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New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies July 26th 2025
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on Saturday, July 26, 2025. The game is set to start at 1:05 PM and will be broadcast on YES. Weather conditions are expected to be warm with a light breeze and broken clouds. The Phillies, managed by Rob Thomson, come into the game with a 59-44 record. They have a road record of 26-25. Ranger Suárez will start for the Phillies, bringing an ERA of 2.66 and a WHIP of 1.15. On the other side, the Yankees, managed by Aaron Boone, hold a 56-47 record with a home record of 30-20. Marcus Stroman will pitch for the Yankees, with an ERA of 5.64 and a WHIP of 1.48.
Phillies vs Yankees Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees
- Venue: Yankee Stadium in New York, NY
- Date: Saturday, July 26, 2025
- Betting Odds: Phillies Moneyline -121, Yankees Moneyline +102, Phillies Runline -1.5 (+131), Yankees Runline +1.5 (-156), Total Over 9.5 (-101), Total Under 9.5 (-119)
The Phillies Can Win If…
The Philadelphia Phillies recently had a strong performance against the New York Yankees, winning 12-5. Kyle Schwarber led the way with two home runs and four RBIs. Trea Turner also contributed with four hits and three runs, showing the depth of their lineup.
The Phillies have impressive stats this season that suggest they can win. They rank 3rd in on-base percentage and 5th in batting average. Their pitching has also been solid, with Ranger Suárez boasting a 2.66 ERA, providing a reliable option on the mound.
Philadelphia’s lineup is packed with talent, including Schwarber and Bryce Harper. Schwarber ranks 3rd in the league for home runs with 36, while Harper has been a consistent contributor with a .267 average. These players, along with Suárez’s pitching, give the Phillies a strong chance to secure another win.
The Yankees Can Win If…
The New York Yankees are looking to bounce back after their recent 12-5 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. Despite the loss, the Yankees showed power with four home runs. Anthony Volpe, Giancarlo Stanton, and Cody Bellinger each hit a home run, showcasing their ability to score runs quickly.
One of the Yankees’ strengths this season is their offense. They lead the league in on-base percentage and slugging percentage. With 167 home runs, they rank first in the league, demonstrating their ability to change the game’s momentum with a single swing.
Marcus Stroman will be on the mound for the Yankees. He has a 5.64 ERA but has shown he can perform well, as seen in the win against the Atlanta Braves on July 20th. With the Yankees’ strong batting lineup, they have the potential to support Stroman and secure a win.
The Lean
The Phillies are favored with a moneyline of -121 against the Yankees at +102. The Phillies have a strong batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 5th and 3rd respectively. The Yankees have a better slugging percentage and lead in home runs. However, the Phillies’ pitching, with an ERA of 3.72, gives them an edge. My model projects the Phillies to win 5-4, making the Phillies a solid pick.
The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs, with the over at -101 and the under at -119. The Yankees have a high slugging percentage and lead in home runs, while the Phillies have a solid batting average. Both teams have strong offensive stats, suggesting a high-scoring game. My model projects a total of 9 runs. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the under 9.5.
Stay Ahead of the Diamond
MLB Data & Insights
The Kyle Schwarber Show Continues as Phillies Visit Slumping Yankees
Kyle Schwarber put on a show at the All-Star Game, and he hasn’t cooled off since. The reigning All-Star Game MVP is on an incredible power surge, and he will look to continue his dominance on Saturday afternoon as the Philadelphia Phillies continue their series against the host and slumping New York Yankees.
“I Don’t Know Where We’d Be Without Him”
That’s what Phillies manager Rob Thomson had to say about his slugger, and it’s easy to see why. Schwarber hit two more home runs in Friday’s 12-5 victory, giving him six homers in seven games since the All-Star break. His first homer on Friday was also the 1,000th hit of his career. He is single-handedly carrying the Phillies’ offense right now.
A Sloppy Slump in the Bronx
While the Phillies are riding high, the Yankees are in a deep slump, having lost nine of their last twelve games. Their problems are on both sides of the ball. Their pitching staff has the worst ERA in the major leagues in July, and their defense has been abysmal, committing nine errors in the last four games.
“The easy thing is to just play better,” said first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. “Mistakes like I made tonight… we’ve got to cut those down.”
The Pitching Matchup
Saturday’s game features a fantastic pitching matchup between two pitchers in very different recent form. The Phillies will start lefty Ranger Suarez, who has been an ace all year but is in a mini-slump. The Yankees will counter with Marcus Stroman, who has been excellent since returning from injury.
| Pitcher | W-L (2025) | ERA (2025) | Career vs. Opponent |
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 7-4 | 2.66 | 0-1, 4.50 ERA |
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 2-1 | 5.64 | 6-4, 2.26 ERA |
A Battle of Contenders
This series is a clash between two MLB teams with World Series aspirations. The struggles of a top team like the Yankees is a key topic in our expert betting guide. The pitching matchup will be a key focus on the scores and odds board. To see who our experts think will win, check out our daily MLB picks.
