Fulham vs Ipswich Town Best Pick, Prediction and Odds
No bet on Fulham at Ipswich Town. Ipswich Town have 2 home games this season, fewer than the 6 the method needs, and no home record of 4 games or more from last season in this league.
DraftKings has Ipswich Town at +185, the draw at +255 and Fulham at +140. With the book’s margin of 4.9% taken out, that is 33.4% for Ipswich Town, 26.8% for the draw and 39.7% for Fulham. This page has no number of its own to set against those prices, so there is no gap to measure and no bet.
How the number would be built
The method in one clause: each side’s expected goals are its scoring rate at the venue times the opponent’s conceding rate at the other venue, each against the league average, and a Poisson distribution on the two numbers gives the win, draw and loss chances. A side needs 6 games at the venue this season, or 4 at the same venue last season, before the method will use its rates.
Fulham have that. They have played 2 away games this season, so their number would come from last season: 4-5-10 in 19 away games in the 2025-26 Premier League, scoring 0.89 a game and conceding 1.63.
Ipswich Town do not. They are 1-0-1 in 2 home games this season, with 2 scored and 3 conceded, and ESPN’s 2025-26 Premier League table does not include them. Two games are too few to price a side, so the method stops there rather than guess.
The table, this season and last
After 5 games of 2026-27, Ipswich Town are 11th of 20 with 6 points, 2-0-3 with 7 scored and 11 conceded. Fulham are 19th with 2 points, 0-2-3 with 5 scored and 8 conceded. Fulham finished 2025-26 in 11th place with 52 points from 38 games.
Fulham have not won a league game this season and have not scored in their 2 away games. Five games prove little either way, and they are not part of any number on this page.
Pick: no bet
No bet on the result at any price. The method gives no chance for Ipswich Town at home, and without it there is no gap to measure.
What changes it
The sample. Once Ipswich Town have played 6 home games this season, the method uses their home record, and their home games get a number from then on.
The lineups. This page states nothing about who is available for either side.
The total
The total is 2.5, over -135 and under +110. With the margin removed the over is 54.7% and the under 45.3%. There is no number of ours to set against it, and the total is never a bet on this page.
The last meetings
ESPN lists five meetings since January 2018. Fulham won the first three. The two most recent were draws: 1-1 at Ipswich Town on 31 August 2024 and 2-2 at Fulham on 5 January 2025. The method does not use them.
Fulham at Ipswich Town, English Premier League, Saturday 10 October, 10:00 AM ET, Portman Road, Ipswich. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 8 October 2026, 07:40 UTC. Results and tables: ESPN, read 8 October 2026. Nothing here states who is available.