Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Predictions June 26th 2025

The Seattle Mariners are set to play the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in Minneapolis. This afternoon game will begin at 1:10 PM on Thursday, June 26, 2025. Fans can watch the game on MNNT, with weather forecasts predicting a mild day with light rain.

The Mariners, managed by Dan Wilson, hold a 41-38 record this season. They are currently 5 games behind in the AL West. Emerson Hancock will start on the mound for Seattle, bringing a 5.43 ERA and a 3-3 record. The Twins, led by Rocco Baldelli, have a 38-42 record and are 11 games back in the AL Central. Simeon Woods Richardson will pitch for Minnesota, with an ERA of 5.06 and a 2-4 record.

Mariners vs Twins Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins
• Venue: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN
• Date: Thursday, June 26, 2025
• Betting Odds: Mariners MoneyLine +102, Twins MoneyLine -121

The Mariners Can Win If…

The Seattle Mariners recently fell to the Minnesota Twins 0-2, but they showed promise in their previous games. George Kirby pitched well, allowing only one run over six innings. Julio Rodríguez, Cole Young, and Randy Arozarena each managed a hit, keeping the team’s spirit high for their next game.

Seattle’s offense has been strong this season, with a .323 on-base percentage that ranks fifth in the league. Cal Raleigh leads the team with 32 home runs and 69 RBIs, making him a key player to watch. The Mariners’ ability to draw walks, ranking seventh with 277, gives them an edge in creating scoring opportunities.

Emerson Hancock takes the mound for the Mariners with a 5.43 ERA. Despite his challenges, the Mariners have shown they can support their pitchers with solid run production. With players like J.P. Crawford and Julio Rodríguez in the lineup, Seattle has the potential to bounce back and secure a win.

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins recently secured a 2-0 win against the Seattle Mariners. Joe Ryan pitched six scoreless innings, allowing only three hits and striking out eight. Kody Clemens and Byron Buxton contributed key hits, with Clemens hitting a home run.

The Twins have shown strong hitting power this season, ranking 10th in home runs with 90. Their batting average of .242 is 11th in the league, indicating solid offensive performances. Byron Buxton leads the team with 17 home runs and 47 RBIs, making him a key player in their lineup.

The Twins’ pitching staff, with 690 strikeouts, ranks 10th in the league. Simeon Woods Richardson will start, and he aims to improve his record. The Twins’ ability to limit home runs, ranked 11th with 83 given up, could be crucial against the Mariners’ lineup.

The Lean

The Twins are favored with a moneyline of -121, while the Mariners are at +102. The Twins have a slight edge in pitching with a lower ERA of 3.95 compared to the Mariners’ 4.22. Given these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Twins to win straight up. The model projects a score of Twins 5, Mariners 4.

The over/under line is set at 9.0. Both teams have solid hitting stats, with the Mariners ranking 7th in batting average and the Twins 11th. Considering the pitching stats and the projected score, the recommendation is to go with the under. The model projects a total score of 9, which aligns closely with the line.

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Twins Eye Series Split Against Mariners After Breaking Losing Skid

The Minnesota Twins snapped a frustrating five-game losing streak with a crucial 2-0 win over the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday night. Now, they look to ride that momentum into Thursday’s series finale in Minneapolis, aiming for a split in this four-game matchup.

In a swift game that wrapped up in just 2 hours and 14 minutes, the Twins delivered a clean shutout performance. Manager Rocco Baldelli praised his squad for stepping up when it mattered most.

“That’s exactly what you’re looking for. It doesn’t get much better. There was a lot to like in (Wednesday’s) game.”
— Rocco Baldelli

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Seattle had dominated early in the series, outscoring Minnesota 17-7 in the first two games. But the Twins’ pitching locked down the red-hot Mariners, particularly silencing slugger Cal Raleigh. Raleigh, who had recorded two hits in each of the previous three games—including his MLB-best 32nd home run on Monday—went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts on Wednesday.

Twins starter Joe Ryan was instrumental in the win, relying heavily on sinkers to throw off Raleigh’s rhythm.

“He is the best hitter in baseball right now. He looks confident at the plate. He looks great. He’s one of the best players in the game for a reason.”
— Joe Ryan

The Twins may look to repeat that pitching strategy, adapting their approach based on the situation and the batter’s tendencies.

Mariners Still in the Hunt

Despite Wednesday’s setback, the Mariners remain in strong form, having won eight of their last 12 games. Manager Dan Wilson didn’t dwell on the loss and remains optimistic about their chances in the series finale.

“A tough night for us, but back (Thursday). Obviously a chance to win the series. We’ll come back at them. … (Wednesday) was just one of those nights.”
— Dan Wilson

Seattle will hand the ball to right-hander Emerson Hancock (3-3, 5.43 ERA), who’s looking to recover from a rough outing against the Cubs. He allowed nine runs, including four home runs, over just four innings in a 10-7 defeat. His only prior appearance against the Twins came last May, giving up four runs in four innings.

Minnesota counters with Simeon Woods Richardson (2-4, 5.06 ERA), who’s also looking for redemption. He hasn’t recorded a win in his last six starts and was shelled in his last outing, a 9-0 loss to the Brewers. However, Woods Richardson pitched brilliantly in his only previous game against Seattle, tossing six scoreless innings with eight strikeouts.

Key Matchup and What to Watch

Both teams are rolling out starters with something to prove, which could lead to a volatile finale. Minnesota’s task will be shutting down Raleigh once again while finding enough offense to back Woods Richardson. Seattle, meanwhile, hopes Hancock can regain form and anchor their bid for a series win.

If you’re keeping tabs on the latest MLB predictions and picks, this clash between Minnesota and Seattle could offer excellent value. With high stakes and contrasting pitching narratives, it’s the kind of game that can swing momentum heading into the weekend.

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