Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions September 3th 2025

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Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets September 3th 2025

The New York Mets will visit the Detroit Tigers for an afternoon game at Comerica Park. The Mets hold a record of 75-64 and sit second in the NL East. They are on a two-game winning streak and have won six of their last ten games. The Mets will rely on their starting pitcher, Clay Holmes, who has an ERA of 3.60 and a record of 11-6.

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The Detroit Tigers, with a record of 80-60, lead the AL Central. They are looking to bounce back from a two-game losing streak. The Tigers have struggled recently, winning only three of their last ten games. Casey Mize will take the mound for the Tigers, bringing an ERA of 3.95 and a record of 12-5.

Mets vs Tigers Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: New York Mets vs. Detroit Tigers
  • Venue: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI
  • Date: Wednesday, September 3, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Mets Moneyline -117, Tigers Moneyline -101, Mets Runline -1.5 (+142), Tigers Runline +1.5 (-170), Total Over 8.5 (-110), Total Under 8.5 (-110)

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets recently won against the Detroit Tigers, 12-5. In that game, the Mets had 17 hits and 4 home runs. Nolan McLean pitched well, allowing only 2 earned runs over 6 innings.

The Mets have strong hitting stats this season. They rank 4th in home runs with 193 and 5th in slugging percentage at .432. Their on-base percentage is also high, ranking 3rd in the league at .329.

Key players like Pete Alonso and Juan Soto are performing well. Alonso has 33 home runs and 112 RBIs, while Soto has 37 home runs and 91 RBIs. With Clay Holmes on the mound, who has an ERA of 3.60, the Mets have a solid chance to win.

The Tigers Can Win If…

The Detroit Tigers are looking to bounce back after a tough loss to the New York Mets, 12-5. Despite the loss, Wenceel Pérez had a strong performance, going 3-for-4 with a run and two RBIs. Justyn-Henry Malloy also contributed with a hit and an RBI in his only at-bat.

The Tigers have shown they can compete with their solid hitting stats. They rank 8th in batting average at .250 and 7th in home runs with 176 this season. With players like Spencer Torkelson leading the team in home runs and RBIs, their offense is always a threat.

On the mound, Casey Mize will start for the Tigers. He has a 3.95 ERA and a 12-5 record this season. His ability to keep the Mets’ hitters in check will be key for the Tigers to secure a win at home.

The Lean

The Mets are favored on the moneyline at -117 against the Tigers, who are at -101. The Mets have a stronger on-base percentage and slugging percentage, ranking 3rd and 5th respectively. With these stats, the Mets are projected to win 5-4. Based on this, the recommendation is to pick the Mets to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 8.5, with both the over and under at -110. The projected score is 5-4 in favor of the Mets, which totals 9 runs. Given the teams’ batting and pitching stats, the recommendation is to take the over on 8.5 runs.

Tigers Turn to Mize to Stop Slide Against Red-Hot Mets

The Detroit Tigers hope their All-Star right-hander Casey Mize can rediscover his early-season dominance as they aim to avoid a sweep against the New York Mets on Wednesday afternoon at Comerica Park.

Mize (12-5) got off to a stellar start in 2025, boasting a 2.63 ERA through July 5. But since then, it’s been a rough stretch. His ERA has climbed to 3.95 following a rocky outing on August 27, when he gave up five runs in just 3 1/3 innings in a 7-0 loss to the Oakland Athletics.

Mize’s Midseason Struggles

In his last 8 starts, Mize has given up 46 hits and 11 walks over 35 innings, often pitching under pressure with runners constantly on base.

Mize’s Last 8 Starts – Key Stats

StartsHits AllowedWalksInningsERA Before/Now
8461135.02.63 ➜ 3.95

Manager A.J. Hinch noted that Mize has struggled with contact and command early in games, often falling behind hitters.

Mize faced the Mets once before, back on April 4, 2024, allowing three runs over 4 1/3 innings. He’ll hope for a different result this time around.

Mets Counter with Clay Holmes

Opposing Mize is former reliever-turned-starter Clay Holmes (11-6, 3.60 ERA). Now in his 28th start of the year, Holmes has quietly become a reliable arm for the Mets.

In his last three outings, Holmes has held strong, even when fielding miscues added pressure.

“It’s the part of the year where it gets long,” Holmes admitted. “But I feel good.”

Holmes – Recent Starts Recap

OpponentInningsRuns (ER)Notes
Seattle Mariners5.01Efficient outing
Atlanta Braves6.12Solid with limited damage
Miami Marlins5.04 (2 ER)8 errors extended innings

He’s faced Detroit 13 times in his career—all in relief—with a 3.46 ERA and four saves.

Mets on a Tear

New York (75-64) has taken the first two games of the series, winning 10-8 and 12-5. Juan Soto continues to crush the ball, belting his 37th home run of the year and adding two more RBIs Tuesday night after a six-RBI game Monday.

Pete Alonso also made noise, hitting his 32nd and 33rd homers.

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Tigers on a Downward Spiral

Detroit (80-60) has now dropped 7 of their last 9, despite still holding playoff aspirations in the AL Central. With the pressure mounting, Mize will need to deliver a stabilizing start.

The Mets, on the other hand, are gaining momentum and closing in on a wild-card berth, especially with Soto and Alonso leading the charge.

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