Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Powers Blue Jays vs. Yankees

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays September 6th 2025

The Toronto Blue Jays visit the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium for an afternoon game. The Blue Jays hold the top spot in the AL East with a record of 82-59 and are on a three-game winning streak. Their recent form shows a 6-4 record in their last ten games.

The Yankees, ranked third in the AL East, have a record of 78-63. They recently faced a loss but have a strong 7-3 record in their last ten games. The weather forecast predicts a mild day with a light breeze and few clouds, setting the stage for a competitive game.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Key Information

Sport: Baseball
Teams: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
Venue: Yankee Stadium, New York, NY
Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025
Betting Odds: Blue Jays Moneyline +130, Yankees Moneyline -154, Blue Jays Runline +1.5 (-158), Yankees Runline -1.5 (+132), Total Over 9.5 (-102), Total Under 9.5 (-119)

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off a strong 7-1 win over the New York Yankees. Kevin Gausman pitched eight solid innings, allowing only one run. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. led the offense with four hits, including a home run, and Bo Bichette added three hits and two RBIs.

The Blue Jays lead the league in batting average and on-base percentage, with a team batting average of .270 and an on-base percentage of .337. They also rank third in doubles, showing their ability to hit for extra bases. Their lineup features consistent hitters like Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who both have impressive batting averages.

Chris Bassitt will take the mound for the Blue Jays. He holds a record of 11-7 with an ERA of 4.10. With a strong lineup and solid pitching, the Blue Jays have the tools to secure another win against the Yankees.

The Yankees Can Win If…

The New York Yankees are looking to bounce back after their recent 7-1 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays. In that game, Giancarlo Stanton was a bright spot, hitting a home run and driving in the team’s only run. Despite the loss, the Yankees have shown they can put up runs, as seen in their 8-4 win against the Houston Astros just a day before.

The Yankees have a strong chance to win with their powerful lineup. They lead the league in slugging percentage and home runs, with Aaron Judge hitting 43 homers this season. Their on-base percentage ranks third, showing they can get runners on base and create scoring opportunities.

On the mound, Luis Gil will start for the Yankees. He holds a solid ERA of 3.68, which can keep the game within reach for the Yankees’ bats. With the Yankees’ ability to score and Gil’s pitching, they have a good shot at securing a win at home.

The Lean

The Yankees are favored with a moneyline of -154, while the Blue Jays are at +130. The Yankees have a stronger pitching staff, ranking 14th in ERA compared to the Blue Jays’ 20th. My model projects the Yankees to win with a score of 5-3, so the recommendation is to pick the Yankees to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs. Both teams have strong hitting, but the Yankees’ pitching should limit the Blue Jays. My model projects a total of 8 runs. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the under at 9.5 runs.

Guerrero’s Hot Streak at Yankee Stadium

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has often delivered big performances against the New York Yankees, but this September feels different. Now part of a division-leading Toronto Blue Jays team, Guerrero is making his presence felt as the postseason race heats up.

On Friday night, Guerrero tied a career high with four hits, including his 16th career home run in New York, fueling a 7-1 Toronto victory. Over his last five games, he is batting .524 (11-for-21), and since the All-Star break he owns a .344 average. Manager John Schneider noted that Guerrero looks particularly energized in the Bronx, suggesting Yankee Stadium brings out his best.

For more daily coverage of performances and outcomes, you can check the latest MLB game results

Toronto Holding Control of the AL East

The Blue Jays (82-59) carry a four-game advantage over the Yankees (78-63) in the American League East. Toronto has been in control of the division since July 1 and is looking to capture its first East crown since 2015.

The Jays have also dominated the season series, winning seven of the last eight matchups with New York and eight of 11 overall. Bo Bichette’s consistency has been another highlight, as he extended his on-base streak to 19 games with three hits Friday.

Fans interested in betting angles for Toronto’s playoff push can find insights in our MLB picks and detailed MLB previews

Yankees Searching for Answers

The Yankees entered the series on a surge, having won nine of their previous 11 games, but were stifled Friday with only four hits. Giancarlo Stanton provided their lone run with a home run, while Aaron Judge returned to right field for the first time since July 25 after dealing with an elbow flexor strain.

Judge showed caution on certain throws but insisted he is fully capable of handling outfield duties. Manager Aaron Boone credited Toronto’s offense for spoiling quality pitches, noting how difficult it was to put them away.

To sharpen your betting approach for games like these, explore the expert betting guide

Saturday’s Pitching Duel: Bassitt vs. Gil

Toronto turns to right-hander Chris Bassitt (11-7, 4.10 ERA), who was initially slated for Sunday’s finale. Bassitt has struggled in recent weeks, going 0-3 with a 4.84 ERA across his past seven outings. Still, his track record against the Yankees is impressive, with a 5-1 record and 2.26 ERA in eight career starts.

The Yankees will counter with Luis Gil (2-1, 3.68 ERA). He has been effective in 2025, allowing two runs or fewer in five of his six starts. However, his history against Toronto is shaky, as he is 0-1 with a 5.68 ERA in three career appearances.

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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Predictions September 6th 2025