New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Picks and Predictions August 27th 2025

Last Updated on

The Washington Nationals will play against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The game is set for Wednesday, August 27, 2025, at 1:05 PM. Viewers can watch the game on MASN.

The Nationals have a record of 53-79 and are ranked 5th in the NL East. They have lost their last four games and are 4-6 in their last ten. The Yankees hold a 72-60 record, sitting 3rd in the AL East. They have won their last three games and are 7-3 in their last ten. Weather conditions are expected to be mild with broken clouds and a light breeze.

Nationals vs Yankees Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Washington Nationals vs. New York Yankees
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium in New York, NY
  • Date: Wednesday, August 27, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Nationals Moneyline +220, Yankees Moneyline -268, Nationals Runline +1.5 (+107), Yankees Runline -1.5 (-128), Total Over 8.5 (-113), Total Under 8.5 (-107)

The Nationals Can Win If…

The Washington Nationals recently played against the New York Yankees, losing 5-1. Despite the loss, CJ Abrams stood out with a 3-for-4 performance, driving in one run. MacKenzie Gore pitched five innings, allowing three runs on three hits.

Washington has shown strength in hitting doubles, ranking 7th in the league. Their lineup includes CJ Abrams, who leads the team with 17 home runs and 79 runs scored. This combination of power and speed gives them a chance to outscore opponents.

On the mound, Cade Cavalli offers hope with a strong ERA of 2.82. His ability to limit runs can keep the Nationals in the game. If Cavalli performs well, the Nationals have a good chance to secure a win.

The Yankees Can Win If…

The New York Yankees are coming off a strong win against the Washington Nationals, finishing 5-1. Giancarlo Stanton led the way with a home run and five RBIs. Cody Bellinger also contributed with two hits and two runs, showcasing the team’s offensive depth.

The Yankees have been hitting well, with a season slugging percentage of .453, ranked first in the league. They also lead in home runs with 219, showing their power at the plate. With a solid on-base percentage of .330, ranked third, they consistently put pressure on opposing pitchers.

Max Fried will start for the Yankees, bringing a 3.14 ERA and a 13-5 record. His strong WHIP of 1.12 indicates good control on the mound. The Yankees’ pitching staff ranks fourth in batting average against at .230, making them tough to hit against.

The Lean

The Yankees are favored with a moneyline of -268 against the Nationals at +220. The Yankees have a strong hitting lineup, ranking first in slugging percentage and home runs. My model projects the Yankees to win with a score of 6-3, making the Yankees a solid pick for the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees’ pitching has an ERA of 4.00, while the Nationals’ pitching struggles with an ERA of 5.34. Given these stats, my model projects a total score of 9 runs. Therefore, taking the over on 8.5 runs is the recommendation.

sas logo

Future Odds Shifting?

See Updated MLB Futures

Giancarlo Stanton, Yankees Shoot for Sweep of Nationals

The New York Yankees are riding a three-game win streak, and Giancarlo Stanton is at the center of it. After sitting out Monday, Stanton returned Tuesday with a bases-clearing double and a two-run homer, powering a 5-1 win over the Washington Nationals.

Stanton has been on fire since returning to the outfield — batting .472 with seven homers and 18 RBIs in his last 13 games. Manager Aaron Boone praised his approach at the plate, crediting his preparation and mental discipline.

Stanton’s 2024 offensive surge

StretchAVGHRRBIs
Season overall.3131555
With RISP.35428
Last 13 games.472718

For a slugger who has never finished a season batting over .300, Stanton’s turnaround has been eye-catching — and a big reason the Yankees are pushing back into contention.

Nationals trying to stop the slide

Washington, meanwhile, is desperate to avoid a fifth straight loss. The Nationals have gone just 9-17 over their past 26 games, and offensive inconsistency remains a problem.

On Tuesday, CJ Abrams collected three hits, but the team struck out 12 times and made two costly outs on the bases. Manager Dave Martinez knows they need more situational hitting if they want to stop the skid.

For fans keeping track of trends, MLB scores and odds show just how much Washington’s offense has been sputtering compared to league averages.

Pitching matchup: Fried vs. Cavalli

The finale features left-hander Max Fried (13-5, 3.14 ERA) for New York against right-hander Cade Cavalli (1-0, 2.82 ERA) for Washington.

Fried is coming off his best outing in months — six scoreless innings against the Boston Red Sox. He’s 8-5 with a 3.97 ERA lifetime against the Nationals and will try to keep Stanton and Aaron Judge’s lineup support rolling.

Cavalli, making just his sixth career start, has been steadily building stamina. He threw 95 pitches in his last outing against the Phillies, allowing three runs over six innings. Before that, he blanked Philadelphia for seven innings in his best start yet.

Pitcher comparison

PitcherRecordERALast StartCareer vs. Opponent
Max Fried (NYY)13-53.146 IP, 0 ER vs. BOS8-5, 3.97 ERA
Cade Cavalli (WSH)1-02.826 IP, 3 ER vs. PHIFirst meeting

What’s on the line

The Yankees are aiming for their first sweep of the Nationals since 2018, and with Stanton locked in, they look dangerous. A win would also mark their fourth straight victory as they try to gain ground in the AL playoff race.

For Washington, Cavalli represents a bright spot in a rebuilding year. With the trade deadline behind them, the Nationals are focusing on development — but snapping this skid would boost confidence.

Fans looking for deeper breakdowns of this matchup can check out the latest MLB picks and strategies in the MLB expert betting guide.