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Suarez Looks to Bounce Back as Phillies Host Mariners
The Philadelphia Phillies return home Monday to open a three-game set against the Seattle Mariners at Citizens Bank Park.
Philadelphia (71-53) leads the NL East but has dropped four of its last six. The Phillies salvaged a split in Washington on Sunday with an 11-9 win, highlighted by Alec Bohm’s return (HR, 3 RBIs) and clutch hits from Nick Castellanos.
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Seattle (68-57) is in second place in the AL West but has hit a skid, losing four of its last five including Sunday’s 7-3 defeat to the Mets in the Little League Classic. Cal Raleigh continues to mash, belting his MLB-best 47th homer.
On the mound, it’s a duel of steady arms: Logan Gilbert (3.31 ERA, 0.98 WHIP) vs. Ranger Suárez (3.28 ERA, 1.12 WHIP).
Match Information
- Sport: Baseball (MLB)
- Teams: Seattle Mariners vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Date: Monday, August 18, 2025
- Start Time: 6:45 PM ET
- Broadcast: Local TV / MLB Network
- Weather: Overcast, light breeze, mild
Betting Odds
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Mariners Moneyline | -113 |
| Phillies Moneyline | -106 |
| Runline / Total | O/U 8.0 (Over -107, Under -114) |
The Mariners Can Win If…
Seattle’s power bats deliver. They rank 3rd in MLB in home runs (176), led by Cal Raleigh (47 HR, 102 RBIs). Julio Rodríguez and Jorge Polanco add balance, and when the Mariners get men on base (8th in OBP), they usually cash in.
On the hill, Logan Gilbert has been consistent, posting a 3.31 ERA while limiting hitters to a .205 average. If Gilbert can neutralize Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, Seattle’s offense should provide enough run support to edge the Phillies.
The Phillies Can Win If…
Ranger Suárez gets back on track. After a stellar first half, Suárez has stumbled, giving up 11 runs in his last two starts. Still, he’s proven capable of shutting down Seattle before, with six scoreless innings against them in 2022.
Philadelphia’s offense has depth: Alec Bohm’s return adds a big bat, while Harper, Castellanos, and Trea Turner provide run support. The Phillies rank top 5 in batting average and OBP, and with Suárez pitching closer to his early-season form, they’re tough to beat at home.
Key Stats Comparison
| Category | Mariners | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 68-57 (2nd AL West) | 71-53 (1st NL East) |
| Last 10 Games | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Team HR Rank | 3rd (176 HR) | 10th (147 HR) |
| Team Batting Avg | .244 (14th MLB) | .257 (5th MLB) |
| Team ERA | 3.89 (7th MLB) | 3.94 (11th MLB) |
The Lean
Oddsmakers see this as a pick’em, with Seattle at -113 and Philadelphia at -106. Both lineups can score, but the Mariners’ power edge gives them a slight advantage.
Model Projection: Mariners 5, Phillies 4
- Pick: Mariners (-113)
- Total Lean: Over 8.0 (-107)
For more betting previews and full MLB game recaps, check the MLB Scores & Results page on Scores and Stats.
