Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros Picks and Predictions July 3rd 2025

Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros July 3rd 2025

The Houston Astros will play the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field in Denver. The game is set for Thursday, July 3, 2025, at 3:10 PM. Fans can catch the action on MLBN as the Astros, led by manager Joe Espada, bring their 52-34 record to the field.

The Rockies, managed by interim Warren Schaeffer, have had a challenging season with a 19-67 record. Brandon Walter will start for the Astros with a 3.34 ERA, while Kyle Freeland takes the mound for the Rockies with a 5.56 ERA. Weather forecasts indicate a warm day with clear skies, making it a great afternoon for baseball.

Astros vs Rockies Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies
• Venue: Coors Field in Denver, CO
• Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025
• Betting Odds: Astros Moneyline -182, Rockies Moneyline +153, Astros Runline -1.5 (-122), Rockies Runline +1.5 (+102), Total Over 11.5 (+100), Total Under 11.5 (-120)

The Astros Can Win If…

The Houston Astros recently secured a 5-3 win against the Colorado Rockies. Hunter Brown pitched six innings, allowing just two earned runs and striking out eight batters. Cam Smith contributed with three hits and two RBIs, while Shay Whitcomb added a home run.

The Astros rank fourth in batting average with a .257 and have the best strikeout numbers in the league with 844. Their pitching staff holds a strong 3.49 ERA, ranking third, and limits opponents to a .222 batting average, which is second-best. These stats highlight their balanced attack on both offense and defense.

Brandon Walter will start for the Astros, boasting a 3.34 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP. Walter’s performance could be key against the Rockies, whose starter, Kyle Freeland, has struggled with a 5.56 ERA. The Astros’ consistent hitting and strong pitching make them a formidable opponent in this matchup.

The Rockies Can Win If…

The Colorado Rockies are looking to bounce back after a 5-3 loss to the Houston Astros. In that game, the Rockies tallied 10 hits, with Mickey Moniak hitting a home run and driving in two runs. Tyler Freeman and Thairo Estrada both had three hits, showing their ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities.

Colorado’s hitting stats suggest they can turn things around. They rank 7th in the league with 138 doubles, which shows their potential for extra-base hits. Hunter Goodman is a key player, leading the team with 16 home runs and 50 RBIs, making him a threat at the plate.

On the mound, Kyle Freeland will start for the Rockies. Although his record is 1-9, he has the experience to handle tough situations. With support from the lineup, the Rockies have a chance to secure a win at home against the Astros.

The Lean

The Astros are favored with a moneyline of -182 against the Rockies, who have a moneyline of +153. The Astros have a strong pitching staff with a 3.49 ERA, ranked 3rd, and a batting average against of .222, ranked 2nd. The Rockies struggle with a 5.53 ERA, ranked 29th. Given these stats, the recommendation is to pick the Astros to win straight up. The model projects a score of Astros 7, Rockies 4.

The total line is set at 11.5 runs. The Astros’ pitching is strong, while the Rockies’ pitching is weak. The Astros’ offense ranks 4th in batting average, but the Rockies’ offense ranks 19th. The model projects a total of 11 runs, suggesting taking the under at 11.5. The under is favored with odds of -120.

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The Colorado Rockies hope to snap a troubling home skid as they host the Houston Astros for the final game of their three-game set on Thursday. Left-hander Kyle Freeland (1–9, 5.56 ERA) aims to regain the form that saw him post three consecutive quality starts before landing on the injured list with low back stiffness in mid-June. Opposing Freeland will be rookie lefty Brandon Walter (1–1, 3.34 ERA), who earned his first major league win last Friday by holding the Cubs to one run over six innings.

Freeland’s Recent Struggles

Freeland had dropped his ERA by more than half a run across three quality starts before his IL stint, but his return in Milwaukee was disastrous—six earned runs on eight hits in four innings, all coming in a rough fourth frame. The Rockies are desperate for him to recapture that early-season command if they hope to change their narrative at home, where they’ve lost all 14 series in 2025. For a deeper look at the matchup, visit our MLB previews page.

Rookie Matchup: Walter on the Rise

Houston’s Brandon Walter has been impressive since debuting on May 20, carrying a 3.34 ERA over five starts. His latest outing featured six innings of one-run ball against the Cubs, marking his first win. As Colorado looks for late-inning rallies, bettors are consulting our MLB picks to gauge expert sentiment on this pitcher’s duel.

Astros’ Depth Tested

Despite losing Jeremy Peña to a fractured rib and seeing Jake Meyers take a fastball to the ribs on Wednesday, Houston keeps winning. Manager Joe Espada praised the team’s organizational strength: “We have some really good players waiting for an opportunity, and we’ll find ways to win.” For strategies on handling games when stars are sidelined, check out our expert MLB betting guide.

Series Stakes and Trade Deadline Intrigue

A Rockies victory would not only end their 14-series home losing streak but also offer a morale boost ahead of the All-Star break. Conversely, Freeland’s performance could impact his trade value—he was 17–7 with a 2.85 ERA in 2018 and remains on the radar for contenders. To position yourself before deadline moves, explore our buy picks service and see where top performers rank on our best handicappers leaderboard.