Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees Picks and Predictions August 2nd 2025

Yankees vs Marlins Prediction: Can New York Regain Control After Bullpen Meltdown?

The Miami Marlins host the New York Yankees at loanDepot Park on Saturday, August 2, 2025, at 4:10 PM ET. Miami pulled off a thrilling 13-12 comeback win in Friday’s opener, rallying twice from multiple-run deficits. With the Yankees reeling from a bullpen collapse, Saturday’s game becomes pivotal for both teams in the playoff race.

New York enters as a slim -119 favorite, while the Marlins are slight underdogs at +101. The total is set at 8.0 runs. YES Network will broadcast the action from a climate-controlled loanDepot Park.

Yankees Can Win If…

New York’s offense stays hot and the bullpen rebounds from a disastrous opener. Despite the loss, the Yankees racked up 15 hits and three home runs on Friday. Anthony Volpe led the charge with a 4-for-5 performance and a homer.

Player to Watch: Cam Schlittler

The rookie right-hander has a 4.91 ERA in limited action but will be making just his fourth big-league appearance. He’ll need early run support from a lineup that leads MLB in home runs (177), slugging, and on-base percentage.

“Not how you draw it up, but those guys are really good at what they do... We’ll get ‘em tomorrow.”
— Yankees manager Aaron Boone on Friday’s bullpen collapse

Key Stat

The Yankees’ bullpen was exposed after blowing multiple leads. But with 52 games left and a fresh arm in Schlittler, New York needs a bounce-back effort from its high-priced relievers.

Marlins Can Win If…

They keep swinging with confidence and let Eury Pérez handle the rest. Miami has won three straight and sits 7-3 in its last 10. Friday’s win was one of the most dramatic of the year, capped by Xavier Edwards scoring the walk-off.

Pérez (3.07 ERA, 0.95 WHIP) is coming off a dominant July and aims to anchor a surging team that’s gone 28-14 since June 13.

“We’re fearless — doesn’t matter who we’re playing. We never give up.”
— Marlins 2B Xavier Edwards after Friday’s walk-off win

Player to Watch: Kyle Stowers

The All-Star left fielder hit his 24th homer of the year Friday — a grand slam off Yankees reliever David Bednar — and remains one of MLB’s breakout stars.

Key Stat

The Marlins are 5th in batting average (.253) and 9th in doubles. Their deep lineup keeps pressure on pitchers and capitalizes on mistakes, as they showed in their 13-run effort on Friday.

Key MLB Betting Trends

Recent Form

• Marlins: 7-3 in their last 10 games and winners of 3 straight.
• Yankees: 5-5 in their last 10 and coming off a blown save loss.

O/U Trends

• The over has hit in 6 of the Marlins’ last 8 games.
• Yankees games have gone over in 4 of their last 6.

Track these patterns and more on our MLB game results page for sharp betting insights.

Run Line Records

• Marlins: 55-53 ATS
• Yankees: 56-54 ATS

The Lean

New York is favored for a reason — their lineup is elite, and Cam Schlittler could stabilize the rotation for a day. However, Eury Pérez is quietly becoming one of the best young arms in baseball. Miami’s resilience, hot streak, and bullpen depth give them value as a home underdog.

Official Pick: Yankees -119
Model Score Projection: Yankees 5, Marlins 3
Lean: Over 8.0 (-118) — The Yankees’ firepower and Miami’s contact-heavy lineup project a high-scoring affair.

Looking for more Expert Baseball Picks? Our team analyzes every matchup, every day, so you don’t have to guess.

Don’t Let MLB Slips Cost You