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UEFA Nations League Predictions

The UEFA Nations League is the competition that replaced most international friendlies. Europe’s 54 national associations are sorted into four tiers and play each other in groups, for points, on a fixed calendar. A meaningless summer exhibition became a table with something at stake.

This edition has not started. Every one of the 54 teams sits on nought points from nought games, and the eight fixtures on 24 September 2026 are matchday one. Our predictions for all eight are below.

Matchday one, 24 September 2026

GroupFixtureTier
A2Germany at NetherlandsLeague A
A2Greece at SerbiaLeague A
A4Denmark at NorwayLeague A
A4Wales at PortugalLeague A
B3Israel at AustriaLeague B
B3Republic of Ireland at KosovoLeague B
D1Malta at AndorraLeague D
D2Lithuania at LiechtensteinLeague D

Every fixture above is a home team hosting a visitor from its own group. The tier tells you the standard: League A is the strongest 16 nations in Europe, League D the smallest.

How the four tiers work

Teams are graded into League A, B, C and D. A, B and C are each split into four groups of four. League D is smaller, with two groups of three, because there are 54 associations rather than a round 64. That is why Malta, Andorra and Gibraltar play a three-team group while Germany and the Netherlands play a four.

Because the tiers are graded, a nation’s opponents change from edition to edition rather than staying fixed the way a domestic league does. Portugal being drawn with Wales, Norway and Denmark tells you all four are currently rated in the top 16.

The 14 groups in full

League A

GroupTeams
A1Italy, Belgium, Türkiye, France
A2Netherlands, Greece, Germany, Serbia
A3Spain, England, Czechia, Croatia
A4Norway, Denmark, Portugal, Wales

League B

GroupTeams
B1North Macedonia, Slovenia, Switzerland, Scotland
B2Ukraine, Hungary, Georgia, Northern Ireland
B3Israel, Austria, Republic of Ireland, Kosovo
B4Bosnia-Herzegovina, Sweden, Poland, Romania

League C

GroupTeams
C1Finland, Belarus, Albania, San Marino
C2Cyprus, Latvia, Armenia, Montenegro
C3Faroe Islands, Slovakia, Moldova, Kazakhstan
C4Estonia, Bulgaria, Iceland, Luxembourg

League D

GroupTeams
D1Malta, Andorra, Gibraltar
D2Lithuania, Azerbaijan, Liechtenstein

What we publish on it

A prediction for each fixture, with the price we are taking and the number it depends on. The eight for matchday one are linked in the table above. Everything else we cover is on the soccer predictions page.

Where these figures come from

Teams, tiers, groups and the matchday-one fixture list: ESPN, read 21 September 2026. The 54 teams and 14 groups on this page are that data, not an estimate. Standings appear once games are played; nothing is shown for a group that has not kicked off.

Past games

Friday 25 September7 games
Thursday 24 September8 games