New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions August 24th 2025

Last Updated on

The Boston Red Sox are set to play against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The Red Sox have a record of 71-59 and are currently second in the AL East. They are on a three-game winning streak and have won six of their last ten games.

The Yankees have a record of 69-60 and are third in the AL East. They are on a three-game losing streak but have also won six of their last ten games. The game will be played on Sunday, August 24, 2025, at 7:10 PM and will be broadcast on ESPN. The weather forecast predicts scattered clouds with a light breeze.

Red Sox vs Yankees Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium in New York, NY
  • Date: Sunday, August 24, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Red Sox Moneyline +140, Yankees Moneyline -166, Red Sox Runline +1.5 (-148), Yankees Runline -1.5 (+124), Total Over 8.5 (-114), Total Under 8.5 (-106)

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox are coming off a dominant 12-1 win against the New York Yankees. Garrett Crochet pitched seven strong innings, allowing just one run while striking out 11 batters. Trevor Story led the offense with three hits, including a home run, and three RBIs.

The Red Sox have several key stats that suggest they can win this game. Their batting average of .253 ranks 5th in the league, and they lead the league in doubles with 265. On the pitching side, their 3.69 ERA is 5th best, and they have recorded 61 quality starts, ranking 2nd in the league.

Trevor Story is a key player to watch, with a .261 batting average and 20 home runs this season. Alex Bregman also contributes with a .305 average and 16 home runs. Dustin May will take the mound with a 4.59 ERA, looking to build on the team’s recent success against the Yankees.

The Yankees Can Win If…

The New York Yankees are coming off a tough 12-1 loss against the Boston Red Sox. Despite the loss, Giancarlo Stanton hit a home run, showing he can still deliver power. Amed Rosario added two hits, indicating that the Yankees have players who can get on base.

The Yankees have strong stats that suggest they can win. They lead the league in slugging percentage at .450 and have hit 211 home runs, ranking first. Their ability to hit for power gives them a chance to turn any game around quickly.

Carlos Rodón will start for the Yankees, and he has a solid ERA of 3.24. His strong pitching can keep the Red Sox hitters in check. With Aaron Judge’s .326 batting average and 40 home runs, the Yankees have the firepower to support Rodón on the mound.

The Lean

The Yankees are favored with a moneyline of -166. The Red Sox have a moneyline of +140. Given the Yankees’ stronger pitching and hitting stats, my model projects a Yankees win with a score of 5-3. The Yankees’ high home run count and solid ERA give them an edge.

The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. My model projects a combined score of 8 runs. Both teams have strong hitting, but the Yankees’ pitching should keep the score lower. Thus, the recommendation is to take the under at 8.5.

sas logo

Future Odds Shifting?

See Updated MLB Futures

Red Sox dominating rivalry in 2024

The Boston Red Sox have flipped the script in one of baseball’s most storied rivalries. After a 12-1 rout on Saturday, Boston is now 8-1 against the New York Yankees this season and has outscored them 48-22 since June.

Trevor Story has been a nightmare for New York pitchers, hitting .351 in the season series with two homers and 11 RBIs. Saturday, he drove in three runs early and added another hit during Boston’s seven-run ninth inning. Rookie Carlos Narvaez also chipped in three hits, including a two-run homer, giving Boston its most runs scored at Yankee Stadium in more than a decade.

The Red Sox’s current eight-game winning streak over the Yankees is their longest since 2020–21. A win Sunday would mark their first nine-game run in the rivalry since 2009.

Yankees frustrated but fighting

The New York Yankees enter Sunday desperate to salvage something from this series. Saturday’s loss was another low point, as the lineup struck out 13 times and the bottom four hitters went hitless.

Aaron Judge admitted the frustration is mounting, especially against Boston. “We’re definitely angry,” he said postgame. “Everybody in this room has got to play a little bit better.”

Giancarlo Stanton provided a lone highlight with a home run, but the Yankees’ offense has gone flat against Boston pitching. During their current skid against the Sox, New York is batting just .193 with 76 strikeouts in 259 at-bats.

Despite the slump, the Yankees remain in the playoff mix, sitting just 1.5 games behind Boston for the AL’s top wild-card spot.

Yankees vs Red Sox (2024)RecordRuns ScoredStrikeouts
Season SeriesBOS leads 8-1NYY 22, BOS 48NYY 76 K

Pitching matchup: Dustin May vs Carlos Rodón

Boston will send Dustin May to the mound, making his fourth start since being acquired from the Los Angeles Dodgers. The right-hander has looked sharp, posting a 2.87 ERA since the trade. In his last outing, he allowed two runs over six innings against Baltimore. This will be his first career start against the Yankees.

The Yankees counter with Carlos Rodón, who has been in solid form. He’s 3-0 in his past five starts and allowed just two runs over six innings in a win against Tampa Bay earlier this week. Historically, however, Rodón has struggled against Boston. He owns a 4-6 career record with a 4.38 ERA vs the Sox, and in two starts earlier this season, he gave up eight earned runs across 10.1 innings.

Starting PitchersRecordERANotes
Dustin May (BOS)7-94.592.87 ERA since trade, 1st start vs NYY
Carlos Rodón (NYY)13-73.244-6, 4.38 ERA career vs BOS

What’s at stake

For Boston, Sunday is about finishing off a statement sweep and extending their lead in the AL wild-card race. The Sox have been swinging freely against New York and riding strong pitching performances from Brayan Bello and Garrett Crochet.

For New York, pride and playoff positioning are both on the line. A loss would mark their first four-game sweep at home to Boston since 2018 and extend an embarrassing run of futility against their fiercest rival.

Fans and bettors can follow the latest MLB scores and odds and check expert MLB picks for insights into whether Boston can complete the sweep or if New York can finally punch back.