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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins Pick & Prediction APR 7TH 2021
959St. Louis Cardinals960Miami Marlins
The St. Louis Cardinals, with Opening Day starter Jack Flaherty on the mound, will aim for a three-game sweep of the host Miami Marlins on Wednesday afternoon.
Miami produced a 12-run explosion Saturday against the Tampa Bay Rays but has scored a total of seven runs in its other four games.
In a 4-2 loss to the Cardinals on Tuesday, the Marlins went 1-for-13 with runners in scoring position, stranding 11 on base. Of Miami's two runs, only one was earned, and that came on a sacrifice fly.
"The positive is we are getting guys on base," Marlins manager Don Mattingly said. "We're getting chances. Each hitter has to do his part and pass (the baton) to the next guy.
"Offense is momentum-based."
If so, the Marlins will enter Wednesday with no momentum offensively against Flaherty (0-0, 12.46 ERA).
Flaherty threw 94 pitches and lasted just 4 1/3 innings on Opening Day, an 11-6 win over the Cincinnati Reds.
In his career against the Marlins, Flaherty is 0-2 with a 5.25 ERA in two starts, both in St. Louis.
Flaherty, a right-hander, is big on self-improvement, and he has lot of little things he tells himself while on the mound.
"A good friend of mine, he talked about breath," Flaherty said. "Breath only occurs in the present. You can't breathe in the past.
"All you can do is control that little bit right then and there. It's something that sticks with me."
Miami will start right-hander Pablo Lopez, who tossed five scoreless innings in a no-decision against the Rays on Friday. He allowed two hits and two walks while striking out four.
Lopez has only faced the Cardinals once, a start back in 2018. He wound up with a no-decision in that game, allowing one run on four hits and a walk and striking out five.
Miami likely will start backup catcher Chad Wallach, who is 1-0 in his only start this season. Marlins primary catcher Jorge Alfaro, who has been charged with a passed ball that allowed a run to score in both of the games in this series, is 0-4 as a starter this year.
Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina, meanwhile, went 2-for-3 with a crucial RBI on Tuesday night. He has five RBIs in five games this season, including three in this series.
Dylan Carlson, the St. Louis center fielder, also had a big game on Tuesday with a solo homer and a nice running catch. He ranged into the left-center gap in the bottom of the eighth to save a run, and then he homered in the top of the ninth.
The Marlins got good news with the return of outfielder/first baseman Garrett Cooper, who missed Monday's game but came back to go 0-for-2 with three walks and a run. Cooper had missed Monday's game due to an adverse reaction to his COVID-19 vaccine shot.
On Wednesday, St. Louis may be without reliever Giovanny Gallegos, who has pitched three scoreless innings over the past two days and might need rest. He struck out the side in the seventh inning Tuesday.
The Marlins are also hoping to get a break from Cardinals right-hander Alex Reyes, who has earned saves in both games of the series. He got the final four outs on Tuesday after recording last three outs on Monday.
--Field Level Media
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Last 10
- @Washington L 2 - 3
- @Washington W 12 - 5
- @Philadelphia L 0 - 2
- @Philadelphia W 9 - 4
- @Philadelphia L 2 - 9
- Washington L 6 - 0
- Washington W 3 - 14
- Washington L 5 - 2
- Milwaukee L 9 - 3
- Milwaukee L 9 - 5
- Baltimore L 7 - 5
- San Francisco L 1 - 0
- San Francisco W 6 - 7
- San Francisco W 1 - 4
- @Atlanta L 6 - 7
- @Atlanta W 6 - 5
- @Atlanta W 14 - 8
- @Atlanta W 5 - 3
- @NY Mets D 0 - 0
- @NY Mets W 3 - 0
Next Games
Last Meetings
American League
American League Central | W | L | PCT | GB | RF | RA | HOME | AWAY | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kansas City Royals | 9 | 6 | .600 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 7-4 | 2-2 | 6-0-4 |
Cleveland Indians | 8 | 7 | .533 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 4-1 | 4-6 | 6-0-4 |
Chicago White Sox | 8 | 9 | .471 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 5-0-5 |
Minnesota Twins | 6 | 8 | .429 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 2-5 | 4-3 | 3-0-7 |
Detroit Tigers | 6 | 10 | .375 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 5.2 | 3-3 | 3-7 | 3-0-7 |
American League East | W | L | PCT | GB | RF | RA | HOME | AWAY | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Boston Red Sox | 11 | 6 | .647 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 5-5 | 6-1 | 7-0-3 |
Tampa Bay Rays | 9 | 8 | .529 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 3-4 | 6-4 | 6-0-4 |
Baltimore Orioles | 7 | 9 | .438 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 1-6 | 6-3 | 3-0-7 |
Toronto Blue Jays | 7 | 9 | .438 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 4-0-6 |
New York Yankees | 5 | 10 | .333 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-0-8 |
American League West | W | L | PCT | GB | RF | RA | HOME | AWAY | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seattle Mariners | 11 | 6 | .647 | 0.0 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 6-4 | 5-2 | 8-0-2 |
Oakland Athletics | 9 | 7 | .563 | 1.5 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 5-6 | 4-1 | 9-0-1 |
Los Angeles Angels | 8 | 6 | .571 | 1.5 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5-3 | 3-3 | 5-0-5 |
Texas Rangers | 8 | 9 | .471 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 3-6 | 5-3 | 5-0-5 |
Houston Astros | 7 | 8 | .467 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 1-5 | 6-3 | 3-0-7 |
National League
National League Central | W | L | PCT | GB | RF | RA | HOME | AWAY | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Milwaukee Brewers | 9 | 7 | .563 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 4-5 | 5-2 | 6-0-4 |
Cincinnati Reds | 8 | 7 | .533 | 0.5 | 6.1 | 4.5 | 6-3 | 2-4 | 4-0-6 |
St. Louis Cardinals | 8 | 8 | .500 | 1.0 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 2-4 | 6-4 | 4-0-6 |
Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 9 | .438 | 2.0 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 4-3 | 3-6 | 6-0-4 |
Chicago Cubs | 6 | 9 | .400 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 3-0-7 |
National League East | W | L | PCT | GB | RF | RA | HOME | AWAY | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 8 | .500 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 7-3 | 1-5 | 3-0-7 |
New York Mets | 7 | 4 | .636 | -1.5 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 4-1 | 3-3 | 6-0-3 |
Miami Marlins | 7 | 8 | .467 | 0.5 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 3-6 | 4-2 | 6-0-3 |
Atlanta Braves | 7 | 9 | .438 | 1.0 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5-0-5 |
Washington Nationals | 5 | 9 | .357 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 5.2 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4-0-6 |
National League West | W | L | PCT | GB | RF | RA | HOME | AWAY | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers | 13 | 4 | .765 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 6-0 | 7-4 | 8-0-2 |
San Francisco Giants | 10 | 6 | .625 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 5-1 | 5-5 | 7-0-3 |
San Diego Padres | 10 | 8 | .556 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 5-6 | 5-2 | 5-0-5 |
Arizona Diamondbacks | 6 | 10 | .375 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 2-3 | 4-7 | 4-0-6 |
Colorado Rockies | 4 | 12 | .250 | 8.5 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 4-6 | 0-6 | 2-0-8 |
Last Injuries
Miami Marlins
-
Starling Marte
RibsOut indefinitely | 10-day ILMarte has been designated for the 10-day injured list with a fractured rib, and there is no timetable for recovery.
-
Jorge Alfaro
HamstringQues Wed | questionableAlfaro was removed from the previous game with left hamstring soreness, and it is unclear if he will face the Orioles on Wednesday.
-
Elieser Hernandez
BicepLate April | 10-day ILHernandez has been designated for the 10-day injured list with right biceps inflammation, and he is not likely to return until the latter part of April.
-
Jorge Alfaro
HamstringQues Tues | probableAlfaro has missed the last three games due to left hamstring tightness, and it is unclear if he will be available for Tuesday's showdown with the Braves.
St. Louis Cardinals
-
Dakota Hudson
Elbowout for season | 60-day ILHudson will miss the entire 2021 season after having Tommy John surgery on his right elbow and has been assigned to the 60-day injured list.
-
Kwang-hyun Kim
BackProb Sat | outKim has been activated from the 10-day injured list with a back injury, and he is projected to make his season debut against the Phillies on Saturday.
-
Miles Mikolas
ElbowEarly May | 10-day ILMikolas has been moved to the 10-day injured list with a flexor tendon strain, and he is not projected to make his season debut until the beginning of May.
-
Dylan Carlson
RestQues Wed | questionableCarlson will not be in the starting lineup on Wednesday versus the Nationals, as he will receive a day of rest.
-
Yadier Molina
RestQues Tues | questionableMolina will not be in the starting lineup against the Nationals on Tuesday as he will receive a day of rest.
-
Trevor Rosenthal
ShoulderMid June | 60-day ILRosenthal has been posted to the 60-day injured list with right shoulder inflammation, and he will be out of commission until the middle of June.
-
Paul Goldschmidt
BackProb Sat | probableGoldschmidt missed the last contest with lower-back tightness, but it is likely that he will suit up for Saturday's tilt with the Brewers.
Trends
Miami Trends
- TrendUnder is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Hit %71.40% (7)O/U2|5Push0W/L
- TrendOver is 17-6-3 in Marlins last 26 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Hit %73.90% (26)O/U17|6Push3W/L
- TrendUnder is 7-3 in Marlins last 10 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.Hit %70.00% (10)O/U3|7Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 6-2 in Marlins last 8 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.Hit %75.00% (8)O/U2|6Push0W/L
St. Louis Trends
- TrendOver is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.Hit %87.50% (8)O/U7|1Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a road favorite of -201 or greater.Hit %80.00% (6)O/U1|4Push1W/L
- TrendOver is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.Hit %100.00% (4)O/U3|0Push1W/L
- TrendUnder is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.Hit %75.00% (5)O/U1|3Push1W/L
Meetings Trends
- TrendUnder is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.Hit %83.30% (6)O/U1|5Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Miami.Hit %71.40% (8)O/U2|5Push1W/L
- TrendCardinals are 39-16 in the last 55 meetings in Miami.Hit %70.90% (55)O/UPush0W/L39|16
- TrendCardinals are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.Hit %72.70% (11)O/UPush0W/L8|3