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New York Yankees vs Houston Astros August 10th 2025
The Houston Astros will visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees. The game is set for Sunday, August 10, 2025, at 1:35 PM. Fans can catch the action on SCHN.
The Astros hold a record of 65-52 and are first in the AL West. They have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. The Yankees stand at 62-55, ranking third in the AL East, with a 4-6 record in their last 10 games. The weather forecast predicts a warm day with scattered clouds and a light breeze.
Astros vs Yankees Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
- Venue: Yankee Stadium in New York, NY
- Date: Sunday, August 10, 2025
- Betting Odds: Astros Moneyline +171, Yankees Moneyline -204, Astros Runline +1.5 (-116), Yankees Runline -1.5 (-105), Total Over 9.0 (+100), Total Under 9.0 (-121)
The Astros Can Win If…
The Houston Astros recently played against the New York Yankees and narrowly lost 5-4. Framber Valdez pitched 5 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs. Jeremy Peña hit a home run, and Carlos Correa added two hits with one RBI.
Houston’s batting lineup shows strength, ranking second in the league with a .258 batting average. Their on-base percentage is seventh at .321. The Astros’ ability to make contact and get on base gives them a strong chance to score runs.
On the mound, the Astros have Jason Alexander starting. While his ERA is higher at 5.97, the team ranks third in batting average against, holding opponents to a .230 average. Their pitching staff also leads the league in strikeouts, which can help limit the Yankees’ scoring chances.
The Yankees Can Win If…
The New York Yankees are coming off a close win against the Houston Astros, taking the game 5-4. Trent Grisham was a standout, going 3 for 4 with a home run. Luis Gil pitched well, striking out seven in over five innings.
The Yankees lead the league in slugging percentage and home runs. Their on-base percentage ranks third, showing they know how to get on base and score. Max Fried will start, bringing a strong 2.78 ERA and a 12-4 record.
Aaron Judge is a key player with a .339 batting average and 37 home runs. Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. add power with 20 and 19 home runs, respectively. The Yankees’ lineup is full of players capable of making big plays.
The Lean
The Yankees are favored on the moneyline at -204, and the Astros are at +171. With the Yankees having the top slugging percentage and leading in home runs, they have a strong offensive edge. My model projects the Yankees to win with a score of 5-4. Thus, the recommendation is to pick the Yankees to win straight up.
The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs. The Yankees’ pitching has an ERA of 4.03, ranked 17th, while the Astros have a better ERA at 3.71, ranked 8th. My model projects a combined score of 9 runs, aligning with the line. Given the strong offenses, the recommendation is to take the over at 9.0 (+100).
Future Odds Shifting?
See Updated MLB Futures
Yankees’ Pitching Woes in Spotlight as They Seek Series Win vs. Astros
The New York Yankees are in a difficult cycle, a frustrating loop where short starts from their rotation are putting an immense and unsustainable burden on a bullpen that has begun to show cracks. As the slumping New York Yankees look to secure a crucial series victory against their American League rivals, the visiting Houston Astros, on Sunday afternoon, they will turn to their ace, Max Fried, with a simple and desperate plea: give us some length.
The Bullpen Burden
The Yankees have not had a starting pitcher complete the sixth inning since July 30, a long and taxing stretch that has forced manager Aaron Boone to rely heavily on his relief corps. The results have been mixed at best. On Friday, the bullpen faltered in extra innings. On Saturday, a throwing error from closer Camilo Doval and a bases-loaded walk from David Bednar allowed the Astros to tie the game in the eighth inning before a Trent Grisham home run ultimately won it for New York. The win was a relief, but the process highlighted a major problem. The Yankees’ bullpen, a unit that was a strength for much of the season, has posted a high 4.87 ERA since the All-Star break.
“The pitching staff as a whole protects each other, and then it starts with starting pitching,” a frustrated Boone said. “They have done a pretty good job here (in) this turn of giving us those opportunities to stay in games, to win games. Hopefully, along the way here, we get a handful that gets us deeper into games, that allow the bullpen to set up in a better way day in and day out.”
The table below provides a snapshot of two of the American League’s premier teams, both of whom have been struggling to find their footing in the second half. To review the full box score from their last matchup, you can check the official MLB game results.
| Team | Record | Division Standing | Recent Form (Last 10) |
| Houston Astros | 64-50 | 1st in AL West | 3-7 |
| New York Yankees | 71-46 | 2nd in AL East | 4-6 |
The Ace’s Own Struggles
The difficult task of providing that much-needed length falls to Max Fried (12-4, 2.78 ERA), but the Yankees’ ace has been in a rare slump of his own. Over his last four starts, Fried has a 5.85 ERA, allowing at least four runs in each of those outings. He has struggled with his command and has not been the dominant force the Yankees have come to rely on. His ability to bounce back and deliver a deep, effective start is the single most important factor for New York on Sunday. The psychology of an ace trying to break out of a slump is a key topic for any bettor, one often explored in our expert betting guide.
Houston’s Hot Hitters
The Astros will look to take advantage of the Yankees’ pitching woes with their own potent lineup, which is led by two of the hottest hitters in baseball. Superstar second baseman Jose Altuve is hitting .340 over his last 25 games, and newly re-acquired shortstop Carlos Correa is hitting .406 since joining the team at the trade deadline. “One swing away from taking the lead,” Houston manager Joe Espada said after Saturday’s narrow loss. “I like the fight. Just came up a bit short.”
The Pitching Matchup: A Deeper Look
Sunday’s game features a fascinating duel between the slumping ace, Fried, and a journeyman pitcher for the Astros who is coming off his best start of the season. Jason Alexander was brilliant in his last outing, tossing six scoreless innings against the Marlins.
| Pitcher | W-L (2025) | ERA (2025) | Last 3 Starts ERA |
| Max Fried (NYY) | 12-4 | 2.78 | 5.85 |
| Jason Alexander (HOU) | 2-1 | 5.97 | 3.10 |
The scores and odds for this matchup will be tight. For more in-depth analysis of this and other games, you can view all of our MLB previews. To see who our experts are backing in this showdown of AL powerhouses, check out our daily MLB picks. To get access to even more premium content and betting tools, you can register for an account today.
