New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Predictions June 21st 2025

Zach Eflin, Orioles attempt to extend Yankees’ slump

Baltimore’s late‐night arrival in New York didn’t slow their momentum. After dropping in from a series win in Tampa Bay, the Orioles rallied for a 5–3 victory in Friday’s opener at Yankee Stadium and now look to stretch New York’s slide on Saturday afternoon.

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Riding the Surge

Baltimore has gone 14–6 over its last 20 games, fueled by timely hitting and a bullpen that has shut down opponents when it counts. In the series opener, Ramon Urias delivered a tiebreaking homer in the eighth inning, and Gunnar Henderson followed with a pinch‐hit RBI single, giving the Orioles enough cushion to withstand another hot streak from Aaron Judge. For more on our recommended selections, check out our MLB picks page.

Yankees’ Offensive Struggles

Despite racking up 10 hits and drawing five walks on Friday, New York went just 3-for-13 with runners in scoring position and stranded 10 baserunners. Judge continued to swing a hot bat—homering for the sixth time in 12 games and recording his first three‐hit performance since June 8—but even his four‐time on‐base effort couldn’t translate into more runs. For a deeper look at each matchup, head to our MLB previews hub.

Catcher Concerns and Depth Response

The Orioles began without star backstop Adley Rutschman, who tweaked his left side during batting practice and is scheduled for tests Saturday. If he’s sidelined again, Baltimore will lean on its veteran depth behind the plate and deploy strategic pinch‐hit opportunities throughout the lineup. Our expert MLB betting guide has the latest on how this injury could shift odds.

Saturday’s Pitching Matchup

New York will send Clarke Schmidt to the mound after his season-best 7 2/3 scoreless innings in his last start. Schmidt (3–3, 3.16 ERA) has struggled at times against Baltimore, posting a 3–4 mark with a 4.03 ERA over six career starts and giving up three runs over 5 1/3 innings in his last outing against them. Opposing him, Zach Eflin (6–3, 4.81 ERA) looks to rebound from a rare rough outing in Tampa Bay—his worst five‐inning performance of the season. Eflin was 3–0 with a 1.83 ERA over his prior three starts, and he owns a 2.44 ERA in nine career games vs. the Yankees.

Key Betting Angles

• Orioles bullpen trends: five straight outings with at least five scoreless frames.
• Yankees’ RISP woes: bottom-10 in MLB with runners in scoring position over the last week.
• Schmidt’s home/road splits: markedly better at Yankee Stadium but vulnerable to high-exit velocity contact.

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