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New York Mets vs New York Yankees July 4th 2025
The New York Yankees will travel to Citi Field to take on the New York Mets on Friday, July 4, 2025. The game is set to start at 3:10 PM. Fans can catch the action on SNY as the two teams meet for an afternoon game under clear skies.
The Yankees, managed by Aaron Boone, hold a season record of 48-39. They are just one game back in the AL East. On the other side, the Mets, led by Carlos Mendoza, have a record of 50-38 and are also one game back in the NL East. Marcus Stroman will start for the Yankees, while Justin Hagenman takes the mound for the Mets.
Yankees vs Mets Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
- Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
- Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
- Betting Odds: Yankees Moneyline -105, Mets Moneyline -114
The Yankees Can Win If…
The New York Yankees are coming off a tough 5-8 loss against the Toronto Blue Jays. Despite the loss, their offense showed strength with 12 hits, including five extra-base hits. Jasson Domínguez was a standout, going 4-for-5 with a single, double, and triple, demonstrating his ability to get on base and create scoring chances.
The Yankees’ batting stats are among the best, with a .337 on-base percentage, ranking first in the league. Their power at the plate is evident with 131 home runs, placing them second in the league. These stats highlight their ability to score runs and put pressure on opposing pitchers.
On the mound, Marcus Stroman will start for the Yankees. He had a solid outing against the Athletics, allowing just one earned run over five innings. With his experience and the Yankees’ strong lineup, they have a good chance to bounce back and secure a win against the Mets.
The Mets Can Win If…
The New York Mets are coming off a win against the Milwaukee Brewers on July 3rd, 2025. They won 3-2, with David Peterson pitching 6 2/3 innings, allowing only one earned run. Brandon Nimmo hit a home run and Pete Alonso contributed with a double and an RBI.
The Mets have strong stats this season that show they can win. Their team ERA is 3.49, which ranks 3rd in the league. They have also given up the fewest home runs, with only 70 allowed.
Key players like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are performing well. Alonso has a .287 batting average with 18 home runs and 67 RBIs. Lindor adds power with 17 home runs and leads the team in runs with 53.
The Lean
The Yankees are favored slightly on the moneyline at -105 against the Mets at -114. The Yankees have a strong on-base percentage, ranked 1st, and a high slugging percentage, ranked 3rd. With these stats, the Yankees are projected to win 5-4. The recommendation is to pick the Yankees to win straight up.
The current total is set at 9.5 runs, with the over at -111 and the under at -110. The Yankees’ offensive power and the Mets’ solid pitching suggest a close game. The projected total is 9 runs, so the recommendation is to take the under 9.5..
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Slumping Yankees and Mets Clash to Open Subway Series
It is a battle for New York bragging rights, but for the first time in a long time, the Subway Series is also a battle of two teams desperate to turn their seasons around. The slumping New York Yankees will travel across town to face the host New York Mets on Friday afternoon to kick off the first installment of their heated rivalry.
“Embrace the Adversity”
The Yankees are entering this series at a low point. They have lost 14 of their last 20 games and were just swept in a four-game series by the Blue Jays, a skid that cost them first place in the AL East. Despite the struggles, manager Aaron Boone is defiant.
“It (stinks) when you get your (expletive) kicked in a division rival series on the road, but we’re ready-made for this,” Boone said. “Embrace the adversity of it. This will make us stronger.”
Mets Hope to Build Momentum
The Mets are familiar with recent struggles, having lost 14 of 17 games themselves. However, they are coming into this series with a bit of momentum, having won their last two contests against the Brewers. The charge has been led by Brandon Nimmo, who has homered in back-to-back games, including a grand slam on Wednesday.
“It doesn’t matter what’s in the past but what’s ahead of us,” Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said. “The Subway Series, obviously. It’s gonna be electric, and we’ll be ready to go.”
A Duel of “Revenge” and “Firsts”
Friday’s pitching matchup is full of intrigue. The Yankees will start veteran Marcus Stroman (1-1, 8.16), who will be facing his former team in just his second start back from a long injury layoff. He was solid in his return, picking up a win against the A’s.
The Mets will counter by giving rookie right-hander Justin Hagenman (0-0, 1.50 ERA) his first career major league start. Throwing a rookie into the fire of a Subway Series is a bold move, a topic often explored in our expert betting guide. This unique matchup will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
For two MLB teams in the same city, this series means more. To see who our experts think will win the battle for New York, check out our daily MLB picks.
