Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Predictions August 15th 2025

Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles August 15th 2025

The Baltimore Orioles will take on the Houston Astros at Daikin Park. The game is scheduled for Friday, August 15, 2025, at 8:10 PM. The Orioles come into the game with a record of 55-66, sitting fifth in the AL East. They have won their last two games but are 4-6 in their last ten.

The Astros hold a record of 68-53 and are first in the AL West. They have won one game in a row and are 6-4 in their last ten. Framber Valdez will start for the Astros, bringing a 2.97 ERA to the mound. The Orioles will have Brandon Young starting, who has an ERA of 6.70. The game will be broadcast on SCHN.

Orioles vs Astros Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros
• Venue: Daikin Park in Houston, TX
• Date: Friday, August 15, 2025
• Betting Odds: Orioles Moneyline +202, Astros Moneyline -243, Orioles Runline +1.5 (-103), Astros Runline -1.5 (-117), Total Over 8.0 (-105), Total Under 8.0 (-115)

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles are coming off a win against the Seattle Mariners, 5-3. Tomoyuki Sugano pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing just one run. Ryan Mountcastle contributed with a hit and an RBI, helping the team secure the victory.

One reason the Orioles can win is their power hitting. They rank 11th in the league with 145 home runs this season. Gunnar Henderson leads the team with 14 home runs and a .283 batting average.

Another advantage for the Orioles is their ability to get on base. They have 197 doubles, also ranked 11th in the league. Players like Jordan Westburg, who has a .265 average, add depth to the lineup.

The Astros Can Win If…

The Houston Astros are coming off a 4-1 win against the Boston Red Sox. Hunter Brown pitched 6 2/3 innings, allowing just one run. Yainer Diaz and Jeremy Peña both hit home runs, driving the Astros’ offense.

The Astros have a team batting average of .258, ranking 3rd in the league. Their on-base percentage is .321, placing them 6th. With Framber Valdez starting, who has an ERA of 2.97, they have a strong chance to control the game from the mound.

Jeremy Peña leads the team with a .318 batting average. Christian Walker and Yainer Diaz add power with 16 and 17 home runs, respectively. The Astros’ lineup has depth, and they can capitalize on Baltimore’s starter, Brandon Young, who has struggled with a 6.70 ERA.

The Lean

The Astros are favored with a moneyline of -243 against the Orioles at +202. Given the Astros’ strong pitching, ranked 8th in ERA and 4th in batting average against, they have an edge. The model projects the Astros to win with a score of 5-3. The recommendation is to pick the Astros to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 8.0 runs. The Orioles’ pitching struggles with a 4.80 ERA, ranked 27th, while the Astros have a solid offense with a .258 batting average, ranked 3rd. The model projects a total score of 8 runs. The recommendation is to take the over 8.0 runs.

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Astros’ Framber Valdez Aims to End Mini Slump vs. Orioles

The Houston Astros bounced back quickly from a 13-run defeat, topping the Boston Red Sox 4-1 on Wednesday to secure their third straight series win. Combined with the Seattle Mariners dropping two in a row to the Baltimore Orioles, Houston now holds a 1.5-game lead in the AL West standings.

With the playoff push heating up, Houston opens a three-game homestand against Baltimore on Friday night, aiming to keep its edge in the division.

Probable Starters

Valdez has endured a rare dip in form. After going 10-0 with a 1.86 ERA in a 13-start stretch, the Astros have lost three straight games he’s started. Over his last two outings, Valdez has allowed 10 runs (nine earned) in 11 2/3 innings.

Historically, Valdez has been solid against Baltimore — 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA in six career appearances. His last home start vs. the Orioles came on June 23, 2024, when he tossed seven innings of one-run ball in an 8-1 win.

Young, meanwhile, is still seeking his first MLB win. The rookie right-hander has struggled in August, posting a 7.04 ERA over two starts and lasting just three innings in his most recent outing against the Oakland Athletics.

Team Trends

Baltimore enters this series off a 5-3 win over Seattle, claiming that series 2-1. Their rotation has been sharp lately, with Tomoyuki Sugano and Trevor Rogers each delivering strong outings against a Mariners team that had won eight straight.

Orioles third baseman Jordan Westburg praised the rotation’s grit: