Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions October 8th 2025

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The Los Angeles Dodgers return home looking to close out the Philadelphia Phillies after taking a 2-0 series lead. Strong starts and clutch late hitting have carried the Dodgers, while Philadelphia’s offense has gone quiet at the worst time.

Manager Dave Roberts continues to manage around a shaky bullpen, leaning heavily on starters in hybrid roles. Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the ball for Game 3 after tossing 6 2/3 scoreless innings in the wild-card round. The right-hander went 12-8 with a 2.49 ERA this season and blanked the Phillies over six frames in April.

Philadelphia will counter with Aaron Nola, who’s battled injuries and inconsistency. He went 5-10 with a 6.01 ERA in 17 starts but has the chance to reset the tone. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber need to spark an offense that’s 1-for-14 with eight strikeouts in the series.

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Line Movement and Odds

The Dodgers opened around -155 on the moneyline, and early sharp money pushed them closer to -165, while the total dropped from 8.5 to 8 runs at most books. Public bettors lean toward Los Angeles after two convincing wins, but sharper action shows interest in the Phillies’ first-five line behind Nola’s experience.

Track the latest updates on the MLB odds page before placing your bets.

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2025-10-10 13:08
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Matchup Breakdown

Phillies Outlook:
Philadelphia’s bullpen has allowed five runs in two games, erasing solid starts from Zack Wheeler and Ranger Suarez. Harper and Schwarber’s struggles have magnified the lack of clutch hitting, and the lineup has only one home run this series.

Dodgers Outlook:
Los Angeles has worked around bullpen issues with elite starting depth. The offense continues to deliver late, with Freddie Freeman and Shohei Ohtani driving key rallies. Roberts’ unconventional approach—using six starters across the first two games—has kept the team fresh.

For data-driven angles and strategy breakdowns, visit the expert MLB betting guide

Injuries and Conditions

Phillies:

  • Harrison Bader (groin) — game-time decision
  • Aaron Nola (ankle/ribs) — expected to start
  • Ranger Suarez — available in relief
    Philadelphia injury updates

Dodgers:

  • Will Smith (hand) — expected to return
  • Max Muncy — making first start of series
  • Tanner Scott — rested and available from bullpen
    Los Angeles injury updates

Weather:
Clear skies and mild winds around 6 mph at Dodger Stadium. Ideal hitting conditions.

Best Bets and Prediction

The Dodgers’ lineup depth and home-field edge give them the upper hand, but Yamamoto’s command against right-heavy lineups could dictate pace. Nola’s recent struggles and bullpen volatility make the under worth monitoring.

Projected score: Dodgers 4, Phillies 2
Best bet: Dodgers moneyline (-165)
Lean: Under 8 runs

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