Phillies Predictions and Odds: Favorites Paid, Underdogs Lost Skip to content
Scores&Stats
ES
MLB
XFacebookWhatsAppTelegramRedditEmail

Philadelphia Phillies

MLB19 predictions

The Phillies made money as favorites in 2026 and lost 17.08 units in the 38 games where they were underdogs. Every Phillies prediction we write checks which side of the price they are on before anything else.

Eighty-eight wins, money lost

The Philadelphia Phillies went 88-74 in the 2026 regular season. Taking their moneyline in each game lost 15.58 units, and only eight teams lost more.

The Phillies 2026 regular season, game by game2026-03-26 v Texas Rangers 5-32026-03-28 v Texas Rangers 4-52026-03-29 v Texas Rangers 3-82026-03-30 v Washington Nationals 2-132026-03-31 v Washington Nationals 3-22026-04-01 v Washington Nationals 6-52026-04-03 at Colorado Rockies 10-12026-04-04 at Colorado Rockies 2-12026-04-05 at Colorado Rockies 1-42026-04-06 at San Francisco Giants 6-42026-04-07 at San Francisco Giants 0-62026-04-08 at San Francisco Giants 0-52026-04-10 v Arizona Diamondbacks 4-52026-04-11 v Arizona Diamondbacks 4-32026-04-12 v Arizona Diamondbacks 3-42026-04-13 v Chicago Cubs 13-72026-04-14 v Chicago Cubs 4-102026-04-15 v Chicago Cubs 2-112026-04-17 v Atlanta Braves 0-92026-04-18 v Atlanta Braves 1-32026-04-19 v Atlanta Braves 2-42026-04-20 at Chicago Cubs 1-52026-04-21 at Chicago Cubs 4-72026-04-22 at Chicago Cubs 2-72026-04-23 at Chicago Cubs 7-82026-04-24 at Atlanta Braves 3-52026-04-25 at Atlanta Braves 8-52026-04-26 at Atlanta Braves 2-62026-04-28 v San Francisco Giants 7-02026-04-30 v San Francisco Giants 3-22026-04-30 v San Francisco Giants 6-52026-05-01 at Miami Marlins 6-52026-05-02 at Miami Marlins 0-42026-05-03 at Miami Marlins 7-22026-05-04 at Miami Marlins 1-02026-05-05 v Athletics 9-12026-05-06 v Athletics 6-32026-05-07 v Athletics 1-122026-05-08 v Colorado Rockies 7-92026-05-09 v Colorado Rockies 9-32026-05-10 v Colorado Rockies 6-02026-05-12 at Boston Red Sox 2-12026-05-13 at Boston Red Sox 1-32026-05-14 at Boston Red Sox 3-12026-05-15 at Pittsburgh Pirates 11-92026-05-16 at Pittsburgh Pirates 6-02026-05-17 at Pittsburgh Pirates 6-02026-05-18 v Cincinnati Reds 5-42026-05-19 v Cincinnati Reds 1-42026-05-20 v Cincinnati Reds 4-92026-05-22 v Cleveland Guardians 0-12026-05-23 v Cleveland Guardians 3-02026-05-24 v Cleveland Guardians 1-32026-05-25 at San Diego Padres 3-02026-05-26 at San Diego Padres 4-32026-05-27 at San Diego Padres 3-02026-05-29 at Los Angeles Dodgers 2-42026-05-30 at Los Angeles Dodgers 4-32026-05-31 at Los Angeles Dodgers 1-92026-06-02 v San Diego Padres 3-22026-06-03 v San Diego Padres 3-22026-06-04 v San Diego Padres 6-42026-06-05 v Chicago White Sox 8-62026-06-06 v Chicago White Sox 3-62026-06-07 v Chicago White Sox 9-52026-06-08 at Toronto Blue Jays 5-22026-06-09 at Toronto Blue Jays 2-32026-06-10 at Toronto Blue Jays 7-42026-06-12 at Milwaukee Brewers 0-62026-06-13 at Milwaukee Brewers 9-82026-06-14 at Milwaukee Brewers 0-42026-06-15 v Miami Marlins 7-02026-06-16 v Miami Marlins 8-22026-06-17 v Miami Marlins 4-122026-06-18 v New York Mets 4-62026-06-20 v New York Mets 15-32026-06-21 v New York Mets 6-22026-06-22 at Washington Nationals 1-42026-06-23 at Washington Nationals 14-92026-06-24 at Washington Nationals 5-42026-06-25 at Washington Nationals 10-52026-06-26 at New York Mets 2-12026-06-27 at New York Mets 2-62026-06-28 at New York Mets 5-42026-06-29 v Pittsburgh Pirates 7-112026-06-30 v Pittsburgh Pirates 8-02026-07-01 v Pittsburgh Pirates 10-62026-07-02 v Pittsburgh Pirates 1-62026-07-04 at Kansas City Royals 6-12026-07-05 at Kansas City Royals 2-52026-07-06 at Kansas City Royals 1-152026-07-07 at Cincinnati Reds 4-12026-07-08 at Cincinnati Reds 5-112026-07-09 at Cincinnati Reds 1-02026-07-10 at Detroit Tigers 2-102026-07-11 at Detroit Tigers 4-22026-07-12 at Detroit Tigers 5-02026-07-16 v New York Mets 1-42026-07-18 v New York Mets 6-12026-07-19 v New York Mets 1-62026-07-20 v Los Angeles Dodgers 10-72026-07-21 v Los Angeles Dodgers 1-22026-07-22 v Los Angeles Dodgers 5-92026-07-24 v New York Yankees 0-12026-07-25 v New York Yankees 1-32026-07-26 v New York Yankees 11-42026-07-27 at Miami Marlins 7-82026-07-28 at Miami Marlins 0-12026-07-29 at Miami Marlins 6-82026-07-31 at Baltimore Orioles 4-62026-08-01 at Baltimore Orioles 5-02026-08-02 at Baltimore Orioles 8-02026-08-03 v Washington Nationals 6-32026-08-04 v Washington Nationals 5-02026-08-05 v Washington Nationals 4-102026-08-06 v Washington Nationals 7-32026-08-07 v Toronto Blue Jays 4-52026-08-08 v Toronto Blue Jays 5-72026-08-09 v Toronto Blue Jays 7-62026-08-10 at St. Louis Cardinals 6-52026-08-11 at St. Louis Cardinals 0-22026-08-12 at St. Louis Cardinals 1-72026-08-13 v Minnesota Twins 7-12026-08-15 at Minnesota Twins 9-12026-08-16 at Minnesota Twins 7-52026-08-17 v Miami Marlins 6-52026-08-18 v Miami Marlins 6-42026-08-19 v Miami Marlins 4-12026-08-21 v St. Louis Cardinals 7-62026-08-22 v St. Louis Cardinals 12-32026-08-23 v St. Louis Cardinals 6-42026-08-24 at Seattle Mariners 2-92026-08-25 at Seattle Mariners 1-42026-08-26 at Seattle Mariners 6-02026-08-28 at Los Angeles Angels 5-32026-08-29 at Los Angeles Angels 4-22026-08-30 at Los Angeles Angels 5-22026-08-31 at Arizona Diamondbacks 2-12026-09-01 at Arizona Diamondbacks 7-12026-09-02 at Arizona Diamondbacks 0-12026-09-04 v Atlanta Braves 2-52026-09-05 v Atlanta Braves 4-22026-09-06 v Atlanta Braves 4-52026-09-07 v Atlanta Braves 1-02026-09-08 v Houston Astros 5-62026-09-09 v Houston Astros 11-72026-09-10 v Houston Astros 1-22026-09-11 at Atlanta Braves 5-62026-09-12 at Atlanta Braves 2-122026-09-13 at Atlanta Braves 9-42026-09-15 at Washington Nationals 3-62026-09-16 at Washington Nationals 3-02026-09-17 at New York Mets 3-02026-09-18 at New York Mets 3-62026-09-19 at New York Mets 3-102026-09-20 at New York Mets 7-22026-09-22 v Milwaukee Brewers 6-42026-09-23 v Milwaukee Brewers 1-42026-09-24 v Milwaukee Brewers 1-52026-09-25 v Tampa Bay Rays 0-22026-09-26 v Tampa Bay Rays 1-122026-09-27 v Tampa Bay Rays 7-3Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margin0
88-74 in 162 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favorite or underdog

As favorites they were sound: 78-46 in 124 games, 1.5 units up, the seventh-best favorite return in MLB. At -200 or shorter they won 17 of 22 and made 1.99.

As underdogs they were not. They won 10 of 38 and lost 17.08 units, a return of -44.9%; four teams lost more as underdogs. Priced at +150 or longer they lost all five, and no win all season came at a price longer than +137, against the Milwaukee Brewers in June.

The run line splits the same way. Their 69-93 record was the second-worst in MLB, but laying 1.5 they covered 58 of 128, 45.3%, above the 41.8% every side laying 1.5 managed. Getting 1.5 they covered 11 of 34.

One unit on the Phillies to win, every game0-15-10-5-15.58 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 162 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home cost more

At home they went 43-38 and lost 14.84 units; only two teams lost more at home. Away they went 44-36 and lost 1.7.

The Phillies at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (81)won 43 (53.1%)Away (80)won 44 (55.0%)Favorite (124)won 78 (62.9%)Underdog (38)won 10 (26.3%)50%
2026 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The season swung by month. April lost 9.57 units at 10-16, with five run-line covers in 26. July lost 9.06 at 9-15. August was the answer to both, 21-7 and 6.26 up.

The NL East

The Atlanta Braves won nine of 13 and cost Phillies backers 5.72 units, the worst series in the division. Winning records elsewhere paid little. They went 9-4 against the Washington Nationals and 8-5 against the Miami Marlins, under half a unit up in each, and 7-6 against the New York Mets for 1.37 units lost. Outside it, the Chicago Cubs won six of seven and cost 5.46, while the San Diego Padres lost all six and paid 3.96.

The Phillies against the teams they played mostAtlanta Braves4-9Miami Marlins8-5New York Mets7-6Washington Nationals9-4Chicago Cubs1-6Pittsburgh Pirates5-2Arizona Diamondbacks3-3Cincinnati Reds3-3
2026 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

77 unders, 76 overs and nine pushes. No lean.

Questions and answers

Should you back the Phillies as underdogs?

Not on 2026’s evidence: 10-28 in 38 games and 17.08 units lost.

Did the Phillies make money as favorites in 2026?

A little: 78-46 and 1.5 units up.

Is a Phillies home game a good bet?

It was a costly one in 2026: 43-38 at home and 14.84 units lost, more than all but two MLB teams.

Past games

  1. Phillies at Braves · 1 OctTake the Braves at -102.
  2. Phillies at Braves · 30 SepThe Phillies vs Braves recap came down to three late home runs and one elimination-game escape.
  3. Braves at Phillies · 29 SepThis Phillies vs Braves recap came down to one pitch in the eighth inning.
  4. Rays at Phillies · 27 SepThis Rays vs Phillies game recap belongs at the front of the September 27 slate because Philadelphia turned its final regular-season opport…
  5. Rays at Phillies · 26 SepThis Rays vs Phillies game recap was effectively decided by Tampa Bay’s ability to create immediate pressure.
  6. Rays at Phillies · 25 SepThe Rays vs Phillies recap belonged to Freddy Peralta and Tampa Bay’s pitching staff.
  7. Brewers at Phillies · 24 SepThe Brewers vs Phillies recap ended with franchise history.
  8. Phillies at Brewers · 23 SepThe Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies recap starts with the verified final: Milwaukee Brewers 4, Philadelphia Phillies 1.
  9. Phillies at Brewers · 22 SepThe Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies recap starts with the verified final: Milwaukee Brewers 4, Philadelphia Phillies 6.
  10. Mets at Phillies · 20 SepThe Phillies vs Mets recap came down to a starter edge that held up and one late swing that removed the suspense.
Show all 18 past predictions
  1. Phillies at Mets · 19 SepThe Phillies vs Mets recap changed in the fifth inning when Francisco Alvarez turned a 3-1 Philadelphia lead into a 4-3 New York advantage…
  2. Phillies at Mets · 18 SepThe Phillies vs Mets recap delivered one of the cleaner successful moneyline reads from the September 18 slate.
  3. Phillies at Mets · 17 SepThe Phillies vs Mets recap belongs to Aaron Nola.
  4. Phillies at Nationals · 15 SepThe recommendation remains Philadelphia Phillies moneyline -215, playable -225 or better; beyond that price, the disciplined answer is to pass rather than chase a number that no longer pays for the uncertainty.
  5. Phillies at Braves · 13 SepThe Phillies vs Braves recap turned in one inning.
  6. Phillies at Braves · 12 SepThe Phillies vs Braves recap produced one correct side and one emphatically wrong total.
  7. Phillies at Braves · 11 SepFinal: Atlanta Braves 6, Philadelphia Phillies 5, in 11 innings, on Friday, September 11, 2026.
  8. Phillies at Braves · 11 SepThe Phillies vs Braves recap became an endurance test before Drake Baldwin finally ended it.

MLB teams