha’s recent games have played in terms of tempo, totals, and margin, the Omaha Mavericks schedule and stats page helps frame whether they have been trending toward higher totals or grind-it-out finishes. And because underdogs can change shape quickly if a key guard is limited or a frontcourt piece sits, it is worth checking the Omaha Mavericks injury report before locking in either the side or the total.
UP TO $250 BONUS BET
The Best Live In-Game Betting
21+ Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs Omaha Mavericks Matchup Breakdown
This matchup starts with tempo control. The total is sitting at 154.5, which implies the market expects a decent pace and enough shot volume to get into the mid-70s range. St. Thomas (MN) generally benefits if the game is a little more controlled, because structured possessions reduce variance and reward teams that can consistently create a “good enough” look late in the clock. Omaha benefits if it can turn the game into spurts, where two stops plus a runout creates a fast 6-0 swing.
Turnovers are the first swing factor. If Omaha can create live-ball turnovers, it gets the easiest points in basketball and the kind of quick momentum that makes a short dog very live. If St. Thomas (MN) protects the ball and forces Omaha to score against a set defense, the Tommies are far more likely to win by a margin because they are not giving away free points.
Rebounding is the second swing factor, and it connects directly to both the spread and the total. Extra possessions through offensive boards can keep Omaha inside the number even if the shooting is uneven. For St. Thomas (MN), clean defensive rebounds help control pace and keep the Mavericks from stacking second-chance points that inflate the total and shorten the favorite’s margin for error.
Free throws and foul rate are the third piece that bettors should keep front and center. A game around this spread often becomes a free-throw contest late. If St. Thomas (MN) is consistently getting to the line, it can cover -4.5 without needing a big shooting night. If Omaha is the side drawing fouls, it can slow the game, chip away at margins, and push the total upward with efficient points while the clock is stopped.
Finally, think about finishing offense. In a one- to two-possession game, the team that can generate a clean look without turning it over has a major edge. That often comes down to guard play, spacing, and whether a team can punish help defense with timely kick-outs rather than forcing tough shots over length.
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs Omaha Mavericks Predictions and Best Bets
My lean is St. Thomas (MN) -4.5 (-109). The price is reasonable for a favorite that is being asked to win by two possessions, not to run away and hide. The Tommies’ path is cleaner: take care of the ball, limit Omaha’s second chances, and be the more reliable team late. In a matchup where the underdog’s best weapon is chaos, backing the favorite is usually the right side when you expect fewer giveaways and steadier execution.
The moneyline at -192 is playable for bettors who prefer a safer profile, but it is not cheap, and the better value is typically on the spread if you believe St. Thomas (MN) is the more consistent closing team. On the other side, Omaha +150 is a reasonable sprinkle only if you believe the Mavericks can win the turnover battle and force the game into a higher-variance script. If you see this as a clean half-court game, the upset path narrows quickly.
The total at 154.5 is the tougher handicap. The over makes sense if Omaha is successfully speeding the game up, creating extra possessions, and turning the fourth quarter into a free-throw-heavy finish. The under makes sense if St. Thomas (MN) controls pace, reduces transition chances, and forces Omaha into longer possessions with fewer clean rim looks. The juice profile suggests the market is shading toward the over, which is worth respecting, but totals in this range are often decided by turnovers and foul frequency more than pure shooting.
I am staying focused on the side. If St. Thomas (MN) plays a composed road game and does not fuel Omaha’s transition points, it should be able to build a working margin and protect it at the line. The number is small enough that you are not asking for dominance, just steadiness.
Best Bet: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies -4.5 (-109).
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
If you are betting college basketball regularly, the edge often comes from comparing multiple matchups and price points, not falling in love with one game. Building a card around numbers you trust, monitoring movement, and understanding how style matchups affect spreads and totals is how bettors stay consistent over the long season. That is why it helps to check today’s college basketball picks to see where value is showing up across the slate and how different matchups are being attacked.
Futures and awards markets can also sharpen your nightly betting reads because they capture how perception is changing around teams and high-usage players. If you are tracking who is trending up as conference races tighten, keep an eye on John Wooden Award odds and predictions along with broader team futures like college basketball championship odds to stay aligned with where the market is moving.
And if you want to tighten your approach to spreads and totals, focusing on repeatable fundamentals matters more than chasing a single hot night. The ScoresAndStats expert content on advanced betting strategies can help you think more clearly about price, game script, and the kinds of matchup edges that show up over and over during the season.
