Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Predictions July 11th 2025

The Seattle Mariners will take on the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on Friday, July 11, 2025. The game starts at 7:10 PM and will be broadcast on APLTV. Fans can expect a warm evening with a light breeze and some light rain.

Seattle comes into the game with a 48-45 record, sitting 7 games back in the AL West. On the road, the Mariners hold a 23-24 record. Luis Castillo will start for Seattle, bringing an ERA of 3.31. Detroit, with a 59-35 record, has been strong at home with a 32-15 record. Tarik Skubal will pitch for the Tigers, boasting an impressive ERA of 2.02.

Mariners vs Tigers Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers
• Venue: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI
• Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
• Betting Odds: Mariners Moneyline +182, Tigers Moneyline -218, Mariners Runline +1.5 (-124), Tigers Runline -1.5 (+104), Total Over 7.0 (-101), Total Under 7.0 (-119)

The Mariners Can Win If…

The Seattle Mariners recently played a close game against the New York Yankees, losing 6-5. Bryan Woo had a strong outing, pitching 7 1/3 innings and allowing just two hits. Jorge Polanco was a standout at the plate with a home run and three RBIs.

The Mariners have some key stats that could lead them to victory. They rank sixth in home runs with 125 this season. Their ability to hit the long ball can be a game-changer, especially with Cal Raleigh leading the league in home runs.

Seattle’s pitching can also make a difference in the game. Luis Castillo is set to start, and he has a solid ERA of 3.31. With his experience, he can keep the Tigers’ hitters in check and give the Mariners a chance to win.

The Tigers Can Win If…

The Detroit Tigers are coming off a 3-7 loss against the Tampa Bay Rays. Despite the loss, Zach McKinstry showed his skills with two doubles and an RBI. Spencer Torkelson also contributed with a run and an RBI, highlighting the team’s potential at the plate.

The Tigers’ pitching staff has been strong this season, with a team ERA of 3.50, ranking 3rd in the league. Tarik Skubal, the starting pitcher for the next game, boasts an impressive ERA of 2.02. His performance on the mound will be key to the Tigers’ success against the Seattle Mariners.

Detroit’s offense has been consistent, with a team batting average of .252, ranking 5th in the league. Key hitters like Riley Greene and Spencer Torkelson can make a difference. Their ability to drive in runs and get on base will be important as they face Seattle’s pitching.

The Lean

The Tigers are favored with a moneyline of -218 against the Mariners’ +182. The Tigers have a better batting average and earned run average, ranking 5th and 3rd, respectively. My model projects the Tigers to win with a score of 5-3. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Tigers to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 7.0 runs. The Tigers’ pitching ranks 3rd in ERA, and the Mariners have a mid-tier batting average. My model projects a total score of 8 runs. Given this, the recommendation is to take the over on the total of 7.0 runs.

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Mariners Look to Rebound From Demoralizing Loss in Series Opener vs. Tigers

The Seattle Mariners are heading to Detroit after one of the most demoralizing losses of their season. They’ll have no time to dwell on it, however, as they open a three-game series on Friday night against the team with the best record in the American League, the Detroit Tigers, and their dominant ace.

A Heartbreaking Defeat

On Thursday night, the Seattle Mariners were six outs away from a combined no-hitter with a 5-0 lead against the New York Yankees. In a stunning collapse, they ended up losing the game 6-5 in 10 innings. Now, they must immediately turn the page and face the challenge of Tarik Skubal, a pitcher who has been nearly unhittable. How a team bounces back from such a devastating loss is a key topic in our expert betting guide.

The Unbeatable Tarik Skubal

The task for Seattle is immense. Tigers ace Tarik Skubal (10-2, 2.02 ERA) has not lost a game since his first two starts of the season and is on a 16-start unbeaten streak. He has been particularly dominant at home, where he is a perfect 8-0 with a 2.06 ERA. In his last two starts, he has thrown 14 scoreless innings with 23 strikeouts and just one walk.

“That’s the job of pitching,” Skubal said of his role. “When the offense isn’t finding their rhythm, you’ve got to keep the game close to allow them to establish a rhythm.”

A Duel of Aces

While Skubal has been incredible, the Mariners will counter with their own ace, Luis Castillo (5-5, 3.31). Castillo has been just as dominant in his last two outings, throwing a combined 13 shutout innings while allowing just five total hits.

“As the season is progressing, I think I’m progressing pretty well,” Castillo said. “I think I can kind of locate my pitches where I want them.” This premier duel between two of the best pitchers in the AL will be the main event on the scores and odds board.

A Clash of Contenders

This series features two MLB teams with serious playoff aspirations. The Tigers are looking to become the first team to reach 60 wins before the All-Star break. The Mariners are looking to prove their resilience after a tough loss. To see who our experts think will win this fantastic pitching duel, check out our daily MLB picks.