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Texas Rangers

MLB16 predictions

The Texas Rangers were favorites 88 times in 2026, won exactly half, and lost 11.11 units doing it; only one MLB team lost more backing its side as favorite. Back them as underdogs, though, and the Texas Rangers odds paid: 36-38, and 2.26 units won.

Favored, and costly

Texas went 44-44 as moneyline favorites. The worst of it was on the road: 12-18 as visiting favorites, 8.20 units lost in 30 games. At home, favored 58 times, they went 32-26 and lost 2.91.

One unit on the Rangers to win, every game0-10-5-8.86 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 162 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The run line made it worse. As favorites laying 1.5, the Rangers covered 27 times in 74, 36.5%. Every MLB moneyline favorite laying 1.5 covered 43.1%.

Plus money paid

As underdogs they went 36-38 and won 2.26 units. Priced shorter than +150, they went 35-32 for 6.58 units; at +150 or longer, one win in seven. Thirty-five of the 36 underdog wins came at the shorter prices. The best-priced win was +168, 7-4 at the Toronto Blue Jays on 27 June, part of a 6-1 season series that paid 5.96.

The season and the split

The Rangers finished 80-82, and one unit on Texas every game came to 8.86 down. Home games broke even, 45-36 and 0.37 units up, ninth in MLB: 13-10 and 3.28 units as home underdogs covered the 2.91 lost as home favorites. Away, 35-46 and 9.22 down.

The Rangers 2026 regular season, game by game2026-03-26 at Philadelphia Phillies 3-52026-03-28 at Philadelphia Phillies 5-42026-03-29 at Philadelphia Phillies 8-32026-03-30 at Baltimore Orioles 5-22026-03-31 at Baltimore Orioles 8-52026-04-01 at Baltimore Orioles 3-82026-04-03 v Cincinnati Reds 3-52026-04-04 v Cincinnati Reds 0-22026-04-05 v Cincinnati Reds 1-22026-04-06 v Seattle Mariners 2-12026-04-07 v Seattle Mariners 3-22026-04-08 v Seattle Mariners 3-02026-04-10 at Los Angeles Dodgers 7-82026-04-11 at Los Angeles Dodgers 3-62026-04-12 at Los Angeles Dodgers 5-22026-04-13 at Athletics 8-12026-04-14 at Athletics 1-22026-04-15 at Athletics 5-62026-04-16 at Athletics 9-62026-04-17 at Seattle Mariners 5-02026-04-18 at Seattle Mariners 3-72026-04-19 at Seattle Mariners 2-52026-04-21 v Pittsburgh Pirates 5-12026-04-22 v Pittsburgh Pirates 4-82026-04-23 v Pittsburgh Pirates 6-12026-04-24 v Athletics 1-82026-04-25 v Athletics 4-32026-04-26 v Athletics 1-22026-04-27 v New York Yankees 2-42026-04-28 v New York Yankees 2-32026-04-29 v New York Yankees 3-02026-05-01 at Detroit Tigers 5-42026-05-02 at Detroit Tigers 1-52026-05-03 at Detroit Tigers 1-72026-05-05 at New York Yankees 4-72026-05-06 at New York Yankees 6-12026-05-07 at New York Yankees 2-92026-05-08 v Chicago Cubs 1-72026-05-09 v Chicago Cubs 6-02026-05-10 v Chicago Cubs 3-02026-05-11 v Arizona Diamondbacks 0-12026-05-12 v Arizona Diamondbacks 7-42026-05-13 v Arizona Diamondbacks 6-52026-05-15 at Houston Astros 0-22026-05-16 at Houston Astros 1-42026-05-17 at Houston Astros 8-02026-05-18 at Colorado Rockies 6-72026-05-19 at Colorado Rockies 10-02026-05-20 at Colorado Rockies 5-42026-05-22 at Los Angeles Angels 6-92026-05-23 at Los Angeles Angels 2-52026-05-24 at Los Angeles Angels 1-22026-05-25 v Houston Astros 0-92026-05-26 v Houston Astros 10-72026-05-27 v Houston Astros 3-42026-05-28 v Houston Astros 1-52026-05-29 v Kansas City Royals 9-12026-05-30 v Kansas City Royals 7-62026-05-31 v Kansas City Royals 6-32026-06-01 at St. Louis Cardinals 2-12026-06-02 at St. Louis Cardinals 7-42026-06-03 at St. Louis Cardinals 3-52026-06-05 v Cleveland Guardians 3-22026-06-06 v Cleveland Guardians 0-62026-06-07 v Cleveland Guardians 10-02026-06-09 at Kansas City Royals 3-52026-06-10 at Kansas City Royals 6-42026-06-11 at Kansas City Royals 4-22026-06-12 at Boston Red Sox 1-102026-06-13 at Boston Red Sox 3-62026-06-14 at Boston Red Sox 6-42026-06-15 v Minnesota Twins 2-42026-06-16 v Minnesota Twins 2-122026-06-18 v Minnesota Twins 3-92026-06-19 v San Diego Padres 9-72026-06-20 v San Diego Padres 4-62026-06-21 v San Diego Padres 4-32026-06-22 at Miami Marlins 4-32026-06-23 at Miami Marlins 4-62026-06-24 at Miami Marlins 2-42026-06-25 at Toronto Blue Jays 6-52026-06-26 at Toronto Blue Jays 5-42026-06-27 at Toronto Blue Jays 7-42026-06-28 at Toronto Blue Jays 3-22026-06-29 at Cleveland Guardians 6-32026-06-30 at Cleveland Guardians 4-22026-07-01 at Cleveland Guardians 4-92026-07-02 v Detroit Tigers 10-42026-07-04 v Detroit Tigers 0-32026-07-05 v Detroit Tigers 3-62026-07-07 v Los Angeles Angels 8-32026-07-08 v Los Angeles Angels 1-132026-07-09 v Los Angeles Angels 7-62026-07-10 v Houston Astros 7-32026-07-11 v Houston Astros 3-92026-07-12 v Houston Astros 6-52026-07-17 at Atlanta Braves 1-152026-07-18 at Atlanta Braves 7-62026-07-19 at Atlanta Braves 5-82026-07-20 v Chicago White Sox 3-102026-07-21 v Chicago White Sox 10-02026-07-22 v Chicago White Sox 2-42026-07-24 v Seattle Mariners 5-42026-07-25 v Seattle Mariners 7-12026-07-26 v Seattle Mariners 4-62026-07-27 v Seattle Mariners 7-32026-07-28 at Tampa Bay Rays 4-12026-07-29 at Tampa Bay Rays 0-32026-07-30 at Tampa Bay Rays 2-32026-07-31 at Houston Astros 2-112026-08-01 at Houston Astros 4-52026-08-02 at Houston Astros 3-72026-08-03 v San Francisco Giants 1-52026-08-04 v San Francisco Giants 5-42026-08-05 v San Francisco Giants 6-02026-08-07 v Baltimore Orioles 2-12026-08-08 v Baltimore Orioles 5-12026-08-09 v Baltimore Orioles 5-102026-08-10 at Los Angeles Angels 4-12026-08-11 at Los Angeles Angels 2-32026-08-12 at Los Angeles Angels 2-52026-08-13 at Los Angeles Angels 0-72026-08-14 at Athletics 3-82026-08-15 at Athletics 5-32026-08-16 at Athletics 2-52026-08-18 v Washington Nationals 5-02026-08-19 v Washington Nationals 0-62026-08-20 v Washington Nationals 2-02026-08-21 v Los Angeles Angels 2-12026-08-22 v Los Angeles Angels 0-32026-08-23 v Los Angeles Angels 5-32026-08-24 at Chicago White Sox 11-22026-08-25 at Chicago White Sox 7-112026-08-26 at Chicago White Sox 4-102026-08-28 at Milwaukee Brewers 1-62026-08-29 at Milwaukee Brewers 3-52026-08-30 at Milwaukee Brewers 7-42026-08-31 v Athletics 8-12026-09-01 v Athletics 8-52026-09-02 v Athletics 2-92026-09-03 v Tampa Bay Rays 6-02026-09-04 v Tampa Bay Rays 6-72026-09-05 v Tampa Bay Rays 3-62026-09-06 v Tampa Bay Rays 8-62026-09-08 at Seattle Mariners 10-52026-09-09 at Seattle Mariners 2-32026-09-10 at Seattle Mariners 3-42026-09-11 at Arizona Diamondbacks 1-92026-09-12 at Arizona Diamondbacks 6-22026-09-13 at Arizona Diamondbacks 7-62026-09-15 v Boston Red Sox 4-22026-09-16 v Boston Red Sox 7-32026-09-17 v Boston Red Sox 3-42026-09-18 v Toronto Blue Jays 7-12026-09-19 v Toronto Blue Jays 6-22026-09-20 v Toronto Blue Jays 2-72026-09-22 v New York Mets 3-62026-09-23 v New York Mets 2-72026-09-24 v New York Mets 3-12026-09-25 at Minnesota Twins 2-102026-09-26 at Minnesota Twins 6-22026-09-27 at Minnesota Twins 4-6Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margin0
80-82 in 162 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

June, 16-11, was the best month at 4.66 units. August, 13-15, was the worst at 5.04, and the run line went 10-18 that month.

The Rangers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (81)won 45 (55.6%)Away (81)won 35 (43.2%)Favorite (88)won 44 (50.0%)Underdog (74)won 36 (48.6%)50%
2026 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The AL West

Twenty-three wins in 52 division games, 10.06 units lost. The Houston Astros won nine of 13 (5.61 units), the Los Angeles Angels eight (4.37) and the Athletics seven (3.00). Only the Seattle Mariners series went the Rangers’ way: 8-5, 2.92 units.

Outside the division, the Minnesota Twins won five of six (4.20 units lost backing Texas) and the Cincinnati Reds all three (3.00).

The total

Eighty-four overs, 67 unders and 11 pushes. Only four teams’ games went over more often, though only five teams scored fewer than Texas’s 4.15 runs a game.

Questions and answers

Are the Rangers a good bet as favorites?

Not in 2026: 44-44 as favorites and 11.11 units lost, the second-worst return on favorites in MLB.

How did the Rangers do as underdogs in 2026?

36-38 in 74 games, 2.26 units won; 35-32 and 6.58 units at prices shorter than +150.

How did Rangers totals go in 2026?

Mostly over: 84 went over, 67 under and 11 pushed; only four teams went over more often.

Past games

  1. Rangers at Twins · 27 SepThis Rangers vs Twins game recap matched the preview’s underdog thesis.
  2. Rangers at Twins · 26 SepThis Rangers vs Twins game recap turned against the pregame position almost immediately after Minnesota scored first.
  3. Rangers at Twins · 25 SepThe Twins vs Rangers recap became a shockingly one-sided pitching result.
  4. Mets at Rangers · 24 SepMets at Rangers
  5. Rangers at Mets · 23 SepThe New York Mets vs Texas Rangers recap starts with the verified final: New York Mets 7, Texas Rangers 2.
  6. Rangers at Mets · 22 SepThe New York Mets vs Texas Rangers recap starts with the verified final: New York Mets 6, Texas Rangers 3.
  7. Rangers at Blue Jays · 20 SepThe Blue Jays vs Rangers recap broke away from the pregame expectation in the seventh inning.
  8. Blue Jays at Rangers · 19 SepThe Blue Jays vs Rangers recap rewarded the preview’s home-underdog angle.
  9. Rangers at Blue Jays · 18 SepThe Blue Jays vs Rangers recap was a decisive miss for the Toronto side.
  10. Red Sox at Rangers · 17 SepThe Red Sox vs Rangers recap turned on one swing.
Show all 16 past predictions
  1. Red Sox at Rangers · 16 SepRed Sox at Rangers
  2. Red Sox at Rangers · 16 SepThe Red Sox vs Rangers recap turned when Brandon Nimmo broke a 3-3 tie with a seventh-inning double and Ezequiel Duran followed with a two-…
  3. Red Sox at Rangers · 15 SepThe better move is to start with the pitching assignment and the price, then let the rest of the board fall into place.
  4. Rangers at Diamondbacks · 13 SepThe Rangers vs Diamondbacks recap rewarded underdog backers and punished the preview favorite.
  5. Rangers at Diamondbacks · 12 SepThe Rangers vs Diamondbacks recap became a lesson in how one extended inning can erase a starting-pitcher edge and a favorite ticket at the…
  6. Rangers at Diamondbacks · 11 SepThe Rangers vs Diamondbacks recap is unusual from a betting-audit standpoint.

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