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New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins August 11th 2025
The Minnesota Twins will play against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The game is set for Monday, August 11, 2025, at 7:05 PM. Fans can catch the action on MLBN.
The Twins have a 56-61 record and are ranked fourth in the AL Central. They recently won their last game and have a 5-5 record over their last ten games. The Yankees hold a 62-56 record and are third in the AL East. They lost their last game and have a 3-7 record in their last ten games.
Twins vs Yankees Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, New York, NY
- Date: Monday, August 11, 2025
- Betting Odds: Twins Moneyline +149, Yankees Moneyline -176, Twins Runline +1.5 (-140), Yankees Runline -1.5 (+117), Total Over 9.0 (-102), Total Under 9.0 (-119)
The Twins Can Win If…
The Minnesota Twins come into this game with momentum from their recent win against the Kansas City Royals. They secured a 5-3 victory, thanks to strong performances from Luke Keaschall and Ryan Fitzgerald. Keaschall went 3-for-5 with a home run and two RBIs, while Fitzgerald added another home run and two RBIs.
The Twins have shown they can hit for power, with a season slugging percentage of .401, ranking 12th in the league. Their lineup includes several players capable of going deep, as seen with their 138 home runs this season. With players like Kody Clemens and Ryan Jeffers contributing to the home run tally, they have the potential to score big.
On the mound, Zebby Matthews will start for the Twins. Matthews has a record of 3-3 and looks to improve against the Yankees. With a lineup that can back him up with runs, the Twins have a solid chance to win this game.
The Yankees Can Win If…
The New York Yankees are looking to bounce back after their recent 7-1 loss to the Houston Astros. In that game, Max Fried pitched five innings, allowing four earned runs. Despite the loss, Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Giancarlo Stanton each managed a hit, showing they can still contribute offensively.
One reason the Yankees can win is their strong hitting stats. They lead the league in slugging percentage (.443) and home runs (183). With players like Aaron Judge, who has a .337 average and 37 home runs, the Yankees have the power to score runs quickly.
Starting pitcher Will Warren will take the mound for the Yankees. He has a 4.43 ERA and has shown he can handle pressure with a 6-5 record. Facing a Twins pitcher with a higher ERA, the Yankees have a good chance to capitalize on any pitching mistakes and secure a win.
The Lean
The Yankees are favored with a moneyline of -176, and they have strong hitting stats, including a top-ranked slugging percentage and home runs. The Twins have a moneyline of +149 and rank lower in key batting categories. My model projects the Yankees to win with a score of 6-4, making them the recommended pick to win straight up.
The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs. The Yankees’ powerful offense and the Twins’ average pitching suggest a higher scoring game. My model projects a total of 10 runs. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the over at 9.0 (-102).
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Yankees Seek Spark as Twins Come to Town
The New York Yankees are still searching for the turnaround they’ve been promising since mid-summer. Losers of seven of their last nine, they’ll try to change the narrative when they open a three-game home series against the Minnesota Twins on Monday night at Yankee Stadium.
Yankees Need More Than Words
New York’s season has been a rollercoaster since holding a seven-game lead in the AL East on June 12. They’ve endured two separate six-game losing streaks, brief winning spurts, and most recently a 9-15 stretch since July 11.
Manager Aaron Boone remains confident:
“I wholeheartedly believe that we are going to get rolling… but we’ve got to go do it.”
On Sunday, the Yankees managed just three hits in a 7-1 loss to the Houston Astros, marking the eighth time this season they’ve been held to three or fewer.
Twins Finding Post-Deadline Rhythm
The Twins, after trading away 11 players in nine deals, have posted a 5-4 mark since July 30. They’re coming off series wins over the Detroit Tigers and Kansas City Royals.
Rookie Luke Keaschall, fresh off the injured list, has been red-hot, hitting .415 in his first 12 games and delivering a clutch two-run homer in the 11th inning Sunday to beat the Royals.
Pitching Matchup – Game 1
| Team | Pitcher | Record | ERA | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | Will Warren | 6-5 | 4.44 | Four straight no-decisions; first start vs Twins |
| Twins | Zebby Matthews | 3-3 | 5.17 | Looking for first back-to-back wins of career |
Warren hasn’t allowed a run in his last five innings, but the Yankees need length from him—he’s the last starter to pitch six innings (July 30). Matthews, meanwhile, is coming off one of his best starts of the year, holding Detroit to one run over five innings.
Keys to the Series
- For New York: Aaron Judge breaking out of a 7-for-43 slump.
- For Minnesota: Maintaining aggressive play on the bases and in the field, as manager Rocco Baldelli has encouraged.
Recent Form
| Team | Last 10 Games | Runs Scored | Runs Allowed | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 3-7 | 27 | 50 | .300 |
| Twins | 5-5 | 48 | 47 | .500 |
After this series, the Yankees face the challenge of climbing back into the AL Wild Card race. The Twins, meanwhile, are looking to solidify their position in the AL Central chase.
For betting breakdowns and picks, see the MLB Expert Guide.
