Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Picks and Predictions August 24th 2025

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The Houston Astros will take on the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The game is set for Sunday, August 24, 2025, at 1:35 PM. The Astros come in with a 72-58 record and are currently first in the AL West. They are on a three-game winning streak, and their last ten games show a 5-5 record.

The Orioles have a 59-70 record and sit in fifth place in the AL East. They are on a three-game losing streak but have gone 6-4 in their last ten games. The starting pitchers are Spencer Arrighetti for the Astros and Trevor Rogers for the Orioles. The weather is expected to be warm with scattered clouds and a light breeze.

Astros vs Orioles Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD
  • Date: Sunday, August 24, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Astros Moneyline +121, Orioles Moneyline -142

The Astros Can Win If…

The Houston Astros recently secured a win against the Baltimore Orioles with a score of 9-8. The Astros’ hitters shined, with Victor Caratini, Christian Walker, and Jesús Sánchez each hitting a home run. Cristian Javier started the game, allowing five runs over two innings, but the bullpen held firm to secure the win.

Houston’s offense is a key factor in their success. They rank 4th in the league with a .254 batting average and have hit 145 home runs this season. The Astros also lead the league in strikeouts with 1,223, showing their ability to shut down opposing hitters.

The Astros’ lineup features strong hitters like Jeremy Peña and Jose Altuve. Peña boasts a .304 batting average, while Altuve has hit 22 home runs. With Spencer Arrighetti on the mound, Houston will look to support him with solid defense and timely hitting to secure another victory.

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles are looking to bounce back after a close 9-8 loss to the Houston Astros. In the recent game, Jeremiah Jackson and Colton Cowser both hit home runs, showing their power at the plate. Dylan Beavers also contributed with two hits and two runs, giving the Orioles a strong offensive presence.

Key stats indicate the Orioles’ potential to win. Their slugging percentage ranks 10th in the league, which shows their ability to hit for power. With 156 home runs this season, they are ranked 11th, which could be a deciding factor in this game.

Trevor Rogers will take the mound for the Orioles. He has an impressive ERA of 1.41 and a WHIP of 0.80. His strong performance can give the Orioles the edge they need to secure a win against the Astros.

The Lean

The Astros are the pick to win the game with a moneyline of +121. The Orioles have a moneyline of -142. The Astros have a stronger pitching lineup, ranking 12th in ERA compared to the Orioles’ 27th. My model projects the Astros to win with a score of 5-4.

The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs, with the over at -104 and the under at -116. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Given the Orioles’ high ERA and the Astros’ solid batting average, the over is the recommended pick.

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Astros offense wakes up in Baltimore

The Houston Astros have finally found their groove at the plate — and unfortunately for the Baltimore Orioles, it’s been at their expense.

After struggling through three straight low-scoring games last week, Houston exploded for 26 runs in three games at Camden Yards. Friday’s slugfest ended 10-7, and Saturday brought another 9-8 thriller that had fans on edge until the final out.

Manager Joe Espada was proud of how his team battled through tough innings.

“We grind and we win that game,” Espada said. “We’re starting to swing the bats. That’s who we are.”

For bettors following MLB trends, keeping an eye on team streaks and scoring outbursts like this is key — check the latest MLB scores and odds to see how momentum affects betting lines.

Walker’s hot streak sparks Houston

First baseman Christian Walker has been the series’ nightmare for Orioles pitching. He’s gone deep in every game so far, turning mistakes into fireworks.

Baltimore interim skipper Tony Mansolino gave credit where it was due:

“Every mistake that we made, they hit it over the fence.”

Orioles finding silver linings

While Baltimore’s pitching has struggled, the offense hasn’t been quiet. Rookie Jeremiah Jackson gave fans something to cheer about with his first career home run on Saturday.

Looking at the bigger picture, the MLB team standings highlight just how crucial every series is right now. Baltimore can’t afford to lose ground with contenders like the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox breathing down their necks.

Dean Kremer’s battle on the mound

Starting pitcher Dean Kremer gave up seven runs on Saturday, but his ability to last five innings helped save Baltimore’s taxed bullpen for Sunday’s finale.

Orioles Pitching StrugglesStat
Runs allowed in 2 games19
Home runs allowed5
Bullpen ERA last 7 games5.74

Mansolino stressed the importance of Kremer eating innings despite the damage.

Sunday’s pitching matchup: Rogers vs Arrighetti

Sunday’s finale is shaping up to be a duel between two very different arms.

  • Trevor Rogers (BAL): 6-2, 1.41 ERA. The lefty has allowed just one run in each of his past four starts and looks to keep Houston’s bats in check.
  • Spencer Arrighetti (HOU): 1-4, 6.94 ERA. The young right-hander has struggled since his return, giving up 12 runs in 13.2 innings this month.

Last season, Arrighetti dominated Baltimore with six shutout innings in a win — but this version of the Orioles lineup will test him.

PitcherRecordERALast 4 Starts
Trevor Rogers6-21.412-1, 28 IP, 4 ER
Spencer Arrighetti1-46.940-3, 13.2 IP, 12 ER

If you’re looking at this game from a betting angle, check out the latest MLB picks from experts who track trends, hot streaks, and pitching mismatches.

Orioles bullpen under the spotlight

Baltimore’s bullpen, once a strength, has become a concern. Reliable reliever Yennier Cano gave up a crucial home run to Walker on Friday but should be available again Sunday.

Mansolino remains confident:

“He’s one of the guys when there’s a big spot, that he’s one of the first names in that bullpen we think about.”

For anyone analyzing bullpen depth and late-game matchups, the expert MLB betting guide offers valuable insights into how relievers impact betting spreads and totals.

What’s next?

The Astros are chasing ground in the AL West while the Orioles are fighting to stay on top of the AL East. Every game counts, and this series has shown how quickly momentum can swing.

Fans of teams like the Toronto Blue Jays, Cleveland Guardians, and Texas Rangers are keeping a close watch as the playoff picture heats up.