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New York Mets vs New York Yankees July 5th 2025
The New York Yankees head to Citi Field for an afternoon game against the New York Mets. The game is set for Saturday, July 5, 2025, at 4:10 PM. Fans can catch the action on the YES network. The weather forecast predicts a warm day with overcast clouds and calm winds.
The Yankees, managed by Aaron Boone, hold a 48-40 record this season. They are 2 games behind in the AL East. On the other side, the Mets, led by Carlos Mendoza, have a 51-38 record and are leading the NL East. The Yankees will start Carlos Rodón, who has a 2.95 ERA, while the Mets will counter with Frankie Montas, who has a 6.00 ERA.
Yankees vs Mets Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
- Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
- Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
- Betting Odds: Yankees Moneyline -150, Mets Moneyline +127
The Yankees Can Win If…
The New York Yankees are looking to bounce back after a close 6-5 loss to the New York Mets. Jasson Domínguez had a strong game with two home runs and three RBIs. Aaron Judge also contributed with a home run, showcasing their power at the plate.
The Yankees have a strong lineup with a team batting average of .254, ranking fifth in the league. Their on-base percentage is .336, the highest in the league, and they are second in slugging percentage at .450. With 135 home runs this season, they are a threat to any pitching staff.
Carlos Rodón will take the mound for the Yankees with an impressive ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.00. His ability to keep runners off base will be crucial against the Mets. With Rodón’s strong pitching and the Yankees’ powerful lineup, they have a solid chance to win this game.
The Mets Can Win If…
The New York Mets are coming off a close 6-5 win against the New York Yankees. Juan Soto was a standout, going 3-for-4 with a home run and two RBIs. Jeff McNeil and Brett Baty also contributed with home runs, showing the team’s power potential.
The Mets have a strong lineup with players like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor. Alonso is hitting .287 with 18 home runs and 68 RBIs, leading the team in RBIs. The Mets rank 6th in both on-base percentage and slugging percentage, which shows their ability to get on base and hit for power.
The Mets’ pitching staff has been solid, ranking 4th in earned run average. Despite Frankie Montas having a rough start to the season, the team can rely on their bullpen and defense. With a low number of home runs given up, the Mets can keep games close and give their offense a chance to win.
The Lean
The Yankees are favored with a moneyline of -150, while the Mets are at +127. The Yankees have a stronger on-base percentage and slugging percentage, ranking 1st and 2nd, respectively. Given their superior hitting stats, the Yankees are projected to win with a score of 5-4. The recommendation is to pick the Yankees to win straight up.
The total runs line is set at 9.0, with the over at -106 and the under at -114. The Yankees’ strong hitting and the Mets’ decent pitching suggest a close game. The projected total score is 9, aligning with the set line. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the over on the total runs.
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The New York Yankees and New York Mets meet in the second game of the Subway Series at Citi Field headed in opposite directions. The Yankees have dropped six of their last seven games and surrendered first place in the American League East, while the Mets have rattled off three straight wins and appear to have shaken off a prolonged slump.
Yankees in a slump
The Yankees enter Saturday’s contest losers of five straight games and have lost six of seven overall, erasing the cushion they once held atop the division. After surrendering a 5–3 lead in Friday’s opener, they continue to struggle for consistent offense. Leadoff hitter Jasson Domínguez has been a lone bright spot with a six-game hitting streak (.444) and two home runs on Friday, but the rest of the lineup remains mired in uncertainty. Manager Aaron Boone insists the club will use this adversity to build resilience. Those looking for strategies to navigate this downturn might consult an expert betting guide for MLB for deeper insights.
Mets gaining momentum
After a 3–14 stretch from June 13 to July 2, the Mets have rediscovered their form with three straight victories and a 6–5 win in Friday’s opener. Jeff McNeil delivered the decisive two-run homer in the seventh inning, and relief pitcher Reed Garrett shut the door with the final six outs. Center fielder Juan Soto went 3-for-4 with two RBIs and has reached base in 16 of his last 22 games, providing the kind of consistency the lineup desperately needed. Bettors tracking recent trends may want to review our latest MLB picks to capitalize on the Mets’ resurgence.
Pitching matchup
The Yankees will hand the ball to left-hander Carlos Rodón (9–5, 2.95 ERA), who is 3–0 with a 1.15 ERA in three career starts against the Mets. New York counters with Frankie Montas (0–1, 6.00 ERA), making just his third start of the season after nearly three months sidelined with a lat strain; he owns a 2–1 record and 1.89 ERA in four career appearances against the Yankees. For a detailed breakdown of both pitchers and how they’ll attack opposing lineups, see our MLB previews.
Series stakes and betting outlook
This Subway Series carries extra weight for each club. A continued slide would deepen the Yankees’ AL East troubles as the All-Star break looms, while a fourth straight win would cement the Mets’ return to form. Fans and bettors looking to lock in their positions can buy picks ahead of Saturday’s game and monitor the best handicappers leaderboard to see which analysts are firing on all cylinders.
As July approaches, Saturday’s duel at Citi Field could set the tone for divisional races and crosstown bragging rights—offering both the Yankees and Mets a chance to reinforce momentum or reverse fortunes.
