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Houston Astros vs New York Yankees September 4th 2025
The New York Yankees are set to take on the Houston Astros at Daikin Park. The Yankees come into this game with a record of 77-62 and are third in the AL East. They have been strong recently, winning 8 of their last 10 games. Their manager, Aaron Boone, will rely on Carlos Rodón to start on the mound. Rodón has a 3.18 ERA and a 15-7 record this season.
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The Astros, holding a 77-63 record, lead the AL West. They have split their last 10 games, going 5-5. Joe Espada manages the Astros, and Cristian Javier will start as their pitcher. Javier has a 3.38 ERA and a 1-1 record. The game will be played under scattered clouds with the roof possibly closed due to the hot weather. Tune in to SCHN at 7:40 PM for the action.
Yankees vs Astros Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros
- Venue: Daikin Park in Houston, TX
- Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025
- Betting Odds: Yankees Moneyline -136, Astros Moneyline +115
Yankees vs Astros Picks & Predictions
The New York Yankees and Houston Astros wrap up a tense series with both teams battling for positioning in the American League playoff race. With each side flashing power at the plate and sending capable arms to the mound, this rubber match promises plenty of drama—and betting opportunities.
Yankees Can Win If
Despite falling 8-7 to Houston in the previous game, the Yankees’ bats were alive. The team pounded out 11 hits, including three home runs. Austin Wells led the charge, going 3-for-4 with a homer and two RBIs, showing he’s peaking at just the right time.
The Yankees continue to lead the majors in slugging at .457 and home runs with 236. This is a team that thrives on extra-base hits and punishes pitching mistakes.
On the mound, lefty Carlos Rodón (15-7, 3.18 ERA) has been dominant. He enters this matchup on a heater—unbeaten in his last seven starts (5-0, 3.40 ERA) and boasting a 2.80 ERA over his last 24 outings. Against the Astros, he’s 4-0 with a 2.51 ERA in 11 career starts.
Astros Can Win If
Houston claimed the last game behind a four-hit performance from Yordan Alvarez and a timely home run from Jeremy Peña. Their 11-hit barrage was backed by starter Jason Alexander’s five solid innings and six strikeouts.
Offensively, Houston ranks 6th in team batting average at .252. They’ve hit 153 home runs—mid-pack at 16th—but make up for that with smart base-running and clutch hitting.
Cristian Javier (3.38 ERA, 1.12 WHIP) will get the start. In just his fourth appearance since returning from Tommy John surgery, Javier threw six hitless innings against the Los Angeles Angels. His control and poise are key—he’s 1-1 with a 1.99 ERA in six career outings versus the Yankees.
Betting Lean: Yankees Moneyline & Total Over 8.5
| Bet Type | Odds/Recommendation |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yankees -136 |
| Astros ML | +115 |
| Projected Score | Yankees 5 – Astros 4 |
| Game Total | 9 runs (Line: 8.5) |
| Total Bet | Over 8.5 Runs |
This looks like a tightly contested game with two dangerous lineups. Given the Yankees’ superior power metrics and Rodón’s current form, the lean is toward Yankees moneyline. And with both teams swinging the bats well, expect the total to go over 8.5 runs.
Key Player Matchups to Watch
The duel between Rodón and Javier could be pivotal—but so will the matchups between hot hitters and elite relievers.
| Matchup Highlight | Breakdown |
|---|---|
| Carlos Rodón vs Peña | Peña hit HR in last matchup |
| Cristian Javier vs Judge | Judge has 2 HRs in 9 AB vs Javier |
| Yankees Bullpen vs Alvarez | Alvarez 4-for-5 last game |
Both starting pitchers are in good form, but the ability of each team to capitalize on bullpen fatigue could decide the game.
Series Context & Playoff Implications
The Yankees (77-62) are in a heated AL East race, with a crucial series against the Toronto Blue Jays looming. Every win counts, and a home series finale provides an opportunity to gain ground.
The Astros (77-63) are just half a game behind, also fighting for wild card position. With Isaac Paredes making progress in his rehab and Carlos Correa returning, the lineup could get even deeper as the postseason nears.
Late Game Start Adds to Pressure
Thursday’s 6:40 p.m. local start is unusually late for a getaway game. Yankees manager Aaron Boone acknowledged the fatigue factor but emphasized the urgency:
“We’re in the stretch drive. We need to keep winning games.”
The Yankees will need all hands on deck for this one, especially with an emotional rollercoaster in their last outing—blowing a 3-0 lead before almost storming back late.
Final Thoughts & Best Bets
This game checks all the boxes: two elite starters, hot bats, and playoff intensity. With Rodón pitching like an ace and New York’s offense continuing to mash, the Yankees are in a strong spot to close out the series.
Recommended bets:
- Yankees -136 Moneyline
- Over 8.5 Total Runs
- Rodón Over 6.5 Strikeouts
- Alvarez 2+ Hits (value prop)
For more betting angles, visit the MLB picks page or explore MLB expert predictions.
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