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New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs July 11th 2025
The Chicago Cubs will visit the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on Friday, July 11, 2025. The game is set for a 7:05 PM start and will be broadcast on MARQ. Fans can expect a warm night with a light breeze and broken clouds overhead.
The Cubs, managed by Craig Counsell, come into the game with a season record of 55-38. They have been solid on the road with a 25-22 record. The Yankees, led by Aaron Boone, hold a 52-41 record and are 2 games back in the AL East. They have performed well at home, posting a 29-17 record. Starting on the mound for the Cubs is Chris Flexen, boasting an impressive 0.83 ERA. Carlos Rodón will pitch for the Yankees, bringing a 3.30 ERA to the field.
Cubs vs Yankees Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Chicago Cubs vs. New York Yankees
- Venue: Yankee Stadium in New York, NY
- Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
- Betting Odds:
- Cubs Moneyline: +154
- Yankees Moneyline: -184
- Cubs Runline: +1.5 (-124)
- Yankees Runline: -1.5 (+103)
- Total Over: 9.0 (-119)
- Total Under: 9.0 (-101)
The Cubs Can Win If…
The Chicago Cubs are coming off a strong win against the Minnesota Twins, with an 8-1 victory. Colin Rea pitched seven solid innings, allowing only one run. Pete Crow-Armstrong led the offense with two home runs and three RBIs.
The Cubs have a powerful lineup that ranks third in batting average and home runs this season. They also have a high slugging percentage, ranking second overall. This offensive strength gives them an edge in scoring runs.
Chris Flexen, the Cubs’ starting pitcher, has been outstanding with an ERA of 0.83. His ability to keep hitters off base is shown by his WHIP of 0.86. With Flexen on the mound, the Cubs have a strong chance to shut down the opposing lineup.
The Yankees Can Win If…
The New York Yankees are coming off a close 6-5 win against the Seattle Mariners. Giancarlo Stanton hit a home run, and Austin Wells drove in three runs. Marcus Stroman pitched five innings, allowing two earned runs, which helped secure the victory.
The Yankees have strong stats this season, leading the league in on-base percentage and slugging percentage. They also rank first in home runs with 146. With a team batting average of .257, they are third in the league, showing their ability to get on base and score runs.
Carlos Rodón will start for the Yankees against the Cubs. He has a 3.30 ERA and has won nine games this season. With the Yankees’ powerful lineup and Rodón on the mound, they have a solid chance to continue their winning streak.
The Lean
The Yankees are favored with a moneyline of -184. They have a strong hitting lineup, ranking first in on-base and slugging percentages. The Cubs have a moneyline of +154 and rank third in batting average. My model projects the Yankees to win 5-4. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Yankees to win straight up.
The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs. Both teams have solid offenses, with the Yankees leading in home runs and the Cubs ranking high in doubles. The Yankees’ pitching has a low batting average against, ranked first. My model projects a total of 9 runs. The recommendation is to pick the over at 9.0 runs.
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Cubs and Yankees Ride Momentum into Interleague Showdown
Two first-place teams riding a wave of euphoria will clash at Yankee Stadium on Friday night. Both the Chicago Cubs and the New York Yankees are coming off massive, momentum-building victories and will look to carry that good feeling into the opener of their three-game interleague series.
The PCA Experience
The Cubs are being led by their electrifying young superstar, Pete Crow-Armstrong. The 23-year-old is putting together a historic season, recently joining the 25-25 club (25 homers and 25 steals), becoming the third-fastest player in MLB history to do so. He is coming off a two-homer game on Thursday that helped the Cubs avoid a sweep.
“I’ve only been humbled by the names that I’m mentioned with,” a modest Crow-Armstrong said of his historic pace.
An Unbelievable Comeback
The Yankees are coming off one of the most improbable wins of the entire MLB season. On Thursday, they were being no-hit and trailed the Mariners 5-0 heading into the eighth inning. They proceeded to stage a stunning rally, capped by an Aaron Judge sacrifice fly in the 10th inning to win 6-5. It was the first time since 1977 that a team had won after being no-hit into the eighth inning with a five-run deficit.
“It was a lot of fun,” said catcher Austin Wells. “It was probably one of the better wins we’ve had.”
A Duel of Pitchers with Something to Prove
Friday’s pitching matchup features two arms in very different situations. The Yankees will start lefty Carlos Rodon (9-6, 3.30 ERA), who has been one of their aces all year but is in the middle of a personal slump, going 1-3 with a 5.34 ERA in his last six starts.
The Cubs will counter with Chris Flexen (5-0, 0.83 ERA), who has been spectacular out of the bullpen but will be making a spot start. Flexen has a career 9.00 ERA against the Yankees. This unpredictable matchup will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
This series between two of the best MLB teams could be a playoff preview. How teams carry over momentum from dramatic wins is a key topic in our expert betting guide. To see who our experts are backing, check out our daily MLB picks.
