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Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners June 25th 2025
The Seattle Mariners will meet the Minnesota Twins at Target Field on Wednesday, June 25, 2025. The game is set for 7:40 PM and will be broadcast on RSNW. The weather forecast predicts moderate rain with a mild day and a light breeze.
The Mariners, managed by Dan Wilson, have a record of 41-37 this season. They sit 4 games back in the AL West. On the other side, the Twins, led by Rocco Baldelli, hold a 37-42 record and are 12 games back in the AL Central. George Kirby will start for the Mariners, while Joe Ryan takes the mound for the Twins.
Mariners vs Twins Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins
- Venue: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN
- Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025
- Betting Odds: Mariners MoneyLine +108, Twins MoneyLine -128
The Mariners Can Win If…
The Seattle Mariners are coming off a tight 6-5 win against the Minnesota Twins. Cal Raleigh was key, going 2-for-4 with a run and an RBI. Donovan Solano also contributed with two hits and two RBIs, showing their depth in the lineup.
The Mariners have been strong offensively, ranking 5th in home runs with 105 this season. Their on-base percentage is 6th in the league at .324, showing they can get runners on base. This ability to get on base and hit home runs gives them a chance to score runs in bunches.
Cal Raleigh has been a standout player, leading the league with 32 home runs. His .281 batting average and .386 on-base percentage make him a constant threat. With George Kirby on the mound, despite his high ERA, the Mariners’ offense will look to provide him with enough run support to secure another win.
The Twins Can Win If…
The Minnesota Twins recently played a close game against the Seattle Mariners, losing 6-5. In this game, Kody Clemens hit a home run and had an RBI. Chris Paddack pitched five innings, allowing five runs with four earned runs.
The Twins have some strong stats that show they can win. Their 89 home runs rank 10th in the league, and they have hit 126 doubles, placing them 11th. Joe Ryan, their starting pitcher for the next game, has a solid ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 0.91.
Key players like Byron Buxton and Trevor Larnach are in good form. Buxton has a batting average of .280 with 17 home runs, while Larnach has 11 home runs with a .259 average. With Joe Ryan on the mound and these hitters in the lineup, the Twins have a good chance to win.
The Lean
The Twins are favored with a moneyline of -128, while the Mariners are at +108. The Twins have a slight edge in hitting stats, ranking higher in batting average and on-base percentage. With their stronger lineup, the recommendation is to pick the Twins to win. The model projects a score of Twins 5, Mariners 4.
The over/under line is set at 8.0. Both teams have shown the ability to score, but their pitching ranks in the middle of the pack. Given the projected score of 5-4, the recommendation is to take the over. This aligns with the model’s projected total of 9 runs.
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Surging Mariners Look to Keep Rolling Against Slumping Twins
The Seattle Mariners are looking like a first-place team again, and they’ll try to continue their recent surge on Wednesday evening as they face the slumping host, the Minnesota Twins. The Seattle Mariners have taken the first two games of the four-game series and are looking to stay hot against a Minnesota Twins team that is mired in a deep slump.
Seattle’s Complete Team Effort
The Mariners have won eight of their last eleven games, and their success has come from up and down the lineup. While superstars like Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodriguez provide the star power, key contributions from veterans like Donovan Solano have made the offense deep and dangerous. Solano, who had two home runs on Sunday, drove in a pair of runs in Tuesday’s 6-5 victory.
“I never quit,” Solano said. “I tried to come here every time, try to help the team win, try to (give) my 100 percent with everything I have.”
Minnesota’s Search for Positives
While the Mariners are surging, the Twins are reeling, having lost five straight and 11 of their last 12 games. The team has struggled with pitching and defense, particularly with giving up big innings. Despite the brutal stretch, manager Rocco Baldelli is still finding positives in his team’s effort.
“It’s something that we want our guys to maintain, even with some of these ballgames not going the way we want,” Baldelli said, praising a player for aggressive baserunning in a loss. “Playing aggressively. That’s what we have preached from day one.” The psychology of a team trying to break a long losing streak is a key topic in our expert betting guide.
A Duel of Unfavorable Histories
Wednesday’s pitching matchup is a fascinating one, as it features two talented pitchers who have both historically struggled against their opponent. The Twins will start their ace, Joe Ryan (7-3, 3.06 ERA), but he has a career 0-3 record with a 5.50 ERA against the Mariners.
Seattle will counter with George Kirby (1-3, 6.16 ERA), who has also struggled this season and has a 5.06 career ERA against the Twins. This unique matchup of two pitchers facing a lineup that has had their number will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
Limiting the Big Inning
For two MLB teams with potent offenses, the key to Wednesday’s game will be which starting pitcher can avoid the one disastrous inning that has plagued them in these specific matchups. To see who our experts think will overcome their history, check out our daily MLB picks.
